The Memphis Tigers (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) face the NC State Wolfpack (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) in the Gasparilla Bowl at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. As per our bowl odds page, the Wolfpack enters as 4.5-point favorites at FanDuel, with the total set at 58.5 points. The Wolfpack haven't seen success in recent bowl seasons, dropping five straight. Meanwhile, the Tigers, currently adjusting under a new head coach, are riding a four-game bowl streak.
memphis vs NC State Odds
Matchup Page: Memphis vs NC State, Dec. 19, 2:30 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers | +4.5 (-110) | +155 | OVER 58.5 (-115) |
| NC State Wolfpack | -4.5 (-110) | -188 | UNDER 58.5 (-105) |
Odds as of December 16th, 2025 at FanDuel

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memphis vs NC State Pick
The Tigers enter with a strong record but a rough finish, losing their last three games while adjusting to an interim coach, Reggie Howard, after Ryan Silverfield dipped out to Arkansas. It’s a tough situation, but Memphis has shown it can move the ball in chunks, averaging 6.2 yards per play on the road (top-20). That will be noticeable on Friday as NC State is one of the worst at giving up explosive plays, ranking near the bottom of the nation by coughing up 6.3 yards per play.
NC State definitely comes in with momentum after winning three of their last four games under QB CJ Bailey, who is completing nearly 70% of his passes on the season. But, when Memphis' signal-caller Brendon Lewis is dialed in, he can keep up. The senior is also nearing a 70% completion rate and his 618 rushing yards and nine scores make his duality a threat.
For me, this game can swing in either direction. The Wolfpack can carry in momentum and stability, but the Tigers could easily revert back to being an explosive offense. However, with Memphis allowing 32.3 points over its last three and NC State giving up nearly 40 points on the road, I'm calling a shootout.
Memphis vs NC State Pick: OVER 58.5 Points (-115)
*Pick made December 16th
memphis vs NC State Prop Bet
First Half Total OVER 30.5 Points (-106)
I'm betting the OVER and I'm expecting a roaring first half. Memphis is piling up 19.1 points in the opening half (ranked 13th), while NC State is also nobly averaging over two touchdowns in the same span. While both offenses come out firing, the defenses clearly get overwhelmed as the Tigers (16.5) and Wolfpack (16.7) ranked outside the top-100 for points allowed in the first half.
memphis vs NC State Betting Trends
- According to our NCAAF database, NC State is 0-4 SU/ATS in its last four road games, entering as an underdog in each
- The OVER has hit in four of NC State's last five games when entering as a favorite
- Memphis is 2-8 SU/4-6 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog