Matchups
NHL Matchup
Tampa Bay
Lightning
38 - 16 - 4
Minnesota
Wild
35 - 16 - 10
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9:30 PM ET
See Matchup
Tampa Bay VS Minnesota
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
Spread Pick
-1.5
+1.5
Total Pick
O 6
U 6
Best ATS
-1.5 +192 Caesars
+1.5 -225 Fanduel
Best O/U
O 6 -112 Fanduel
U 6.5 -130 Draftkings
Spread Moneyline Total
TB -1.5 192
MIN +1.5 -235
Caesars logo
$ 20
Projected Winnings
$
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Stanley Cup Winner 2025/26

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Tuesday, March 3 Tue Mar 3

Matchup
Opening Odds
Best Odds
Line History Matchup
9:30pm EST
Tampa Bay TB
VS /
Minnesota MIN
-0.5
+176
- -
TB
-4900
O 7.5
-4900
- -
+0.5
-225
- -
MIN
-3233
U 7.5
-4900
- -
Best Odds
-1.5
+192
- -
CAESARS
TB
-125
CAESARS
O 6
-112
- -
CAESARS
Best Odds
+1.5
-225
- -
FANDUEL
MIN
+110
FANDUEL
U 6.5
-130
- -
DRAFTKINGS
- -
BRACCO
TB
- -
BRACCO
- -
BRACCO
- -
BRACCO
MIN
- -
BRACCO
- -
BRACCO
- -
UNDERDOG
TB
- -
UNDERDOG
- -
UNDERDOG
- -
UNDERDOG
MIN
- -
UNDERDOG
- -
UNDERDOG
-1.5
+192
- -
CAESARS
TB
-125
CAESARS
O 6
-120
- -
CAESARS
+1.5
-235
- -
CAESARS
MIN
+105
CAESARS
U 6
+100
- -
CAESARS
-1.5
+176
- -
FANDUEL
TB
-132
FANDUEL
O 6
-112
- -
FANDUEL
+1.5
-225
- -
FANDUEL
MIN
+110
FANDUEL
U 6
-108
- -
FANDUEL
- -
BETMGM
TB
- -
BETMGM
- -
BETMGM
- -
BETMGM
MIN
- -
BETMGM
- -
BETMGM
-1.5
+190
- -
DRAFTKINGS
TB
-125
DRAFTKINGS
O 6.5
+110
- -
DRAFTKINGS
+1.5
-230
- -
DRAFTKINGS
MIN
+105
DRAFTKINGS
U 6.5
-130
- -
DRAFTKINGS
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Today’s Top +EV Plays Powered by Prop Professor

BookSelectionOdds+EV
Polymarket Logo
Polymarket
Tampa Bay Lightning (Moneyline)-1170.3

Edge Finder

Overall

TB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
3.622Goals Scored82.91
28.1616Shots2729.91
22.4112PP/PK Percentage2422.82

Goals

TB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
3.622Goals Scored82.91
1.1511st Period140.83
1.1382nd Period40.84
1.1893rd Period111.07

Shots

TB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
28.1616Shots2729.91
9.3391st Period219.28
9.65182nd Period2810.50
8.69193rd Period279.50

Power Play

TB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
3.166Power Play Chances42.57
0.718Power Play Goals130.59
22.4112PP/PK Percentage2422.82

Overall

TB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
2.552Goals Scored103.38
26.337Shots1128.81
16.094PP/PK Percentage625.40

Goals

TB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
2.552Goals Scored103.38
0.87161st Period91.02
0.7512nd Period211.00
0.8533rd Period131.14

Shots

TB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
26.337Shots1128.81
9.13201st Period188.90
8.2222nd Period159.81
8.44113rd Period59.53

Power Play

TB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
3.1626Power Play Chances33.26
0.518Power Play Goals30.83
16.094PP/PK Percentage625.40

Head To Head

TB
 Stat Type MIN
4-6-0
 Record
6-3-1
5-3
 O/U
5-3
3.40
 Goals Scored
3.60
30.60
 Shots
27.70
11.00
 Power Play Goals
5.00
33.00
 Number of Power Plays
29.00
33.33%
 Power Play Percentage
17.24%
82.76%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
66.67%
TB
 Stat Type MIN
1-2-0
 Record
2-1-0
2-0
 O/U
2-0
4.00
 Goals Scored
4.00
31.33
 Shots
24.33
5.00
 Power Play Goals
1.00
8.00
 Number of Power Plays
8.00
62.5%
 Power Play Percentage
12.5%
87.5%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
37.5%
Nov 1/24 (1 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
3
 Goals Scored
5
6.5 o
 O/U
6.5 u
30
 Shots
22
2
 Power Play Goals
0
4
 Number of Power Plays
2
50%
 Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
50%
Oct 24/24 (2 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
2
 Goals Scored
4
6 o
 O/U
6 u
26
 Shots
18
0
 Power Play Goals
1
1
 Number of Power Plays
4
0%
 Power Play Percentage
25%
75%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Jan 18/24 (3 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
7
 Goals Scored
3
6.5 o
 O/U
6.5 u
38
 Shots
33
3
 Power Play Goals
0
3
 Number of Power Plays
2
100%
 Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
0%
Jan 4/24 (4 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
4
 Goals Scored
1
6 o
 O/U
6 u
30
 Shots
23
1
 Power Play Goals
0
3
 Number of Power Plays
1
33.3%
 Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
66.7%
Jan 24/23 (5 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
4
 Goals Scored
2
6 o
 O/U
6 u
39
 Shots
35
1
 Power Play Goals
1
5
 Number of Power Plays
4
20%
 Power Play Percentage
25%
75%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
80%
Jan 4/23 (6 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
1
 Goals Scored
5
6.5 o
 O/U
6.5 u
35
 Shots
33
1
 Power Play Goals
1
4
 Number of Power Plays
3
25%
 Power Play Percentage
33.3%
66.7%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
75%
Nov 28/21 (7 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
2
 Goals Scored
4
5.5 o
 O/U
5.5 u
30
 Shots
37
0
 Power Play Goals
0
3
 Number of Power Plays
3
0%
 Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Nov 21/21 (8 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
5
 Goals Scored
4
6 o
 O/U
6 u
24
 Shots
32
1
 Power Play Goals
1
4
 Number of Power Plays
4
25%
 Power Play Percentage
25%
75%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
75%
Jan 16/20 (9 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
2
 Goals Scored
3
6.5 o
 O/U
6.5 u
20
 Shots
23
1
 Power Play Goals
1
2
 Number of Power Plays
4
50%
 Power Play Percentage
25%
75%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
50%
Dec 5/19 (10 of 10)
TB
 Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
4
 Goals Scored
5
6 o
 O/U
6 u
34
 Shots
21
1
 Power Play Goals
0
4
 Number of Power Plays
2
25%
 Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
 Penalty Kill Percentage
75%

