Matchups
Nuggets vs Thunder odds
Denver
Nuggets
39 - 25
Oklahoma City
Thunder
50 - 15
March 09, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT
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Computer Picks

7:30 PM ET
See Matchup
Denver VS Oklahoma City
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
OKC
122.0 -165 Caesars
Spread Pick
+3.5
-3.5
Total Pick
O 234.5
U 234.5
Best ATS
+4.5 -105 BetMGM
-3.5 -110 Caesars
Best O/U
O 233.5 -110 BetMGM
U 235.5 -105 Fanduel
UNDER 231.5 Points
FanDuel Logo
-106

"There's far too much uncertainty for availability on both sides, as of writing, to feel remotely confident in betting either the moneyline or spread. The Thunder currently have both Alex Caruso (back) and Chet Holmgren (illness) listed as questionable, with starting center Isaiah Hartenstein officially out with a calf injury. On Denver's side, All-Star guard Jamal Murray (O22.5 points, -112) endured a scary-looking ankle injury on Friday in a blowout loss to the New York Knicks, and while the team is optimistic, listing Murray as day-to-day, there's a possibility the team could err on the side of caution and hold him out tonight."

Expert Pick: Chris Walder
Spread Moneyline Total
DEN +3.5 -110
OKC -3.5 -110
Caesars logo
$ 20
Projected Winnings
$
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Live Odds

Championship 2025-26

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Monday, March 9 Mon Mar 9

Matchup
Opening Odds
Best Odds
Line History Matchup
7:30pm EDT
Denver DEN
VS /
Oklahoma City OKC
+8.5
-114
- -
DEN
-3233
O 231.5
-111
- -
-8.5
-109
- -
OKC
-3233
U 231.5
-111
- -
Best Odds
+3.5
-105
- -
CAESARS
DEN
+144
FANDUEL
O 236.5
-110
- -
FANDUEL
Best Odds
-3.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
OKC
-162
DRAFTKINGS
U 237.5
-115
- -
DRAFTKINGS
+3.5
-108
- -
BRACCO
DEN
+142
BRACCO
O 237
-109
- -
BRACCO
-3.5
-108
- -
BRACCO
OKC
-170
BRACCO
U 237
-109
- -
BRACCO
+3.5
-105
- -
CAESARS
DEN
+143
CAESARS
O 237
-110
- -
CAESARS
-3.5
-115
- -
CAESARS
OKC
-170
CAESARS
U 237
-110
- -
CAESARS
+3.5
-108
- -
FANDUEL
DEN
+144
FANDUEL
O 236.5
-115
- -
FANDUEL
-3.5
-112
- -
FANDUEL
OKC
-172
FANDUEL
U 236.5
-104
- -
FANDUEL
+3.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
DEN
+140
BETMGM
O 236.5
-110
- -
BETMGM
-3.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
OKC
-165
BETMGM
U 236.5
-110
- -
BETMGM
+3.5
-112
- -
DRAFTKINGS
DEN
+136
DRAFTKINGS
O 237.5
-105
- -
DRAFTKINGS
-3.5
-108
- -
DRAFTKINGS
OKC
-162
DRAFTKINGS
U 237.5
-115
- -
DRAFTKINGS
- -
UNDERDOG
DEN
- -
UNDERDOG
- -
UNDERDOG
- -
UNDERDOG
OKC
- -
UNDERDOG
- -
UNDERDOG
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Today’s Top +EV Plays Powered by Prop Professor

BookSelectionOdds+EV
BetMGM Logo
BetMGM
Jaylin Williams Over 12.5 (Player Rebounds)+37511.7
BetMGM Logo
BetMGM
Jaylin Williams Under 26.5 (Player Points + Rebounds + Assists)-11010.1
BetMGM Logo
BetMGM
Jaylin Williams Under 22.5 (Player Points + Rebounds)-1208.6

Edge Finder

Overall

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OKC Defense
120.831Points Scored1107.74
49.512Field Goal %143.48
39.441Three Point %2436.69
80.995Free Throw %174.85
43.0322Total Rebounds2445.33

Scoring

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OKC Defense
120.831Points Scored1107.74
30.486First Quarter226.69
29.596Second Quarter326.74
30.832Third Quarter527.34
28.676Fourth Quarter326.05

Shooting

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OKC Defense
49.512Field Goal %143.48
80.995Free Throw %174.85
39.441Three Point %2436.69
34.8421Three's Attempts2538.91
13.7412Three's Made2814.28

Rebounds

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OKC Defense
9.6426Offensive2712.16
33.408Defensive1833.17
43.0322Total Rebounds2445.33

