NCAAF

Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Texas A&M
Aggies
5 - 2
Mississippi State
Bulldogs
4 - 3
October 27, 2018, 7:00 PM EDT
 | Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Game Preview

Texas A&M
Aggies
5 - 2
Mississippi State
Bulldogs
4 - 3
October 27, 2018, 7:00 PM EDT
 | Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
  • The Texas A&M Aggies open as 3-point underdogs in Week 9 vs the Mississippi State Bulldogs in what’s anticipated to be a close, low-scoring game. Jimbo Fisher’s squad is 6-1 ATS this season, including covering the spread vs Alabama and Clemson in their only other two games as underdogs this year. Meanwhile, MSU is 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four outings.

    SHARK BITES
    • The total has gone UNDER in Mississippi State’s last four games (avg. combined score: 27.0).
    • Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs its conference.
    • Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs Mississippi State.

    Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Game Center

    Bulldogs Getting the Benefit of the Doubt by Oddsmakers

    Mississippi State is getting the benefit of the doubt with home-field advantage by oddsmakers in this Week 9 SEC game. MSU is 3-1 SU and ATS at home this season with wins over Stephen F. Austin and Louisiana-Lafayette, ho-hum, but it’s the October 6 game vs Auburn that gets them the favorite role in Saturday’s game.

    MSU opened the Auburn game as 3-point dogs but dominated the Tigers on home turf. That was three weeks ago and their last home game after a bye week and then the loss at LSU.

    Defense is the Hallmark of Both Teams

    Mississippi State has the No. 3 scoring defense at 13.6 points per game while Texas A&M is a touchdown worse at 20.3 points per game against. The Aggies’ number is a little inflated as they saw Alabama put up a 45-spot on them plus 28 more from No. 2 Clemson a few weeks back.

    In addition to the points per game, these defenses are both among the best in the nation in yards against. Mississippi State has kept teams to 282 yards per game while Texas A&M sits at 320 yards per game after Week 8.

    My Pick for This Game

    I’m taking the Aggies as the road underdog in this one and will also be betting UNDER 45 points. Both teams have been among the top defensive teams in the nation while the Aggies have had a better offense.

    Texas A&M is averaging 32.3 points per game, good for 47th in the FBS, while accumulating 487 yards per game. The Aggies pushed Clemson to the brink and managed to keep Alabama to a 22-point win, the national champs’ closest game so far.

    Mississippi State is in the middle to the bottom of the pack when it comes to offensive production with 406 yards per game (69th) and 27 points per game (82nd). While the home-field advantage will certainly be real, I don’t think it’s enough to push them past the 16th-ranked team in the latest AP poll.

Odds

Saturday, October 27 Sat Oct 27


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+3
-125
+135
o45.5
-110
-3
+105
-155
u45.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+1.5
-117
-105
o42.5
-115
-1.5
-103
-115
u42.5
-105

Edge Finder

22.75
Points Scored
31.62
214.17
Passing Yards
300.46
142.25
Rushing Yards
82.54
27:51
Time on Field
30:09
63.17
Number of Plays
71.54
5.73
Yards Per Play
5.49
22.75
Points Scored
31.62
4.83
First Quarter
7.46
6.83
Second Quarter
9.15
5.08
Third Quarter
5.54
6.00
Fourth Quarter
9.00
214.17
Passing Yards
300.46
32.58
Pass Attempts
48.77
18.33
Pass Completions
32.85
2.08
Sacks
2.00
12.08
Sack Yards
18.23
11.68
Yards Per Pass
9.15
142.25
Rushing Yards
82.54
30.58
Rush Attempts
22.77
4.65
Yards Per Rush
3.63
0.50
Interceptions
0.69
1.83
Fumbles
1.38
1.00
Fumbles Lost
0.77
1.50
Total Turnovers
1.46
6.33
Penalties
6.31
49.08
Penalty Yards
60.77
27:51
Time on Field
30:09
63.17
Number of Plays
71.54
5.73
Yards Per Play
5.49
5.17
Punts
4.08
41.33
Punt Average
40.24
53.67
Return Yards
101.08

