USC vs UCLA Picks & Odds: Bruins Have Been Dangerous Home Underdogs

The UCLA Bruins (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games as a home underdog, though their one loss over that stretch did come against the USC Trojans (9-1, 6-4). The Bruins will be hoping for better results against the Trojans this time around on Saturday in Pasadena. 

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USC vs UCLA Sportsbook Odds

The Trojans opened as 2.5-point road favorites before early action on the home team shifted the USC vs UCLA odds down to USC -1.5. The total in this Pac-12 rivalry game is up to 74 points after Sportsbook at 73.5 points. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five games between USC and UCLA.

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USC Is The Pac-12’s Last Chance At Having A Playoff Team

The Trojans cruised to an easy 55-17 win at home over the Colorado Buffaloes on Friday, covering the spread as 34.5-point favorites with a late touchdown in the fourth quarter. The win was overshadowed by Travis Dye being carted off the field with a potentially season-ending injury. Dye has been USC’s top running back this season with 884 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns on 145 carries.

USC entered last weekend as one of three one-loss teams in the Pac-12 before both UCLA and the Oregon Ducks suffered disappointing upset losses as double-digit favorites at home. With a 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS record, USC is now the Pac-12’s only remaining team ranked in the top 10 of the AP Top 25 at No. 7. The Trojans will need a win over UCLA and some help around the nation to break the Pac-12’s five-year College Football Playoff drought.

UCLA May Have Been Caught Looking Ahead To This Week

The Bruins entered their matchup against the Arizona Wildcats on Saturday with an 8-1 SU record on the season and a 5-1 ATS record over their previous six games. What figured to be an easy victory as a 20-point favorite at home instead wound up being a shocking 34-28 loss. UCLA erased an early 14-0 deficit to take a 28-24 lead early in the fourth quarter, but the Bruins couldn’t hold on for the win.

Zach Charbonnet turned in another fantastic effort in the loss, rushing for 181 yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries. Charbonnet has been excellent all season with 1,145 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns on 152 rushing attempts. Over his last four starts, he is averaging 182 rushing yards per game.

USC: Keys to Win

USC shouldn’t have trouble putting up points against this UCLA defense that has allowed at least 32 points in four of its last five games. So to win as a USC vs UCLA prediction, the Trojans will need to find a way to slow down Zach Charbonnet and this Bruins offense.

UCLA: Keys to Win

Feed Zach Charbonnet. Real simple. Like most college sports, you want the ball in the hands of your best player. The more holes the Bruins create for their ball carrier, the better. USC will be ready to stop Charbonnet, but talent wins out. Pound the rock and get it done. 

College Football Computer Pick: UCLA ML (+110)

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