Other

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OKC Defense
28.179Assists624.84
19.0023Fouls2421.05
12.193Turnovers216.19
7.0729Steals47.62

Overall

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OKC Offense
116.2919Points Scored5119.47
46.7514Field Goal %348.60
35.088Three Point %936.48
77.637Free Throw %381.88
42.608Total Rebounds1543.76

Scoring

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OKC Offense
116.2919Points Scored5119.47
28.5710First Quarter330.71
28.148Second Quarter1129.12
29.3119Third Quarter430.67
28.9325Fourth Quarter1327.86

Shooting

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OKC Offense
46.7514Field Goal %348.60
77.637Free Throw %381.88
35.088Three Point %936.48
38.2421Three's Attempts1537.24
13.4118Three's Made1313.59

Rebounds

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OKC Offense
11.6017Offensive299.47
31.007Defensive534.29
42.608Total Rebounds1543.76

Other

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OKC Offense
26.9015Assists1825.52
21.6927Fouls2119.38
11.5730Turnovers212.07
7.797Steals49.79

Head To Head

DEN
 Stat Type OKC
4-6
 Record
6-4
7-3
 ATS
3-7
7-3
 O/U
7-3
111.60
 Points Scored
118.30
53.40
 Half Time Score
60.50
43.76%
 Field Goal Percentage
45.72%
48.00
 Rebounds
45.50
139/392
 3 Point Shots
135/393
7.70
 Steals
10.90
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
0-3
 Record
3-0
1-2
 ATS
2-1
3-0
 O/U
3-0
108.33
 Points Scored
124.33
53.33
 Half Time Score
57.33
43.23%
 Field Goal Percentage
47.50%
45.67
 Rebounds
46.33
44/128
 3 Point Shots
43/122
8.33
 Steals
14.00
Feb 27/26 (1 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
121
 Points Scored
127
+6.5
 ATS
-6.5
235 o
 O/U
235 u
59
 Half Time Score
50
41.70%
 Field Goal Percentage
46.50%
51
 Rebounds
56
18/48
 3 Point Shots
12/35
10
 Steals
14
Feb 1/26 (2 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
111
 Points Scored
121
+7
 ATS
-7
225.5 o
 O/U
225.5 u
55
 Half Time Score
62
49.40%
 Field Goal Percentage
47.10%
39
 Rebounds
39
16/35
 3 Point Shots
19/48
9
 Steals
12
May 18/25 (3 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
93
 Points Scored
125
+8.5
 ATS
-8.5
214.5 o
 O/U
214.5 u
46
 Half Time Score
60
39.30%
 Field Goal Percentage
49.00%
47
 Rebounds
44
10/45
 3 Point Shots
12/39
6
 Steals
16
May 15/25 (4 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
119
 Points Scored
107
+5.5
 ATS
-5.5
218.5 o
 O/U
218.5 u
58
 Half Time Score
61
46.50%
 Field Goal Percentage
46.70%
52
 Rebounds
40
12/32
 3 Point Shots
11/40
8
 Steals
11
May 13/25 (5 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
105
 Points Scored
112
+10.5
 ATS
-10.5
221.5 o
 O/U
221.5 u
56
 Half Time Score
54
41.20%
 Field Goal Percentage
50.00%
49
 Rebounds
43
13/46
 3 Point Shots
12/29
10
 Steals
7
May 11/25 (6 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
87
 Points Scored
92
+7
 ATS
-7
228 o
 O/U
228 u
36
 Half Time Score
42
31.30%
 Field Goal Percentage
35.60%
49
 Rebounds
55
11/45
 3 Point Shots
10/41
9
 Steals
9
May 9/25 (7 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
113
 Points Scored
104
+6
 ATS
-6
232 o
 O/U
232 u
51
 Half Time Score
56
45.90%
 Field Goal Percentage
38.50%
49
 Rebounds
54
16/40
 3 Point Shots
9/35
9
 Steals
7
May 7/25 (8 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
106
 Points Scored
149
+10.5
 ATS
-10.5
230 o
 O/U
230 u
56
 Half Time Score
87
37.90%
 Field Goal Percentage
56.20%
38
 Rebounds
44
15/37
 3 Point Shots
16/36
4
 Steals
12
May 5/25 (9 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
121
 Points Scored
119
+10.5
 ATS
-10.5
229.5 o
 O/U
229.5 u
50
 Half Time Score
60
44.20%
 Field Goal Percentage
42.00%
63
 Rebounds
43
10/32
 3 Point Shots
15/43
6
 Steals
12
Mar 10/25 (10 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
140
 Points Scored
127
+9.5
 ATS
-9.5
240.5 o
 O/U
240.5 u
67
 Half Time Score
73
60.50%
 Field Goal Percentage
47.00%
43
 Rebounds
37
18/32
 3 Point Shots
19/47
6
 Steals
9

