NBA Player Props Today: May 3, 2025

The words "Game 7" will forever evoke excitement and intrigue across the sports world, and basketball fans and bettors alike will get to indulge in the grand finale between the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets on Saturday to cap off one of the greatest first round matchups in recent memory.

Here are three expert player prop picks for this showdown at Ball Arena, including wagering an OVER on Kawhi Leonard's scoring prop (25.5) at -114 value on May 3, 2025.

Kawhi Leonard OVER 25.5 Points vs. Nuggets (-114 at FanDuel)

Preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets, 7:30 p.m. ET

Leonard certainly wants to erase the memory of his performance from the last time he squared off with the Nuggets in a Game 7, which took place back in the 2020 Bubble when he recorded just 14 points on 6-of-22 shooting in a 104-89 loss in the Western Conference semifinals. We've seen the former two-time Finals Most Valuable Player excel in these high-pressure situations before, though. Leonard had a near triple-double of 28 points, 10 rebounds, and nine assists in 2021 against the Dallas Mavericks in the opening round, and famously attempted 39 shots against the Philadelphia 76ers in 2019 to finish with 41 points whilst a member of the Toronto Raptors.

In this series specifically, Leonard has averaged 25.5 points (fitting, considering Saturday's point total) on 54.5 percent shooting and 39.4 percent from 3-point range, although he's only exceeded this prop twice out of a possible six outings. His strongest line did come in the Mile High City, at least, when Leonard went off for 39 points while missing just four of his 19 attempts in Game 2, and he did just have 27 points in Game 6 at the Intuit Dome to help force a Game 7. Superstars like the 33-year-old forward shine brightest under these conditions, and Los Angeles' only real hope of stealing this on the road stems from how efficient Leonard ultimately is.

Norman Powell UNDER 17.5 Points vs. Nuggets (-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

Preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets, 7:30 p.m. ET

The Clippers gave out Norman Powell t-shirts to everyone in attendance during Thursday's Game 6, perhaps as a subtle means to inspire his individual play. Whether it was a result of that giveaway or not, something clearly awoke in Powell as he dropped 24 points on 9-of-15 shooting with a pair of triples across 39 minutes of action, including a big bucket with 1:47 remaining in the fourth quarter to put Los Angeles up by nine and out of reach.

He's scored 20 or more points in all three home games, but his numbers take a noticeable dive on the road, producing 12.3 points per contest on 39.5 percent shooting. In those three games, Powell never finished with more than 13 points and scored exactly 12 on two occasions. Going OVER here would mean projecting an 18-point performance out of him, at least, and considering what we've witnessed from him thus far, that's too much of a gamble to make. Leonard and James Harden, and to a lesser extent Ivica Zubac, will be receiving a healthy dose of shot attempts during Game 7 and rarely see the bench. Powell won't be completely forgotten about, but reaching 18 points when he hasn't exceeded 13 on the road is asking too much.

Aaron Gordon OVER 19.5 Points + Rebounds vs. Clippers (-108 at FanDuel)

Preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets, 7:30 p.m. ET

It would be such a pain in the you know what for Aaron Gordon to go UNDER on this combination prop for points and rebounds, because as we've seen throughout this series, this particular prop may be as close to a guaranteed OVER as death and taxes. Not only has he gone OVER in all six games, when going back to the end of the 2024-25 campaign, Gordon has actually strung together nine OVERs in a row.

He's averaging 18.3 points on 50.6 percent shooting versus Los Angeles, so his scoring alone would get him most of the way to connecting without even taking into account his rebounds. Gordon scored 23 or more points in two of the three home games, as well, and he's played 40 or more minutes three times, with a fourth likely coming on Saturday. The pre-series prediction of him being the Nuggets' second-most important player has rung true, with all due respect to Jamal Murray, and going a perfect 7-of-7 in this market would perhaps make him the second-most valuable player on Denver for bettors beyond maybe Nikola Jokic.