NFL Computer Picks - Free Football Betting Predictions

Find Your Edge! Scan our Expert Picks and click pick for analysis

Buffalo -14
NFL | MIA @ BUF SEP. 18, 8:15 PM ET
+114
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J. Allen O1.5 Passing TD's
NFL | MIA @ BUF SEP. 18, 8:15 PM ET
Bills: OVER 30.5
NFL | MIA @ BUF SEP. 18, 8:15 PM ET
-118
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Dolphins vs BIlls TNF Parlay
MIA @ BUF
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+264
Josh Allen 240+ Passing Yards
Player Prop
Bills -6.5
Alternate Spread
View All Legs
Tyler Warren Anytime Touchdown
NFL | IND @ TEN 1:00 PM ET
Panthers ML
NFL | ATL @ CAR SEP. 21, 1:00 PM ET
-238
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H. Renfrow OVER 31.5 rec. yards
NFL | ATL @ CAR SEP. 21, 1:00 PM ET
Texans ML
NFL | HOU @ JAC 1:00 PM ET
+102
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OVER 50.5
NFL | DAL @ CHI 4:25 PM ET
-105
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Cowboys 1st Score to be FG
NFL | DAL @ CHI 4:25 PM ET
Chiefs -5.5
NFL | KC @ NYG 8:20 PM ET
-118
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Chiefs ML
NFL | KC @ NYG 8:20 PM ET
-270
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Cam Skattebo U35.5 Rush Yards
NFL | KC @ NYG 8:20 PM ET
Ravens -5.5
NFL | DET @ BAL 8:15 PM ET
-118
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1H Total U 27.5
NFL | DET @ BAL 8:15 PM ET
-135
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R. Bateman Long Rec U18.5 Yards
NFL | DET @ BAL 8:15 PM ET
Thursday, September 18
8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Miami VS Buffalo
Experts 2
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
MIA 21.2 +600
BUF 24.9 -900
Spread Pick
+11.5 -110
-11.5 -110
Total Pick
U 50.5 -110
O 50.5 -110
Buffalo -14
+114

The Bills are 11-0 in their last 11 home games and Highmark Stadium has been a house of horrors for the Dolphins, who haven't won there since 2021. The Dolphins are 3-7 in their last 10 road games and Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa performs much worse on the road. For instance, since the start of 2024, Tagovailoa has tossed 15 touchdowns and four interceptions at home while throwing seven touchdowns and six interceptions on the road.

Meanwhile, Allen is a much better passer at home (despite his home stadium sometimes being full of snow) as he thew 17 of his 28 touchdowns in Buffalo last season.

Furthermore, the Miami Dolphins are a complete mess on the field and off of it. It's hard to imagine a short week and a road trip to Buffalo is the medicine they need. I fully expect Buffalo to go for the jugular in the spot and kick the Dolphins while they're down. Miami doesn't have an answer for Josh Allen and this is a strength vs. weakness matchup as the Dolphins are thin in the secondary. 

Click here to read more about why I'm so high on the Bills in this game. 

Bet placed at 6:24 pm ET on Monday, September 15

Bills: OVER 30.5
-118

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Sunday, September 21
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Cincinnati VS Minnesota
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
CIN 20.6 +131
MIN 24.2 -151
Spread Pick
+3 -115
-3 -105
Total Pick
U 42.5 -110
O 42.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Indianapolis VS Tennessee
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
IND 20.0 -210
TEN 24.6 +175
Spread Pick
-4 -110
+4 -110
Total Pick
U 43.5 -110
O 43.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Atlanta VS Carolina
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
ATL 21.4 -240
CAR 25.2 +200
Spread Pick
-5.5 -105
+5.5 -115
Total Pick
U 43.5 -110
O 43.5 -110
Panthers ML
-238

Bijan Robinson ran for 143 yards on 22 carries last week (6.5 YPC) vs. a Vikings defense that is very stout vs. the run. This Panthers defense isn't nearly as good as Minnesota's so expect Robinson to have a field day. Robinson rushed for 265 yards and four touchdowns vs. Carolina in two games last season. The Panthers just don't have the talent to stop Robinson so they'll need to put extra guys in the box which will allow Michael Penix Jr. to beat them deep.

Click here to read more about the Falcons vs. Panthers game. 

*Bet placed at 11:22 pm ET on Tuesday, September 16

1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Green Bay VS Cleveland
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
GB 24.5 -450
CLE 22.6 +350
Spread Pick
-7.5 -110
+7.5 -110
Total Pick
U 41.5 -110
O 41.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Houston VS Jacksonville
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
HOU 17.3 +105
JAC 28.1 -125
Spread Pick
+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
Total Pick
U 44 -110
O 44 -110
Texans ML
+102

The Texans are an incredible 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against the Jaguars. CJ Stroud has dominated Jacksonville, throwing for an average of 292.8 yards with 1.8 touchdowns per game. Houston is being undervalued here off of two losses to tough NFC teams. 

