Ole Miss vs Georgia Odds & Picks: Dawgs To Cover In Sugar Bowl

The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (12-1 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) will kick off their College Football Playoff journey against the No. 6 Ole Miss Rebels (12-1 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) at the Sugar Bowl at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. As per our bowl odds page, the Bulldogs enter as 6.5-point favorites at FanDuel, with the total set at 55.5 points, the largest total of the quarterfinals. A rematch from Week 8's 43-35 shootout, Georgia will look for another win over Ole Miss, which may be entering the matchup without its top running back, Kewan Lacy, and starting quarterback, Trinidad Chambliss, who both suffered injuries in the first round. The winner of this matchup will advance to the CFP Semifinal Fiesta Bowl.

Ole miss vs georgia Odds

Matchup Page: Ole Miss vs Georgia, Jan. 1, 8 pm ET

Ole Miss vs Georgia Odds
Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Ole Miss Rebels	+6.5 (-108)	+205	OVER 55.5 (-115)
Georgia Bulldogs	-6.5 (-112)	-255	UNDER 55.5 (-105)

Ole miss vs georgia Pick

This version of the rematch should look more controlled than the 43-35 finish back in Week 8. Since that meeting, Georgia is allowing just 11.6 PPG and holding every opponent under 21 points in that span. Ole Miss has also defended better later in the year, allowing 13.2 points per game in its last four outings, with Tulane (411.6 YPG, top-25) the best offense during that stretch and still limiting the Green Wave to 10-points despite giving up over 420 total yards.

Allowing chunks of yards like that won't fly against the Dawgs. Ole Miss still owns one of the nation’s most explosive offenses, posting 490.1 YPG (ranked second), but the defensive cracks definitely showed against Georgia.

In their last meeting, the Bulldogs won despite trailing twice, closing the game with 17 unanswered points and dominating possession by +15 minutes. The Rebels were also one of three teams to let Georgia pocket 500+ total yards this season (the others Mississippi State and Tennessee).

Offensively, Gunner Stockton has been stable despite rounding out the regular season facing three-ranked competitors in the final four weeks. Against a then-No 10 Texas he riddled off four touchdowns and went 24-for-29. In the SEC Championship vs. then-No. 9 Alabama, he recorded a noble 156 yards and three touchdowns. Meanwhile, RB Nate Frazier’s 861 rushing yards have kept Georgia balanced on the ground.

There is also the possibility the Rebels will be without the some key players. RB Kewan Lacy suffered a left shoulder injury in the first round and is listed as questionable. The sophomore's 21 touchdowns are the second-most among all college football quarterbacks. Then, starting quarterback after Trinidad Chambliss also went down with an injury. As of the beginning of the week, there is no official update on their status.

Ole Miss cracked 400+ yards in every meeting this season but one; against Georgia, where the Rebels were held to a season-low 351 yards. Kirby Smart has the solution to Ole Miss' firepower while the Rebels defense will continue to struggle to contain the Bulldogs.

Ole Miss vs Georgia Pick: Bulldogs -6.5 (-112)

*Pick made December 22nd

Ole miss vs georgia Prop Bet

Nate Frazier OVER 60.5 Rushing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Frazier is the heartbeat to Georgia's ground attack, leading the group with 861 yards and eclipsing this line in three of his last five. Last time he faced Ole Miss, the sophomore gained 72 yards on 17 carries. He saves his best for big matchups, averaging 67.8 yards in six games against ranked opponents; the only team he failed to cash the OVER on 60.5 rushing yards in that span was against Alabama twice. The Rebels are used to being gashed on the ground, allowing a middling 161.7 rushing yards per game. The defense even gave up 115 rushing yards to Tulane, a group that records a fair 155 yards per game, much less intimidating than Georgia's 186.8 average.

Ole miss vs georgia Betting Trends

According to our NCAAF database, Ole Miss is 1-3 SU/ATS in its last four outings when underdogs of 6.5-points
Georgia is 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS in its last seven games when favored vs SEC opponents
The OVER has hit in three of the last five Sugar Bowls
Per Outlier, the UNDER hit in 4 of Ole Miss' last 6 games vs. top 25 scoring defenses