It’s Thursday, June 27, and we’ve got two first-inning bets that target reliable arms, power bats, and a few glaring red flags. Let’s get to it.
NRFI Pick Today: Mets vs Pirates (-113 at FanDuel)
Mets vs Pirates Odds – 6:40 p.m. ET
David Peterson has turned into a first-inning machine for the Mets, going 13-2 NRFI with six straight scoreless openers. New York, too, has been one of baseball’s best NRFI squads at 50-32, consistently keeping games quiet early. The odds at -113 offer great value for a pitcher this dependable.
On the other side, Mitch Keller remains a solid contributor. Even during a rocky patch, he’s kept hitters to a sub-.700 OPS in the first inning and has the command to escape jams. With both starters in rhythm and the Mets’ strong trend, this number feels like a gift.
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YRFI Pick Today: Rays vs Orioles (-115 at Sportsbook)
Rays vs Orioles Odds – 7:05 p.m. ET
We’re flipping the script in Baltimore. Ryan Pepiot might be 12-4 NRFI this season, but his first-inning contact profile is shaky, with him allowing over a .500 slugging percentage and six doubles in just 16 starts. Eventually, that kind of hard contact catches up.
Enter the Rays, who are red-hot out of the gate. Tampa Bay owns a scorching .926 OPS in the first over the last two weeks, with a .500+ slugging clip that ranks second in the majors. That spells trouble for Tomoyuki Sugano, who’s struggled badly with a 7.20 ERA and an 8-7 NRFI record. This one’s primed for early fireworks.
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