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2022 MLB Free Agent Predictions And Betting Odds

2022 MLB Free Agent Predictions And Betting Odds

The MLB offseason is well underway and some of the biggest names in the sport are set to change teams.

Noah “Thor” Syndergaard has already swapped coasts, Marcus Semien joined Texas and Max Scherzer is a Met, but many top free agents are still in search of new homes.

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At Bovada, betting odds are available for most of the top 2021-22 free agents, including big names like Carlos Correa, Corey Seager, Javier Baez and Robbie Ray. We’ll break down the betting odds for each top free agent and give our best bet on where the baseball stars will land.

If this is your first time betting on baseball, here are some key links to bookmark:

World Series Odds | MLB Futures MLB Win Totals | Odds To Make Playoffs | AL/NL MVP Odds | How To Bet On Baseball

2022 MLB Free Agents: Odds And Predictions

Carlos Correa: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Carlos Correa play For next season?
Houston Astros+450
New York Mets+450
Detroit Tigers-105
New York Yankees+500
Texas Rangers+700
Seattle Mariners+950
Philadelphia Phillies+1600
St. Louis Cardinals+2200
Minnesota Twins+2500

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

Carlos Correa is the top option in a loaded free-agent class. He’s the best of a deep shortstop group and will provide an immediate impact wherever he goes.

He seems destined to leave the Houston Astros, having already won a ring* there, and will likely chase the biggest payday. There are rumors swirling around a reunion with former manager AJ Hinch in Detroit, and the Tigers are set to spend big this winter, so the fit makes sense. 

If the Tigers fill their SS need elsewhere, the Yankees, Mariners and Rangers are all circling on top free-agent shortstops as well.

Best Bet: Detroit Tigers -105
Value Pick: New York Yankees +500

Corey Seager: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Corey Seager play For next season?
Los Angeles DodgersEVEN
New York Yankees+300
Chicago Cubs+850
Philadelphia Phillies+850
San Francisco Giants+950
Seattle Mariners+950
Texas Rangers+300

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

Like the Tigers, the Texas Rangers have made it clear they will be adding payroll this offseason and it seems like a pair of top targets are former Dodgers stalwarts Seager and Clayton Kershaw.

Texas manager Chris Woodward knows Seager well, having been the Dodgers’ third-base coach from 2016 to 2018, and the Rangers could open up the books for the shortstop to build their franchise around the 2020 World Series champion. However, like for many of the top players on this list, the Rangers will have to compete with the high-spending Dodgers and Yankees.

Best Bet: Texas Rangers +300
Value Pick: New York Yankees +500

Freddie Freeman: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Freddie Freeman play For next season?
Atlanta Braves-500
Boston Red Sox+600
New York Yankees+700
Toronto Blue Jays+800
New York Mets+900
Los Angeles Dodgers+950

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

Freddie Freeman will be staying with the Braves. I’m so confident that even a -500 line provides enough value to be hammering a Freeman return to Atlanta.

While some reports have come out that a sixth year in contract talks has been a sticking point for Atlanta, these two sides will come away with a deal for sure. If for some incredible reason the Braves and Freeman break up, the Yankees seem like a match made in heaven with Anthony Rizzo not really working out in New York and the Yankees in need of a left-handed first baseman.

Best Bet: Atlanta Braves -500
Value Pick: New York Yankees +700

Javier Baez: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Javier Baez play For next season?
New York Mets-180
Chicago Cubs+325
New York Yankees+325
Chicago White Sox+950
Texas Rangers+900
Detroit Tigers+950

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

The Mets had a massive collapse last year, falling out of the NL East lead and missing the playoffs once again. That was, however, not due to the production of deadline acquisition Javier Baez. Baez was great in New York, posting an .886 OPS and reaching heights he hadn’t seen since his MVP candidacy year in 2018.

A reunion with New York makes sense for Baez to play alongside franchise cornerstone Francisco Lindor for the next few years, but if the always wild-card Mets go elsewhere, Baez could return to his Chicago Cubs.

Best Bet: New York Mets -180
Value Pick: Chicago Cubs +325

Kris Bryant: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Kris Bryant play For next season?
New York Mets-105
San Francisco Giants+225
Seattle Mariners+400
New York Yankees+800
Philadelphia Phillies+1000
Miami Marlins+1200
Chicago White Sox+850

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

The Seattle Mariners are going to spend this winter, it’s just a question of on who. They had interest in infielder Marcus Semien, but Kris Bryant makes a lot of sense too. The Mariners have an opening at third base left by exiting franchise icon Kyle Seager, and spending big on Bryant would help ease that departure.

Best Bet: Seattle Mariners +400
Value Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +1000

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Marcus Stroman: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Marcus Stroman play For next season?
San Diego Padres+265
New York Mets+325
Chicago Cubs+500
Toronto Blue Jays+650
New York Yankees+800
Los Angeles Angels+160
Los Angeles Dodgers+500

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

Let’s get the “no chance” destinations out of the way here. If you’ve been tracking Stroman’s Twitter, he’s not going to the Yankees, and if you remember how he left Toronto, you know there’s no chance he’ll be returning to the Blue Jays.

Of the remaining top contenders, the Angels, Mets and Padres stick out as the best remaining options. The Angels always need pitching, but seem to be targeting the shorter-term deals, while the Mets and Padres could use an established arm like Stro.

Best Bet: New York Mets +325
Value Pick: San Diego Padres +265

Robbie Ray: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Robbie Ray play For next season?
Toronto Blue Jays-280
Chicago Cubs+800
St. Louis Cardinals+800
Los Angeles Angels+300
Los Angeles Dodgers+900
New York Yankees+900

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

The consensus pick to win the AL Cy Young enters free agency at the perfect time, and Robbie Ray will likely become the highest-paid pitcher in this market. While these odds say he’ll likely return to Toronto, I’m less sure.

At most, I’d say Ray’s chances of returning to the Blue Jays are 50-50, meaning these Toronto odds don’t supply much value. I’d be leaning more to the Angels or a team not even on this oddsboard, if I were to be making a Ray prediction.

Best Bet: Los Angeles Angels +300
Value Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +800

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Trevor Story: MLB Free Agent Predictions

What team will Trevor Story play For next season?
Colorado Rockies+700
Texas Rangers+200
Detroit Tigers+290
Philadelphia Phillies+700
Chicago Cubs+350
Los Angeles Angels+500
New York Yankees+475

Odds as of November 17 at Bovada

The New York Yankees will sign one of the market’s top shortstops this year, and if they miss on Correa, Seager and others, Story is a great power fit.

However, Story will have an interesting market as multiple teams’ backup options if they miss on the top free-agent infielders. He could land anywhere like Texas, Detroit or Philly, should the contending hopefuls strike out on a Seager or Correa. If you’re betting on Story, I’d target the long shots because there’s too much unknown around the former Rockie’s market right now.

Best Bet: Philadelphia Phillies +700
Value Pick: New York Yankees +475