Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory Sandhagen Odds & Picks

Merab Dvalishvili is a -440 favorite over Cory Sandhagen (+300) in the co-main event of UFC 320 on October 4 in Las Vegas.

This bantamweight title clash features Dvalishvili, who’s fresh off back-to-back wins over Sean O’Malley, taking on the versatile and dangerous Sandhagen in what should be a high-paced chess match of styles.

The Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen odds reflect Merab’s smothering wrestling and world-class cardio, but Sandhagen's unorthodox striking and finishing ability bring just enough chaos to make things interesting.

Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen Odds - UFC 320

Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen Odds - UFC 320
Fighter	Odds
Merab Dvalishvili	-440
Cory Sandhagen	+300

How To Bet Dvalishvili

Dvalishvili is a grinder. He's a cardio machine who puts a pace on opponents that they simply can’t keep up with. He completely shut down Sean O’Malley in two title fights, neutralizing his movement and even locking up a submission in their rematch.

Sandhagen presents some similar challenges to O’Malley — long frame, crafty striking, slick kicks — but Dvalishvili has already proven he can smother that archetype. Expect Merab to rely on nonstop takedowns, clinch pressure, and dominant control time to wear his opponent down.

For betting, the best angle is likely Dvalishvili to win, plus a rounds OVER. We can also consider Merab double chance by submission/decision, but it's hard to predict if there is enough value there. We can chase better value by pairing Merab ML with the OVER 3.5 rounds. Merab’s not known for early finishes, and Sandhagen’s ground awareness should keep him in the fight long enough to keep my same-game parlay alive.

How To Bet Sandhagen

Sandhagen is a dynamic striker with serious creativity and heart. He’s not quite as fast as O’Malley, but he’s more aggressive, more willing to engage in chaos, and has underrated finishing power, particularly with knees and elbows in close.

If you believe Sandhagen can disrupt Merab’s rhythm and land damage early, betting him straight up at +300 is a solid underdog play. He’s also a great value stab for a KO win, which lands around +700, depending on the book. Merab’s chin has held up so far, but Sandhagen brings unique angles and isn’t afraid to throw with volume.

Still, the most realistic Sandhagen path to victory is catching Merab with something unorthodox. He’s a volume striker who thrives in momentum swings — just think back to his 2021 brawl with Petr Yan. If you’re betting Sandhagen, you’re banking on a wild sequence going his way.

Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen Betting Pick - UFC 320

Merab has proven that he can dismantle this type of rangy fighter by dragging them into his world. Sandhagen will likely push a tougher pace than O’Malley did, but the result should look similar: relentless grappling, control time, and a grinding win for the champ. I’m siding with Dvalishvili + the OVER 3.5 rounds.