Deion Sanders featured in our 2023 college football win totals

2023 College Football Win Totals: Colorado Will Go OVER

As we anxiously await the return of a new college football season, it's time to lock in your futures plays. The early bird gets the worm, right?

A variety of online sportsbooks have released early odds for OVER/UNDER college football win totals ahead of the 2023 season, kicking off in August.

Obviously Georgia, currently favored to accomplish a three-peat in the national championship odds, has the highest win total. Here’s a look at the rest of the college football win totals already available for the 2023 NCAAF season:

2023 College Football Win Totals

2023 Regular-season NCAAF win totals
Team2023 Win Total LineOVERUNDER2022 Record
Alabama Crimson Tide10.5+140-16511-2
Army Black Knights6+105-1306-6
Baylor Bears7.5+135-1706-7
Colorado Buffaloes3-105-1151-11
Clemson Tigers9.5-140+12011-3
Florida Gators5.5-105-1156-7
Georgia Bulldogs11.5+130-15015-0
Kansas Jayhawks6.5+130-1506-7
Kansas State Wildcats8.5+110-13010-4
Kentucky Wildcats6.5-145+1257-6
Liberty Flames9.5+140-1658-5
LSU Tigers9.5+110-13010-4
Michigan Wolverines10.5-105-11513-1
Michigan State Spartans5.5+130-1505-7
Mississippi State Bulldogs6.5+115-1357-6
Notre Dame Fighting Irish9+110-1309-4
Ohio State Buckeyes10.5-105-11511-2
Oklahoma Sooners9.5-115-1056-7
Ole Miss Rebels6.5+100-1208-5
Oregon Ducks9.5+100-12010-3
Oregon State Beavers8-135+11510-3
Penn State Nittany Lions9.5-130+11011-2
Syracuse Orange6.5+105-1257-6
TCU Horned Frogs7.5-125+11513-2
Tennessee Volunteers9.5+130-15011-2
Texas Longhorns9.5-115-1058-5
Texas A&M Aggies7.5-150+1305-7
Texas Tech Red Raiders7.5+120-1408-5
UCLA Bruins8.5+110-1309-4
USC Trojans9.5-165+14011-3
Utah Utes8.5+125-14510-4

Odds as of August 3

College Football Win Totals To Watch For the OVER

Some of these set totals are predictable or profitably enticing. Let's take a deep dive into the ones you should consider!

Colorado Buffaloes OVER 3 Wins 

Okay, let's talk about the obvious. New head coach Deion Sanders is about to turn this program upside down. Coach Prime has already seen 52 scholarship players walk into the transfer portal. But, who needs them? They finished an embarrassing 1-11 last season and sat at the bottom in defensive rankings. 

Based on his recent resume, Sanders' rebuild's are immediate. I expect the Buffaloes to stampede through the 3 wins total and should pick up wins against groups like Nebraska Cornhuskers (Week 2), Colorado State Rams (Week 3), Arizona State Sun Devils (Week 6), Stanford Cardinal (Week 7) and Arizona Wildcats (Week 10).

Since May this line has dropped from +135 to -105, but still this is the best profit on the board for the number of wins. Plus, before Colorado's bombshell move to the Big 12 conference in 2024, it'll want to gain some traction as a program before being aligned with some notable names. Keep an eye on the line movement ahead of the season.

Notre Dame OVER 9 wins

Don't even point fingers at me for being biased right now. This line is doable for the Fighting Irish this year. Why? Sam Hartman, an early Heisman Trophy favorite, is looking like Notre Dame's saving grace. 

The Wake Forest transfer completed over 63 percent of his tosses in his last season with the Demon Deacons. He posted over 3,700 yards and 38 touchdowns, which pushed him to hold the ACC record in passing touchdowns (110).

A steady quarterback is exactly what Notre Dame needs heading into its second season in the Marcus Freeman era. The Irish will need some extra fight meeting Ohio State (Week 5) and USC (Week 8). But every other slate has plenty of opportunity for Notre Dame to come out on top. Also, plus money value!? I like it.

