The year’s second UFC pay-per-view is quickly approaching as the welterweight title will be up for grabs with two former teammates battling it out. The UFC 258 main event features champion Kamaru Usman making his third title defense against challenger Gilbert Burns.
Looking at the UFC 258 odds, the titleholder, Usman, is set as the betting favorite with Burns coming back as an underdog. We have the full UFC 258 odds and predictions as well as a preview for each fight on the main card.
The first championship fight of 2021 sees Usman laying his 16-fight winning streak on the line. His most recent title defense came against Jorge Masvidal last July at UFC 251 when he earned a unanimous-decision victory.
As for the challenger, Burns has been on a tear since returning to the welterweight division midway through 2019. He scored four wins in just under a year, including a knockout victory over former two-division title challenger Demian Maia and a decision win over former champion Tyron Woodley.
UFC 258 Odds: Usman vs Burns
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released UFC 258 odds with Kamaru Usman listed as the -265 chalk and Gilbert Burns coming in as a +205 underdog. This means you would have to wager $265 to profit $100 on an Usman victory while a $100 bet on a Burns win would profit you $205.
Looking at the UFC 258 odds for Usman vs Burns, our sports betting calculator tells us that Usman’s odds of -265 represent an implied win probability of 72.97 percent while Burns’ odds of +205 have an implied win probability of 32.26 percent.
While Usman is a sizable favorite in the main event, the biggest favorite in the UFC 258 betting odds is in the welterweight bout between Belal Muhammad (-500) and Dhiego Lima (+350).
The tightest betting line can be found in the co-main event of the evening with Alexa Grasso a -125 favorite over Maycee Barber as a -105 underdog in the women’s strawweight division.
This is a very intriguing title fight in that Kamaru “The Nigerian Nightmare” Usman (-265) and Gilbert “Durinho” Burns (+205) were teammates at Sanford MMA, so there are people that know who got the better of who in the training room. As mentioned off the top, Usman is riding a 16-fight winning streak, while Burns has put together a nice six-fight win streak of his own.
Returning to the Octagon for the first time in over a year following knee surgery is Maycee “The Future” Barber (-105). She suffered her first pro loss in her last appearance, when she tore up her knee. Alexa Grasso (-125) looks to add another loss to Barber’s record and is trying to win consecutive fights for the first time since 2016.
Prediction: Maycee Barber (-105) via decision
Kelvin Gastelum vs Ian Heinisch Odds & Prediction
It has been a rough couple of years for former title challenger Kelvin Gastelum (-230),who seeks his first win since 2018 after losing three straight fights. On the other side, Ian “The Hurricane” Heinisch (+180) dropped two fights in a row in late 2019 but scored a first-round knockout win in his lone 2020 appearance.
Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum (-230) via knockout
Julian Marquez vs Maki Pitolo Odds & Prediction
It has been a long-awaited return to the Octagon for Julian “The Cuban Missile Crisis” Marquez (-170), who has been dealing with injuries since his last bout in July 2018. Maki “Coconut Bombz” Pitolo (+140) will welcome Marquez back to the cage with a closed fist, looking to end a two-fight losing skid.
Prediction: Maki Piolo (+140) via decision
Brian Kelleher vs Ricky Simon Odds & Prediction
After a second-round stoppage in late January on Fight Island, Ricky Simon (-250) returns to the Octagon seeking his second win in 2021 and third in a row overall. He will be competing at featherweight for this fight against Brian "Boom" Kelleher (+195) who scored a first-round submission win in September to close out 2020 going 3-1 on the year.