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Texas A&M Has Been One of the Best Fades in College Football

Texas A&M was set for a run at the College Football Playoff but that train was run off the rails earlier in the regular season when the No. 4 Aggies were upset by a then 3-5 Mississippi State team. The Aggies proceeded to sputter down the stretch and landed themselves a meeting with the Kansas State Wildcats in the Texas Bowl on December 28.

  • Kansas State is 1-7 SU and ATS in its last 8 games in the playoffs.
  • Texas A&M is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games.
  • Texas A&M is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with winning records.

Not only did the Aggies post a terrible 2-3 record at the end of year, they also blew it at the betting window and failed to cover the spread in eight straight weeks. That streak is so bad that it’s impressive and it’s going to be tough to back a team that has probably put a lot of people in the poorhouse this year.

The problem with simply fading A&M in this game is that the Wildcats have been almost as hard on bettors as the Aggies have. Although they don’t have a long streak like A&M, they’ve been as inconsistent as they come and will be almost impossible to trust in a game where some significant players for the Aggies will be playing their final games for the school.

Trevor Knight is the most significant of those players and will need to be sharp if the Aggies have a chance. Texas A&M lost every game this season in which Knight completed fewer than 50 percent of his passes but was 7-0 when he completed 50 percent or more of his attempts.

Kansas State held opposing quarterbacks under a 50 percent completion rate just once all season – excluding a game against Missouri State that was called at halftime.  

Texas A&M Aggies vs Kansas State Wildcats Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Betting fans of the Kansas State Wildcats have seen them go 8-4 and 5-7 ATS so far this season, while the Texas A&M Aggies are at 8-4 and 4-8 ATS. In over under totals betting, the Texas A&M Aggies are 4-7-1, while the Kansas State Wildcats are 6-6. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas State vs Texas A&M injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 37-rated Kansas State Wildcats and the No. 41-rated Texas A&M Aggies in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Kansas State's No. 48-ranked offense, averaging 31.92 PPG, against a Texas A&M defense that ranks No. 37 this week at 23.83 PPG. The Kansas State aerial game is averaging 151.83 yards per game, less than the Texas A&M Aggies secondary allows through the air, 254.58 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Texas A&M Aggies own the league's No. 113-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 262.25 yards per game when on the road. Kansas State, on the other hand, rates No. 14 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last gridiron battle, Christian Kirk did much of the damage, producing 107 receiving yards but LSU managed to defeat the Aggies 54-39 at Kyle Field.

Betting Trends
  • Texas A&M is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Texas A&M is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
  • Texas A&M is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Texas A&M's last 17 games
  • Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
  • Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games when playing Texas A&M