1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Pittsburgh VS New England
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
PIT 19.0 -130
NE 24.7 +110
Spread Pick
-1.5 -115
+1.5 -105
Total Pick
U 44.5 -110
O 44.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
LA Rams VS Philadelphia
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
LAR 19.0 +155
PHI 27.4 -190
Spread Pick
+3.5 -115
-3.5 -105
Total Pick
U 44.5 -110
O 44.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
NY Jets VS Tampa Bay
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
NYJ 16.7 +260
TB 28.7 -325
Spread Pick
+6.5 -110
-6.5 -110
Total Pick
U 43.5 -110
O 43.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Las Vegas VS Washington
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
LV 20.5 +150
WAS 25.6 -175
Spread Pick
+3.5 -115
-3.5 -105
Total Pick
U 44 -110
O 44 -110
4:05 PM ET
See Matchup
Denver VS LA Chargers
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
DEN 23.3 +130
LAC 22.5 -155
Spread Pick
+2.5 -105
-2.5 -115
Total Pick
U 46 -110
O 46 -110
4:05 PM ET
See Matchup
New Orleans VS Seattle
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
NO 16.6 +310
SEA 26.7 -400
Spread Pick
+7.5 -115
-7.5 -105
Total Pick
U 41.5 -110
O 41.5 -110
4:25 PM ET
See Matchup
Arizona VS San Francisco
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
ARI 19.2 +135
SF 25.6 -160
Spread Pick
+2.5 +100
-2.5 -120
Total Pick
U 45.5 -110
O 45.5 -110
4:25 PM ET
See Matchup
Dallas VS Chicago
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
DAL 23.8 -115
CHI 22.4 -105
Spread Pick
-1 -110
+1 -110
Total Pick
U 50.5 -110
O 50.5 -110
OVER 50.5
-105

The Cowboys and Bears have been scoring (and have been getting scored on) in bunches. Expect that to continue when these two face off in Week 3.

Read my full game preview here.

8:20 PM ET
See Matchup
Kansas City VS NY Giants
Experts 2
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
KC 22.7 -290
NYG 22.4 +237
Spread Pick
-6 -110
+6 -110
Total Pick
U 45 -110
O 45 -110
Chiefs -5.5
-118

Look for the Chiefs to bounce back against a Giants defense that ranks near the bottom of the NFL in EPA per play, rushing yards, rushing success rate and third-down conversions allowed.

New York looked a whole lot better than they actually are against an equally awful Dallas defense on Sunday. We're getting a discount on KC based on recent form. Take advantage while it lasts. 

Check out my Chiefs vs Giants betting preview for more!

Chiefs ML
-270

This game is a get-right spot for the Chiefs who are facing a major step down in competition after games against the Eagles and Chargers. Philadelphia ranks 12th in total DVOA at FTNFantasy and the Chargers rank 3rd. Meanwhile, the lowly Giants are the 28th ranked team and should be physically and mentally exhausted after last week's overtime battle with the Cowboys.

The Chiefs have a tendency to play with their food, which is why I'm not betting them to cover the spread, but it's hard to image Kansas City losing in primetime and starting the season 0-3.

Pick made at 11:49 am ET on Wed. September 17

Monday, September 22
8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Detroit VS Baltimore
Experts 2
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
DET 20.6 +200
BAL 27.4 -240
Spread Pick
+4.5 -110
-4.5 -110
Total Pick
U 52.5 -105
O 52.5 -115
Ravens -5.5
-118

Favorites of 4+ points are 12-0 SU through Week 2 of the 2025 NFL season. 

The Ravens have scored an NFL-high 81 points through four games, with Lamar Jackson and the passing attack looking unstoppable. 

Additionally, the Lions are dealing with injuries on their already thin defensive line and have lost five straight games against the Ravens. 

Check out my Lions vs Ravens betting preview for more!

1H Total U 27.5
-135

I expect both of these teams to want to showcase the running game early in this one which will keep the clock ticking. For the Ravens it's a no-brainer to hammer the Lions with Derrick Henry and I expect the Lions to try and take advantage of Lions 2nd-round edge rusher rookie Mike Green in the running game.

A shootout scenario and overtime possibilities at the end of the game are keeping me away form the full game total, which is why I opted for the first half number instead. 

*Bet made at 12:23 pm ET on Thursday September 18

Thursday, September 25
8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Seattle VS Arizona
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
SEA - +115
ARI - -140
Spread Pick
+2.5 -110
-2.5 -110
Total Pick
U 44 -110
O 44 -110
Computer Picks Results - Last 100 Games
Last 100 GamesTo WinATSTotal O/U
$ Units (Opening)$1282$1699-$1498
$ Units (Closing)$1033$1267-$727
Record (Opening)70 - 29 - 162 - 36 - 243 - 52 - 5
Record (Closing)70 - 29 - 158 - 40 - 247 - 50 - 3

 

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above (below the game picks) tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections (based on $100 unit size). We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call "tailing the computer." But, there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks (which can be found above the selections for some matchups), recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system (betting only on underdogs, for example) you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We've got these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Moneyline

NFL moneyline moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We've got a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or over/under betting you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (over) or less than (under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks and your handicapping of totals are more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. We've got dedicated an NFL trends page, power rankings, and an NFL database for you to gauge the talent and value of each team. We've also got updated NFL scores and NFL prop picks on our NFL hub each week.

If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

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