Pittsburgh Can't Cover at Home After Winning at Home

Two 5-2 ACC teams will do battle in Week 10 when the Virginia Tech Hokies head to Pennsylvania to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers at Heinz Field on Thursday night. This is an important divisional matchup that has historically produced close games. The average margin of victory in the last three games between these two schools is just 6.33 points.

  • Virginia Tech is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games against Pittsburgh.
  • Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games against its conference.
  • Virginia Tech is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games in Week 9.

Both teams have left a little to be desired when it comes to covering the spread but the Panthers may be a good fade option in this one as they are 0-10 against the spread in their last 10 home games after winning their most recent home game and have not yet covered at home this year.

Virginia Tech has dropped two straight games to Pittsburgh but will come into this matchup as the betting favorite. The Hokies have been the favorite in their last five games and have covered the spread in all but one of them. That ATS loss came in a straight-up loss to Syracuse in a game in which the Hokies were actually 23-point favorites.

Jerod Evans was the key to the Hokies’ 37-16 victory over Miami and goes up against a Panthers squad that gives up 298.9 yards per game through the air – that ranks Pittsburgh 122nd out of 128 in passing yards allowed per game.

Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting Virginia Tech Hokies in this one found them as -4-point favorites on the Sportsbook college football point spread at Sportsbook. Bookmark the college football odds pages to see where the over under number opens in this game.

Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 37-28 win for the Hokies on Thursday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Pittsburgh Panthers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Pittsburgh Panthers sport a record of 5-2 and 2-5 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Virginia Tech Hokies sit at 5-2 and 4-3 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 6-1 for the Panthers and 4-3 for the Hokies. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 48-rated Pittsburgh Panthers and the No. 19-rated Virginia Tech Hokies in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Pittsburgh's No. 22-ranked offense, averaging 38.43 PPG, against a Virginia Tech defense that ranks No. 17 this week at 17.86 PPG. The Pittsburgh aerial game is averaging 178.86 yards per game, less than the Virginia Tech Hokies secondary allows through the air, 198.43 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Virginia Tech Hokies own the league's No. 45-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 156 yards per game when on the road. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, rates No. 32 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Miami-FL was unable to contain Travon McMillian in its last action Thursday and the result was a 37-16 Week 8 loss against the Hokies.

In their last game, the Panthers were Week 7 Sportsbooks, coming out on top of the Cavaliers by a score of 45-31.

Betting Trends
  • Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games
  • Virginia Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
  • Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Virginia Tech at Duke, Saturday, November 5th
Pittsburgh at Miami-FL, Saturday, November 5th

Virginia Tech is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games against Pittsburgh. away Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games against its conference. home Virginia Tech is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games in Week 9.away