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NFL Conference Championships Betting Guide

Jerry Hughes and the Buffalo Bills look like a solid bet to cover the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFC championship game.

Looking for a one-stop shop when it comes to predictions on the gridiron this week? You’ve come to the right place.

Our NFL Betting Guide is here to break down the conference championship matchups. For outright Super Bowl 55 odds, check out our Super Bowl Futures article. To find the sportsbook that’s right for you when it comes to NFL betting, visit our Best NFL Sites page.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers -3.5, 51.5

Prediction: Green Bay 30, Tampa Bay 23

It doesn’t get much better than this when it comes to high-profile quarterback matchups. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers won outright as underdogs against the Saints last week, while Aaron Rodgers and the Packers took care of business in a 14-point home win over the Rams. So, who has the edge in the NFC title game?

It’s hard to bet against Brady – especially in the playoffs – but this is not the same Packers team that got steamrolled 37-20 by the 49ers in the NFC championship game a year ago. Green Bay’s top-ranked offense has looked borderline unstoppable and the defense has stepped up lately thanks to major improvements in the secondary.

Tampa Bay’s defense was fantastic against the Saints, locking down New Orleans’ receivers in man coverage and making life difficult for Drew Brees. But Brees, who’s set for retirement at 42, is not Rodgers. Green Bay made Los Angeles’ No. 1 defense look ordinary last week, as the Rams failed to record a sack.

The Bucs will move the ball downfield, but the running game is going to be imperative to finding success on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. Leonard Fournette had a good game vs the Saints but I think he’s going to be in for a much tougher matchup here.

Both teams will score points with ease, yet it’s the Packers who come out on top thanks to some big stops on defense late to get back to their first Super Bowl since winning it all 10 years ago.

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs -3, 54

Prediction: Kansas City 33, Buffalo 31

This one is a much tougher game to predict due to the health of star quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is in concussion protocol after getting knocked out of the Chiefs’ divisional-round clash with the Browns and is not yet cleared to play vs the Bills.

If Mahomes can’t play, the Bills look like an extremely safe bet to topple K.C. and advance to the Super Bowl. For that reason alone, there’s been no shortage of money coming in on Buffalo at sportsbooks.

Mahomes is going to do everything he can to start this one, and even if he’s not 100 percent, I’d take a not-fully-healthy Mahomes over most QBs in a must-win game. 

Buffalo is fresh off a solid defensive performance against the Ravens. The Bills defense has been steadily improving since the halfway point of the season, and Buffalo wouldn’t have gotten this far if it hadn’t. Josh Allen keeps putting up video-game numbers and is entrenched as a franchise QB in a city that so desperately needed one.

If Mahomes suits up, I expect this to be a shootout, with most of the damage coming through the air. It’s going to be close, but a late field goal by the ever-steady Harrison Butker could seal the deal for the Chiefs to book their ticket to the big game, with Bills bettors cashing tickets in the process.