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Tar Heels enjoy success on the road against Duke

Elijah Hood North Carolina

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against the Duke Blue Devils dating back to 1998. The Tar Heels hope to keep that trend going as a road favorite Thursday night at Duke.

  • North Carolina is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games against Duke.
  • The visiting team is 2-5 ATS in the last seven games in this matchup.
  • Duke is 4-0 ATS in its last four games after a loss.

Duke isn't the only team that hasn't had success against North Carolina at home in recent seasons. In the team's last nine road games, the Tar Heels are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS, all against ACC opponents. North Carolina started its road win streak with a 45-20 win as a 5-point favorite over Duke in 2014.

The Blue Devils will likely fail to reach bowl eligibility this season with a 3-6 SU record through their first nine games and a tough three-game stretch to end the season. Despite the straight-up record, Duke has been a tough out this season with a 6-3 ATS record including a current stretch of 4-0 ATS.

Points could be difficult to come by in this one as the UNDER is 6-0 in Duke's last six home games and 7-0 in North Carolina's last seven Thursday games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Duke Blue Devils pegged as 10.5-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, had yet to be posted as of writing - check the lines shortly.

Odds Shark prediction models pick the Tar Heels to win this game on Thursday 38-27. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Duke will face the 7-2 North Carolina Tar Heels, who own a 6-3 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Duke Blue Devils are 2-7 so far this season while the Tar Heels are 4-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Duke vs North Carolina injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 72 (Duke Blue Devils) and the No. 37 (North Carolina Tar Heels) teams in the league, according to our current NCAA football Power Rankings at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Duke's No. 92-ranked offense, averaging 24.5 PPG, against a North Carolina defense that ranks No. 63 this week at 27 PPG. The Duke aerial game is averaging 241.25 yards per game, more than the North Carolina Tar Heels secondary allows through the air, 194 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the North Carolina Tar Heels own the league's No. 0-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 163.5 yards per game when on the road. Duke, on the other hand, rates No. 0 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Mitch Trubisky led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 329 yards Saturday as the Tar Heels downed the Yellow Jackets 48-20 at Kenan Stadium.

In their last game, the Blue Devils were Week 10 losers coming out on the wrong end of 24-21 score against Virginia Tech.

Betting Trends
  • North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • North Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
  • North Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Duke is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Duke is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games
  • Duke is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

North Carolina home to The Citadel, Saturday, November 19th
Duke at Pittsburgh, Saturday, November 19th