NBA Finals Game 7 Betting Report

Sunday's Game 7 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder at the Paycom Center marks the 20th time that the NBA Finals has gone the distance and the first since 2016.

Betting on such a matchup can be incredibly difficult, as the opportunity to hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy comes down to one game on one day with at least 48 minutes of basketball. What this series has consistently taught us is to expect the unexpected, but by taking a look back at recent Game 7's in the Finals, perhaps we can determine the path of greatest value for this latest iteration.

Here are the betting lines and outcomes from each Game 7 of the Finals dating back to 2000, and if those numbers can aid upcoming wagers as Indiana and Oklahoma City take the hardwood on June 22.

DraftKings

History Of NBA Finals Game 7 Since 2000 (sU/ATS)

Year	Winner	Opponent	Site	Score	Line	ATS Result
2016	Cleveland Cavaliers	Golden State Warriors	Oracle Arena	93-89	+5	W
2013	Miami Heat	San Antonio Spurs	Kaseya Center	95-88	-6	W
2010	Los Angeles Lakers	Boston Celtics	Crypto.com Arena	83-79	-7	L
2005	San Antonio Spurs	Detroit Pistons	Frost Bank Center	81-74	-5.5	W

Does Home Court Matter?

Of the 19 prior occasions in which a Finals Game 7 has occurred, the home team ended up prevailing a staggering 15 times, equating to a 78.9-percent success rate. However, the most recent example between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors in 2016 saw the road side in Cleveland pull off the upset, although it did take a historic 3-1 series comeback for that result to manifest.

Keep in mind, though, that for Game 7's in general dating back to September 11, 2020 in the Bubble, home teams are only 6-11.

DraftKings

History Of NBA Finals Game 7 Since 2000 (OVER/UNDER)

Year	Winner	Opponent	Site	Score	O/U Line	O/U Result
2016	Cleveland Cavaliers	Golden State Warriors	Oracle Arena	93-89	207	UNDER
2013	Miami Heat	San Antonio Spurs	Kaseya Center	95-88	188	UNDER
2010	Los Angeles Lakers	Boston Celtics	Crypto.com Arena	83-79	187	UNDER
2005	San Antonio Spurs	Detroit Pistons	Frost Bank Center	81-74	175	UNDER

Points Are Hard to Come By

We're obviously in a new era of the sport in which points are plentiful and defense can often be non-existent with ticky-tacky fouls, but as you can see in the table above, no team in a Finals Game 7 over the last 25 years has broken the 100-point mark. There have been four UNDERs in the totals market with only the 2016 Finals having an OVER/UNDER line set beforehand at above 200 points.

There has been four UNDERs through the first six games of the 2025 Finals, as well, and while both teams finished with better than 100 points each in the first five, the Thunder did just drop 91 points in Game 6 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.