Head To Head

TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
3-4
Record
4-3
2-5
ATS
5-2
4-3
O/U
4-3
33.29
Points Scored
33.14
175.57
Rush Yds
244.57
37.71
Pass Attempts
29.14
62.50
Completion %
59.80
293.14
Passing Yds
197.00
468.71
Total Yds
441.57
2.00
Turnovers
1.43
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
1-2
Record
2-1
1-2
ATS
2-1
1-2
O/U
1-2
24.00
Points Scored
29.00
135.67
Rush Yds
263.00
37.67
Pass Attempts
28.67
50.44
Completion %
58.14
258.67
Passing Yds
186.67
394.33
Total Yds
449.67
1.67
Turnovers
1.67
Oct 28/17 (1 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Home
Away
14
Points Scored
35
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
57 o
O/U
57 u
96
Rush Yds
228
41
Pass Attempts
21
39.02
Completion %
57.14
189
Passing Yds
141
285
Total Yds
369
3
Turnovers
1
Nov 5/16 (2 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Away
Home
28
Points Scored
35
-10
ATS
+10
61 o
O/U
61 u
117
Rush Yds
365
31
Pass Attempts
31
51.61
Completion %
58.06
265
Passing Yds
209
382
Total Yds
574
2
Turnovers
2
Oct 3/15 (3 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Home
Away
30
Points Scored
17
-4
ATS
+4
63 o
O/U
63 u
194
Rush Yds
196
41
Pass Attempts
34
60.98
Completion %
58.82
322
Passing Yds
210
516
Total Yds
406
0
Turnovers
2
Oct 4/14 (4 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Away
Home
31
Points Scored
48
+3
ATS
-3
72 o
O/U
72 u
161
Rush Yds
280
62
Pass Attempts
27
59.68
Completion %
77.78
365
Passing Yds
279
526
Total Yds
559
3
Turnovers
2
Nov 9/13 (5 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Home
Away
51
Points Scored
41
-19
ATS
+19
68 o
O/U
68 u
91
Rush Yds
299
39
Pass Attempts
42
76.92
Completion %
54.76
446
Passing Yds
257
537
Total Yds
556
3
Turnovers
1
Nov 3/12 (6 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Away
Home
38
Points Scored
13
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
61.5 o
O/U
61.5 u
361
Rush Yds
98
39
Pass Attempts
30
82.05
Completion %
63.33
332
Passing Yds
212
693
Total Yds
310
1
Turnovers
1
Dec 31/00 (7 of 7)
TEXA&M
Stat Type MIS.ST
Home
Away
41
Points Scored
43
-1
ATS
+1
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
209
Rush Yds
246
11
Pass Attempts
19
81.82
Completion %
47.37
133
Passing Yds
71
342
Total Yds
317
2
Turnovers
1

Team Records

TEXA&M
Record MIS.ST
5-2
All
4-3
3-1
Home
3-1
1-1
Away
1-2
1-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-1
ATS
4-3
4-0
ATS Home
3-1
2-0
ATS Away
1-2
0-1
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
2-4
O/U
1-5
1-2
O/U Home
1-2
1-1
O/U Away
0-3
0-1
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
TEXA&M
Record MIS.ST
3-1
All
1-3
1-0
Home
1-1
1-1
Away
0-2
1-0
Neutral Site
0-0
3-1
ATS
1-3
1-0
ATS Home
1-1
2-0
ATS Away
0-2
0-1
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
1-3
O/U
0-4
0-1
O/U Home
0-2
1-1
O/U Away
0-2
0-1
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
TEXA&M
Record MIS.ST
5-2
All
4-3
3-1
Home
3-1
1-1
Away
1-2
1-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-1
ATS
4-3
4-0
ATS Home
3-1
2-0
ATS Away
1-2
0-1
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
2-4
O/U
1-5
1-2
O/U Home
1-2
1-1
O/U Away
0-3
0-1
O/U Neutral Site
0-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
5:00 pm EDT Clear
18ºC / 64ºF
56% Humidity
0% Precipitation
12% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 13, 2018S.CARO26-23W-2.5/50W/U10535345876223299-2
Oct 6, 2018KENTUC20-14W-5.5/49W/U164226390701081782
Sep 29, 2018ARK24-17W-19.5/56.5L/U176201377551932481
Sep 22, 2018ALAB23-45L+24.5/59W/O1302633931094155242
Sep 15, 2018UL.MON48-10W-28/66W/U281249530103225328-1
Sep 8, 2018CLEM26-28L+12/50.5W/O714305011152984132
Aug 30, 2018NW.ST59-7W-46.5/N/AW/N/A503255758212302511
Dec 29, 2017WAKE52-55L+3.5/63W/O1154996142464006461
Nov 25, 2017LSU21-45L+11/50.5L/O552272822503516013
Nov 18, 2017O-MISS31-24W-2.5/69W/U119272391202189391-1
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 20, 2018LSU3-19L+5.5/45L/U201592601101292393
Oct 6, 2018AUBRN23-9W+3/45W/U3496941890214304-1
Sep 29, 2018FLA6-13L-6.5/50L/U10498202118239357-1
Sep 22, 2018KENTUC7-28L-10/55.5L/U56145201229713000
Sep 15, 2018UL.LAF56-10W-34/62.5W/O331276607652453100
Sep 8, 2018KAN.ST31-10W-7/52W/U3841545381131002130
Sep 1, 2018SFA63-6W-48/N/AW/N/A22039861877177254-1
Dec 30, 2017LOUISV31-27W+6.5/62W/U277127404187171358-1
Nov 23, 2017O-MISS28-31L-14/64.5L/U2942075011082473553
Nov 18, 2017ARK28-21W-13.5/57L/U195153348971242211
View Game Logs
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