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Team Records

DEN
 Record OKC
39-25
 All
50-15
17-13
 Home
26-7
22-12
 Away
24-8
30-14
 As Fav
48-13
9-11
 As Dog
2-2
35-29
 ATS
31-34
14-16
 ATS Home
15-18
21-13
 ATS Away
16-16
39-24-1
 O/U
35-30
15-14-1
 O/U Home
16-17
24-10
 O/U Away
19-13
DEN
 Record OKC
5-5
 All
8-2
3-2
 Home
4-1
2-3
 Away
4-1
5-4
 As Fav
6-1
0-1
 As Dog
2-1
4-6
 ATS
4-6
2-3
 ATS Home
2-3
2-3
 ATS Away
2-3
6-4
 O/U
4-6
1-4
 O/U Home
2-3
5-0
 O/U Away
2-3
DEN
 Record OKC
6-4
 All
9-3
2-2
 Home
5-0
4-2
 Away
4-3
6-2
 As Fav
9-3
0-2
 As Dog
0-0
6-4
 ATS
5-7
2-2
 ATS Home
2-3
4-2
 ATS Away
3-4
6-4
 O/U
7-5
2-2
 O/U Home
2-3
4-2
 O/U Away
5-2
DEN
 Record OKC
16-12
 All
15-6
7-6
 Home
7-4
9-6
 Away
8-2
11-6
 As Fav
13-5
5-6
 As Dog
2-1
15-13
 ATS
10-11
6-7
 ATS Home
5-6
9-6
 ATS Away
5-5
14-13-1
 O/U
12-9
5-7-1
 O/U Home
6-5
9-6
 O/U Away
6-4
DEN
 Record OKC
23-13
 All
35-9
10-7
 Home
19-3
13-6
 Away
16-6
19-8
 As Fav
35-8
4-5
 As Dog
0-1
20-16
 ATS
21-23
8-9
 ATS Home
10-12
12-7
 ATS Away
11-11
25-11
 O/U
23-21
10-7
 O/U Home
10-12
15-4
 O/U Away
13-9

Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Denver's last 17 games.
  • Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Oklahoma City.
  • Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City.
  • Denver is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • Denver is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against an opponent in the Northwest Division division.
  • Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games played in March.
  • Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games.
  • Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games against Denver.
  • Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver.
  • Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games against an opponent in the Northwest Division division.
  • Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games played in March.
  • Oklahoma City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing as the favourite.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Jamal MurrayPGDay-to-Day, Left ankle sprain
Peyton WatsonSFDay-to-Day, Left hamstring strain
Name Position Inj Desc
Alex CarusoSGDay-to-Day, Left hip contusion
Isaiah HartensteinPFDay-to-Day, Left calf contusion
Jalen WilliamsSGDay-to-Day, Right hamstring strain
Chet HolmgrenPFDay-to-Day, Flu
Branden CarlsonCDay-to-Day, Low back strain

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 6, 2026NY103-142L-1229.50L/O44.5870.008
Mar 5, 2026LAL120-113W-3.5240.50W/U52.0090.3214
Mar 2, 2026UTA128-125W-11.5242.50L/O54.0591.4316
Mar 1, 2026MIN108-117L-2.5240.50L/U48.2474.076
Feb 27, 2026OKC121-127L+6.5235W/O41.7577.2718
Feb 25, 2026BOS103-84W-3.5228.50W/U41.9455.5615
Feb 22, 2026GS117-128L-6.5228.50L/O46.1586.218
Feb 20, 2026POR157-103W-1.5241.50W/O57.2981.2521
Feb 19, 2026LAC114-115L-4.5226.50L/O45.3574.1913
Feb 11, 2026MEM122-116W-14.5239.50L/U53.0981.2510
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 7, 2026GS104-97W-12.5219.50L/U42.3195.8315
Mar 4, 2026NY103-100W-4221.50L/U45.2184.0016
Mar 3, 2026CHI116-108W-9.5230.50L/U43.4383.3310
Mar 1, 2026DAL100-87W-16.5236.50L/U44.5766.678
Feb 27, 2026DEN127-121W-6.5235L/O46.4685.1912
Feb 25, 2026DET116-124L+10.5220.50W/O40.6295.2418
Feb 24, 2026TOR116-107W+1217W/O47.3783.3316
Feb 22, 2026CLE121-113W+4228.50W/O48.8464.0021
Feb 20, 2026BKN105-86W-17215.50W/U42.1788.0013
Feb 12, 2026MIL93-110L-13.5214.50L/U37.3580.0015
View Game Logs
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