After a grueling 81 games, the playoff hopes of the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves come down to tonight’s win-or-go-home matchup at Target Center. Including last week’s win over Minnesota, the Nuggets continue to be a fantastic bet against the Northwest Division. Denver is 7-1-1 ATS in its past nine vs divisional opponents.
Sportsbook opened the Wolves as 3-point home favorites with a total of 212.
- The Timberwolves are 19-5 SU in their last 24 games at home.
- The Nuggets are 7-17 SU in their last 24 games as road underdogs.
- The total has gone OVER in seven of the Nuggets’ last 10 games on the road against teams with winning records.
The Sportsbook of this game books its ticket to the postseason, while the loser heads home empty-handed. The T-wolves can still finish as high as fifth with a win and some help from other teams, but a loss would be devastating for a franchise that hasn’t seen the promised land since 2004. Minny picked up wins in its last two games after getting all-star swingman Jimmy Butler back from injury. Power forward Taj Gibson played only eight minutes in Monday’s 113-94 triumph over Memphis and is questionable to return tonight due to a neck injury.
Denver heads into the must-win game on a hot streak thanks to wins in its last six contests. The Nuggets snapped a four-game losing streak in the series last Thursday but haven’t won in Minnesota since November 3, 2016. Big man Nikola Jokic continues to carry the load for Denver, collecting 15 points, 20 boards and 11 assists against Portland on Monday – his second straight triple-double and 10th of the season.
The UNDER is trending when these teams collide. In the previous eight meetings between the Nuggets and Timberwolves, the UNDER is 6-2.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook had the Minnesota Timberwolves installed as 4-point favorites in this particular NBA matchup. The OVER/UNDER betting line for the total number of points scored was listed by most sportsbooks, including Sportsbook, at 220.
Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark pick a 108-107 result in favor of the Nuggets. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Minnesota Timberwolves sit at 46-35 (36-42-3 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Denver Nuggets are currently 46-35 (37-41-3 ATS). Looking to bet on the points scored total? Minnesota is 44-36-1 OU and Denver is 40-39-2 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Minnesota vs Denver injuries news.
The Timberwolves sit at No. 17 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Nuggets are at No. 9 on that betting chart.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively the game matches up Minnesota's No. 8-ranked offense (109.48 PPG) against a Denver defense that ranks No. 22 at 108.48 PPG. The Timberwolves have averaged 47.66% from the field per game, more than the Nuggets have managed so far this NBA season (47.03% on average).
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Nuggets grabbed a 88-82 win over the Trail Blazers on Monday, behind a 22-point effort from Will Barton at Pepsi Center.
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 24 points and chipped in with 18 rebounds for Minnesota on Monday, leading the Timberwolves to a 113-94 victory over Memphis at Target Center.
- Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
- Minnesota is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
- Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
- Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