College Football Win Totals To Watch For the uNDER

Sometimes being pinned as one of the best has its downsides. Here's a few teams I think are getting a higher total than they bargained for:

TCU Horned Frogs UNDER 7.5 Wins 

Nobody expected TCU to finish 13-1 and take up the third spot in the CFP in 2022. But, the Horned Frogs will be jumping with their offensive trio of QB Max Duggan, RB Kendre Miller and WR Quentin Johnston, who were all selected in the 2023 NFL Draft

Duggan's 3,698 passing yards and 32 touchdowns was a Cinderella story of perseverance. But, all stories must come to an end. TCU will miss this 7.5 win mark. 

georgia Bulldogs UNDER 11.5 Wins

Is this a hot take? Probably. I know the Bulldogs are returning 13 starters, including TE Brock Bowers, who finished with 152 yards in the title game last season.

But, it won't be the same team without Stetson Bennett marinating in the pocket with his Joe Moore Award finalist offensive line. Do they have an easier schedule? Yeah. But, I wouldn't totally count out a couple of upsets. 

Odds to go undefeated in 2023 Regular Season

2023 NCAAF Odds to Go Undefeated
Alabama Crimson Tide+425-700
Clemson Tigers+425-700
Florida State Seminoles+800-2000
LSU Tigers+675-1500
Michigan Wolverines+425-700
North Carolina Tar Heels+2000-10000
Notre Dame Fighting Irish+1000-4000
Ohio State Buckeyes+330-500
Oklahoma Sooners+675-1500
Oregon Ducks+800-2000
Penn State Nittany Lions+800-2000
Tennessee Volunteers+1000-4000
Texas Longhorns+800-2000
USC Trojans+500-900
Washington Huskies+800-2000

Odds as of August 3

Winning every matchup is a tough feat in college football. Only two groups finished last regular season with undefeated records, the Michigan Wolverines (13-0) and the Dawgs (13-0), who went on to win the national title. In the year prior, it was the unexpected Cincinnati Bearcats to carry the only coveted goose-egg next to their name.

For the upcoming season, there's a couple of groups who could accomplish going undefeated. 

Michigan Wolverines (+425)

Since returning from the mess of 2020, the Big Blue have dropped just three regular season contests under Jim Harbaugh. The back-to-back Big 10 champions return to the field this year with the same shining stars in QB J.J. McCarthy and RB Blake Corum, who should be healthier than ever before. 

USC Trojans (+500)

The Trojans were a lot better than what their 11-3 record last year shows. USC should've competed in the CFP and it's a shame we didn't witness Heisman-winner Caleb Williams in playoff glory. But, he returns and has the no. 1 wide receiver of the 2023 recruiting class, Zachariah Branch, in his arsenal. Another group moving onto an intimidating Big 10 conference, USC will want to prove it has what it takes to compete.

Understanding Odds For College Football Win Totals

At any sportsbook, you’ll see prop win odds listed like this:

(The O stands for OVER and the U stands for UNDER.)

Alabama 11.5: O -105, U -125

Michigan 7.5: O -135, U +105

Notre Dame 9: O +110, U -140

USC 8.5: O -130, U EVEN

Let’s look at the Crimson Tide. Last season they had 12 regular-season wins. If you think they’re going to run the table again this year, you would take the OVER. A $100 bet would give you a payout of $195.24 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $95.24. On the other hand, if you think they won’t win more than 11.5 games, you would take the UNDER. That same $100 gives you $180 – you get your money back coupled with the $80 you won. Our odds calculator will show you what you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

When you see EVEN, it means there’s a 50-50 chance for that particular scenario. In the case of the Trojans, it means oddsmakers looked at all the factors and determined that USC has enough tools in its arsenal to lose more than seven games but they also have the talent to win more than seven games. It’s complicated, so think of it this way: If you were to take the UNDER and you won your bet, there is no juice – the portion of your bet that the sportsbook takes – and you’d essentially double your money. 

You can find a full breakdown of how to bet on win totals here, and full NCAAF championship odds here.

What Is A Prop Bet For NCAA Football?

Although this may look like a totals bet because of the OVER/UNDER aspect, this is actually a prop. Short for proposition, this is a bet made on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain player or team milestones that don’t necessarily correlate to the outcome of a game. In this case, you’re betting on whether the total number of wins for a specific team will be more or less than the oddsmaker’s set number.