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Team Records

TB
 Record MIN
38-16-4
 All
35-16-10
19-10
 Home
17-7-7
19-6-4
 Away
18-9-3
30-16-3
 As Fav
18-16-7
7-3
 As Dog
14-10-3
30-28
 ATS
31-30
11-18
 ATS Home
13-18
19-10
 ATS Away
18-12
28-27-3
 O/U
36-24-1
14-13-2
 O/U Home
17-14
14-14-1
 O/U Away
19-10-1
TB
 Record MIN
7-3
 All
7-2-1
6-1
 Home
4-1-1
1-2
 Away
3-1
7-2
 As Fav
5-2-1
0-1
 As Dog
2-1
5-5
 ATS
3-7
4-3
 ATS Home
1-5
1-2
 ATS Away
2-2
6-3-1
 O/U
8-2
4-2-1
 O/U Home
4-2
2-1
 O/U Away
4-0
TB
 Record MIN
10-4-1
 All
10-6-2
5-3
 Home
4-4-2
5-1-1
 Away
6-2
8-4-1
 As Fav
4-3-1
1-0
 As Dog
5-3-1
6-9
 ATS
6-12
2-6
 ATS Home
3-7
4-3
 ATS Away
3-5
11-3-1
 O/U
11-7
7-0-1
 O/U Home
5-5
4-3
 O/U Away
6-2
TB
 Record MIN
20-12-3
 All
12-7-4
9-7
 Home
6-3-3
11-5-3
 Away
6-4-1
16-10-2
 As Fav
6-3-3
3-2
 As Dog
5-4-1
17-18
 ATS
12-11
5-11
 ATS Home
3-9
12-7
 ATS Away
9-2
20-12-3
 O/U
15-8
11-3-2
 O/U Home
8-4
9-9-1
 O/U Away
7-4
TB
 Record MIN
18-4-1
 All
23-9-6
10-3
 Home
11-4-4
8-1-1
 Away
12-5-2
14-3-1
 As Fav
12-6-4
4-1
 As Dog
9-3-2
13-10
 ATS
19-19
6-7
 ATS Home
10-9
7-3
 ATS Away
9-10
8-15
 O/U
21-16-1
3-10
 O/U Home
9-10
5-5
 O/U Away
12-6-1

Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games.
  • Tampa Bay is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
  • Tampa Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games against Minnesota.
  • Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
  • Tampa Bay is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Minnesota's last 16 games.
  • Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home.
  • Minnesota is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
  • Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division division.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Nick PaulLWInjured Reserve, Undisclosed injury
Gage GoncalvesCDay-to-Day, Undisclosed injury - left game
Maxwell CrozierDInjured Reserve, Abdomen
Dominic JamesCDay-to-Day, Leg - left game
Name Position Inj Desc
Marcus FolignoLWInjured Reserve, Lower-body injury
Jonas BrodinDInjured Reserve, Lower-body injury

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line SHOTS SA PP PK GOALIE
Feb 28, 2026BUF2-6L-25038350/34/5Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Feb 26, 2026CAR4-5L+12028331/21/2Brandon Bussi
Feb 25, 2026TOR4-2W-22536340/41/2Anthony Stolarz
Feb 5, 2026FLA6-1W-22028341/45/6Daniil Tarasov
Feb 3, 2026BUF4-3W-21035261/22/3Colten Ellis
Feb 1, 2026BOS6-5W-22046343/82/3Jeremy Swayman
Jan 29, 2026WPG4-1W-18537240/12/2Connor Hellebuyck
Jan 26, 2026UTA2-0W-15529282/43/3Karel Vejmelka
Jan 24, 2026CLB5-8L-12030311/21/2Jet Greaves
Jan 23, 2026CHI2-1W-31031180/33/3Arvid Soderblom
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line SHOTS SA PP PK GOALIE
Mar 1, 2026STL1-3L-23523241/21/1Joel Hofer
Feb 27, 2026UTA2-5L+11523371/32/3Karel Vejmelka
Feb 26, 2026COL5-2W+13036472/63/3MacKenzie Blackwood
Feb 4, 2026NAS6-5W-12543351/21/3Juuse Saros
Feb 2, 2026MON4-3W-13024201/31/1Jakub Dobes
Jan 31, 2026EDM7-3W+10529422/32/2Tristan Jarry
Jan 29, 2026CAL4-1W-18524301/23/3Devin Cooley
Jan 27, 2026CHI4-3W-20023320/15/5Spencer Knight
Jan 24, 2026FLA3-4L-13021342/64/6Sergei Bobrovsky
Jan 22, 2026DET4-3W-16039331/41/2Cam Talbot
View Game Logs
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