A Mountain West clash takes to the royal blue hue of Lyle Smith Field as the San Diego State Aztecs visit the No. 15 Boise State Broncos, both undefeated in conference play. Sportsbooks are heavily favoring the home team with FanDuel tagging the Broncos as massive 23.5-point favorites. That line draws a bit of betting hesitancy from me since Boise State's last two offensive showcases have been calm, earning 29 points or fewer across each. However, with the Aztecs not seeing stiff competition this year, this is a prime rebound position for the Broncos to regain some confidence as a potential CFP spot is at stake.
San Diego State vs Boise State Odds
Matchup Page: San Diego State vs Boise State, 8:00 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | +23.5 (-110) | +1100 | OVER 56.5 (-105) |
| Boise State Broncos | -23.5 (-110) | -2500 | UNDER 56.5 (-115) |
Odds as of October 29 at FanDuel
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San Diego State vs Boise State Picks – Week 10
Something is sort of off with Boise State, averaging the nation's second-best 42.3 PPG this season to 28.5 points across its last two outings. It started with a draining trip to Hawaii, a momentum-halting bye week, and a tough road matchup against UNLV. Now, it's home sweet home.
Sure the Aztecs are 2-0 against fellow Mountain West foes. But, that counts for nothing when the wins are mere three-point victories over some of the conference's worst programs, Hawaii and Wyoming. The defense is on the bad side of the standings, allowing over 400 yards per game. Also, the Aztecs coughing up 175 yards on the ground is staring me in the face knowing that it's a weak point Ashton Jeanty is going to brutally expose.
Spencer Danielson is on the cusp of earning his bench a College Football Playoff spot. Dominant wins to wrap up the season will be a deciding factor. The Broncos need to repeat their explosive offensive start to the season, averaging 50.6 points across their first five performances. Boise State is set up in a perfect space on its home field to accomplish a blowout win and refuel its confidence.
San Diego State vs Boise State Week 10 Pick: Boise State -23.5 (-110)
*picks made as of Tuesday, October 29 at 10:00 am ET
San Diego State vs Boise State News
Averaging an unfathomable 196.5 rushing yards, Jeanty had a bleak Week 9 performance, recording 128 yards for his second-lowest mark this season. I mean, that's bleak in terms of what the Heisman frontrunner is typically capable of. Turns out he injured his left arm in the first half against UNLV as he returned from halftime all taped up. Following the gritty win in Las Vegas, Jeanty reassured the media he was alright and would take steps to get himself treated. I would expect Jeanty to continue battling this week but his status will continue to be monitored.
San Diego State vs Boise State Prop Bet: Ashton jeanty uNDER 12.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Boise State is always looking to get the pigskin into the star-studded running back's hands. But typically, the playmaking results in handing the ball off to the junior after the snap. His nearly 1,400 rushing yards speak for itself. Jeanty has only hit OVER 12.5 receiving yards once this season, which was in Honolulu when he snagged 20 yards in the air. Our friends at Outlier show that Jeanty has failed to exceed this line in four of his last five appearances at Albertsons Stadium.
San Diego State vs Boise State Betting Trends
- Boise State is 8-2-1 (72.7%) ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite
- San Diego State is 2-10 SU (16.7%) in its last 12 games as an underdog
- The UNDER hit in 8 of San Diego State's last 12 games
