XFL Expert Picks

XFL Expert Picks: Renegades To Cover In Championship Game

After 10 regular-season weeks and one playoff round behind us, we've reached the XFL's version of the Super Bowl, with the championship game slated for Saturday, May 13. Below, we’re breaking down the odds and two XFL title game picks:

XFL Championship Game Odds

XFL Title Game Betting Odds
WhenFavored TeamUnderdog TeamPoint Total
Saturday, May 13thDC Defenders (-6.5)Arlington Renegades (+6.5)O/U 46.5

Odds as of May 10th, 2023

Playoff XFL Expert Picks

Below we break down our XFL expert pick for the championship game. Use our betting odds calculator to help assist all your XFL bets and figure out how much you’d make for each game’s odds.

Current Pick Record: 9-8

Renegades (+6.5) vs Defenders

My winning XFL picks record is on the line for this championship game. I could play scared and take the favored Defenders, but let's live a little.

The Renegades won just four regular season games and backed into the playoffs with consecutive losses, but they took it to a new level last week. Arlington came out firing with 23 first-half points and a three-touchdown performance from QB Luis Perez.

It was Perez's best performance since he completed 31 passes for 335 yards against the Defenders in Week 9. The Renegades surprisingly pushed DC to the brink in that contest, falling 28-26 in overtime. If Perez is on, the Renegades can hang around in this game to cover, or maybe even win.

OVER 46.5 Total Points

Initially, I leaned UNDER on this one. The Defenders live and die by their rushing attack, and the Renegades enter the final with the second-best rushing defense in the XFL. That's not a great combo for points.

However, the Defenders have been an OVER machine in recent weeks. Including a playoff win over the Sea Dragons, the Defenders have combined for 48 or more points in nine straight games. Last time out against Arlington, on April 16th, the two sides combined for 54 points. All we have to base our picks on is past history, and that history is telling me to go OVER.

How To Bet On XFL Betting Odds:

While you can bet on spreads and point totals, one of the easiest ways to bet on XFL betting odds is through a moneyline. This moneyline bet means you simply pick which side you think will win between the favorite (signaled by a minus sign) and underdog (with a plus).

An XFL moneyline of +200 means that you would win $200 on a successful $100 wager. That’s also equivalent to fractional odds of 2/1, decimal odds of 3.00 and implied odds of 33.33 percent. A negative moneyline of -200 means that you would have to wager $200 in order to win $100 on the favorite.

For more info on betting on the XFL, check out our How to Bet on Football page. If you want to check out long-term XFL odds, you can read our XFL championship odds breakdown.

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