The Miami Dolphins have shaken off a 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS start to the season to go 4-0 SU and ATS over their last four games, surging into playoff contention in the process. The Dolphins will look to stay hot Sunday when they host the Los Angeles Chargers in what should be an exciting battle between two rookie quarterbacks.
- Date/Time: November 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
- TV Coverage: CBS
- Sportsbook Odds: Dolphins -3 | O/U 47 (Line History)
- Chargers vs Dolphins Matchup Report
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
The Dolphins opened as 3-point favorites and have since been bet down slightly to Miami -2.5 at home. The total has also moved slightly as early action on the Sportsbook line of 47 points has moved the current total up to 48 points. The UNDER is 5-0 in the Chargers’ last five road games in Miami.
Los Angeles News & Notes
The Chargers suffered yet another heartbreaking loss last Sunday against the Las Vegas Raiders. Justin Herbert had another strong game as he completed 28 of his 42 pass attempts for 326 passing yards, two passing touchdowns and no interceptions.
But on the final drive of the game, Herbert led the Chargers down to a first-and-goal on the Raiders’ four-yard line before failing to convert the field position into a touchdown. Los Angeles lost 31-26 as a 1-point underdog and fell to 1-6 SU over its last seven games.
Herbert now has 15 touchdown passes and only three interceptions over his last five games. Los Angeles has been extremely competitive with Herbert under center as their six losses have all come by less than seven points and by an average of only four points. Giving up 31.8 points per game on defense over the team’s last five games has doomed the Chargers to a 1-4 SU record over that stretch.
Miami News & Notes
Tua Tagovailoa shined in Miami’s 34-31 win over the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday, going 20-for-28 for 248 passing yards with two passing touchdowns and no interceptions. Miami improved to 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS with the win despite being a betting underdog in all but one of its games this season.
With Tagovailoa under center and the team playing so well overall, expect to see the Dolphins going off as favorites more often over the second half of the season.
The Dolphins are averaging an impressive 30.1 points per game over their last seven games. Brian Flores has done an incredible job turning this Dolphins team into a playoff contender in such a short period of time, exceeding expectations with a 5-11 SU campaign last year and doing so again in 2020.
Betting Pick: OVER 48 points
Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa have both looked great in their rookie campaigns and the future appears to be bright for both of these teams. Look for these two quarterbacks to put on a show and to send the total OVER 48 points.
- Los Angeles is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games vs Miami.
- Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games.
- The OVER is 5-0 in Los Angeles’s last 5 games.
