UFC Picks: Best Bets & UFC Predictions March 13, 2026

Do you want UFC expert picks? Well, you're in the right spot.

Our Odds Shark UFC expert Ethan Diamandas has you covered with picks and predictions for every UFC event of the year. We also amp up our coverage for pay-per-view events with individual betting previews (including odds and picks) for all the biggest fights.

Here are your UFC expert picks and predictions for the upcoming event, as well as our profit tracker for recent expert selections:

Picks Results
Market	Record	Units
Last Card	0-1	-1.00
Overall	21-22	-0.32

UFC prop bets: Carlos Ulberg By KO (-125 at FanDuel)

Carlos Ulberg enters UFC Perth riding an eight-fight win streak built on crisp, disciplined kickboxing. The 6’4” Kiwi keeps opponents at the end of his 77-inch reach and overwhelms with volume, landing 6.77 significant strikes per minute at 55% accuracy. He isn’t reckless — preferring to pick spots and slowly break fighters down — but when openings appear, his power is real.

Dominick Reyes presents a technical striking threat with renewed confidence after three straight finishes, but his recent durability issues linger. He’s been stopped in four of his last five defeats, and long exchanges against an accurate, high-volume striker like Ulberg create danger over five rounds. If Reyes can’t create chaos early, Ulberg’s steady pace and clean shot selection should wear him down and set up a finish.

Given Ulberg’s combination of volume, accuracy, and Reyes’ history of fading when pressured, the KO/TKO prop at -125 matches how this fight is most likely to end.

UFC Prop Bets: Jimmy Crute By Decision (+210 at FanDuel)

Jimmy Crute heads to Perth looking to grind out a win in his light heavyweight co-main event with Ivan Erslan. Crute’s style is built on forward pressure, clinch work, and durability — a recipe that often takes fights the full 15 minutes when an early finish doesn’t materialize. Erslan, a rugged Croatian newcomer, has been durable in defeat, with both of his UFC losses coming by decision and little evidence that he can be overwhelmed by one-shot power.

The matchup profile points toward a long, competitive fight. Crute’s toughness and steady output can wear on Erslan over three rounds, while Erslan’s defense and ability to survive bad spots limit the chance of an early stoppage.

What Are UFC Picks?

In terms of combat sports, nothing beats the UFC. And the UFC odds have long enticed bettors to wager on their favorite fighters to make some coin.

Let's walk through the main UFC betting markets.

To Win Fight

UFC moneyline betting simply comes down to betting on who you believe is going to win the fight. For example, Conor McGregor was a -140 favorite for his fight vs Eddie Alvarez at UFC 205.

Our odds calculator tells us that for you to win $100, you would need to wager $140 on McGregor. Alvarez was the +110 underdog, meaning you must wager $100 to win $110.

Fight Outcome

The method of victory bet is a wager you place on how the fight will be won instead of who will win it.

Method of Victory	McGregor Odds	Alvarez Odds
Knockout	+150	+180
Submission	+250	+300
Decision	+110	+250

Using the same example of UFC 205, if you believe McGregor will win via knockout – which he did – that would be your method of victory bet.

Round Betting

A total rounds wager is similar to an OVER/UNDER bet you would make on any other sport but instead of guessing if the points total will be less or more than the amount set by the sportsbook, you would bet the number of rounds.

Option	Rounds
OVER	2.5
UNDER	2.5

If you think the fight between McGregor and Alvarez will be over in 2.5 rounds or less, you would bet the UNDER. If you think the fight will go more than 2.5 rounds, you would bet the OVER.