Oregon vs Indiana Odds & Picks: Rematch In The Peach Bowl

The No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers (14-0 SU, 9-5 ATS) will meet the No. 5 Oregon Ducks (13-1 SU, 8-5-1 ATS) at the Peach Bowl in Atlanta for the College Football Playoff Semifinals. As per our bowl odds page, the Hoosiers enter as 3.5-point favorites at FanDuel, with the total set at 48.5 points. Indiana and Oregon meet for the second time this season with a trip to the National Championship at stake. The Hoosiers won the last meeting, 30-20, after a fourth-quarter touchdown sealed the deal.

Oregon vs indiana Odds

Matchup Page: Oregon vs Indiana, Jan. 9, 7:30 pm ET

Oregon vs Indiana Odds
Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Oregon Ducks	+3.5 (-120)	+140	OVER 48.5 (-115)
Indiana Hoosiers	-3.5 (-102)	-166	UNDER 48.5 (-105)

Oregon vs indiana Pick

Indiana is coming off a 38-3 rout over Alabama in the Rose Bowl, holding the Crimson Tide to 193 total yards. The Hoosiers have now won nine of their 14 games by at least 20 points while their defense is allowing just 11.1 points per game (ranked second) and 4.5 yards per play (top-10). The offense is led by Heisman Trophy winner Fernando Mendoza, who completed 14 of 16 passes for 192 yards and three touchdowns against Alabama and owns a 72.3% completion rate this season. Indiana’s run game is complementary, with Roman Hemby and Kaelon Black combining for over 1,900 rushing yards, while the Hoosiers average just under 5.2 yards per carry.

Oregon defeated Texas Tech, 23-0, in the Orange Bowl, forcing four turnovers and recording the third shutout in CFP history. The Ducks allow 15.3 points per game (ranked sixth), limiting opponents to 269.2 yards per game (ranked fourth) and rank third in the nation allowing under 50% completions through the air. However, the offense showed cracks in the quarterfinal, managing just 64 rushing yards on 47 carries.

Quarterback Dante Moore remains the Ducks’ weapon. The projected top NFL Draft pick has thrown for over 3,200 yards with 28 touchdowns this season, but Indiana suffocated him in Week 7, recording six sacks and two interceptions. Oregon rushed for 81 yards in that game and struggled to get the momentum going, a concern against an Indiana front that allows just 3 yards per carry (top-10).

On a neutral field, with two elite defenses and quarterbacks who will be under constant pressure, I like the UNDER here.

Oregon vs Indiana Pick: UNDER 48.5 (-105)

*Pick made January 2nd

Oregon vs indiana Prop Bet

Oregon Total Rushing Yards UNDER 106.5 (-114)

Like I said above, a successful game rests on Dante Moore's shoulders. Though the Ducks have depth in their ground attack with Noah Whittington's 829 yards and Jordon Davison's 15 touchdowns, they haven't been piling up yards. The run game accounted for just 64 yards vs. Texas Tech in the quarterfinals. And again, pocketed 81 yards the in Week 7's tilt against Indiana. The Hoosiers sit top-10 in the nation giving up just three yards per carry and rank third by allowing just 76 rushing yards per game with only 43% of opponents plays staying on the ground (ranked third).

Oregon vs indiana Betting Trends

According to our NCAAF database, the UNDER has hit in six of the last nine when Oregon enters as an underdog of 3.5-points
The UNDER has hit in two of the last three when Indiana is a favorite of 3.5-points
Indiana is 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS in its last nine when favored by 3.5-points
Per Outlier, the UNDER hit in six of Indiana's last six games vs. top 25 scoring defenses