NFL

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cincinnati
Bengals
6 - 9
Pittsburgh
Steelers
8 - 6 - 1
December 30, 2018, 4:25 PM EST
 | Acrisure Stadium

Game Preview

Cincinnati
Bengals
6 - 9
Pittsburgh
Steelers
8 - 6 - 1
December 30, 2018, 4:25 PM EST
 | Acrisure Stadium
  • A couple of avoidable results have taken the Pittsburgh Steelers’ playoff hopes out of their own hands and into the hands of Lamar Jackson and Baker Mayfield. A Week 1 tie plus losses in Denver and Oakland leave the Steelers with a difficult path to the playoffs in Week 17. Pittsburgh needs a win plus a Browns win over Baltimore to win the AFC North. A wild-card berth is impossible.

    Pittsburgh is favored by more than two touchdowns over division rival Cincinnati at home this Sunday, and while the Steelers have been a profitable spread bet this year at 8-6-1 ATS, they are 2-9 ATS as a favorite of 14 points or more since 1992 – with both ATS wins coming in 2010. Pittsburgh won the first meeting this season 28-21.

    SHARK BITES
    • Pittsburgh is 2-9 ATS as a favorite of 14 points or more since 1992.
    • Cincinnati is 0-7 SU and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog of 14 points or more.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.

    Bengals vs Steelers Game Center

    Oddsmakers Are Asking a Lot From Pittsburgh Bettors

    With a spread that opened as high as 17 points at some books for this game, it’s very difficult to ask Pittsburgh to cover such a high spread. The number has since settled to 14 or 14.5, depending on where you shop, but even still, that’s rarefied air for both teams.

    Our database shows the Steelers as 2-9 ATS in just 11 instances of closing as a favorite of 14 points or higher since 1992. Both of those ATS wins came in 2010, the same season they lost the Super Bowl to Green Bay in Dallas.

    Mike Tomlin’s team is just 3-6-1 ATS as the favorite this season, and 0-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite – Pittsburgh laid 10 points in Oakland and lost straight up.

    Bengals Had a Sick BackDoor Cover vs Cleveland in Week 16

    Recency bias will play a factor for Bengals bettors this week as it looked like the Browns were home free to cover the 10 points this past week until the Bengals put up an 18-spot in the fourth, hitting one of the worst (best?) backdoor covers of this NFL season depending on who you were betting on.

    In fact, that made the Bengals 2-for-2 in covering double-digit spreads as the underdog this season. They covered +16.5 at the Chargers in Week 14 in Los Angeles, making them not only 2-for-2 covering double-digit spreads this season, but 2-for-2 on the road as well. They’ll get a shot at the hat trick in Pennsylvania in Week 17.

    Driskel’s Been All right

    Without A.J. Green to throw the ball to, Jeff Driskel has actually been pretty good as the fill-in for the injured Andy Dalton. In six games since Dalton was lost for the season, Driskel has thrown for six touchdowns and has only been picked off twice.

    He’s gotten support from Joe Mixon in the run game and the Bengals have managed to remain competitive down the stretch without arguably their two best players. Cincinnati was blown out just twice this season, incidentally by two of the best quarterbacks in the league in Drew Brees and Patrick Mahomes.

    My Pick for This Game

    I may live to regret this, but I like the Bengals +14.5 this week. I don’t think they’re a good bet on the moneyline or anything, but they’ve managed to keep games close and Pittsburgh hasn’t exactly been able to put away opponents early. I think the Bengals are able to keep this one close while the Steelers have one eye on their opponent and one eye on the out-of-town scoreboard.

Odds

Sunday, December 30 Sun Dec 30


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+16.5
-103
+1050
o48
-107
-16.5
-108
-2000
u48
-107
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+14
-118
+535
o45
-112
-14
-102
-700
u45
-108

Edge Finder

25.74
Total Score
18.12
257.95
Passing Yards
200.53
95.89
Rushing Yards
122.18
31:49
Time on Field
31:31
65.32
Number of Plays
65.24
5.42
Yards Per Play
4.95
25.74
Total Score
18.12
5.84
First Quarter
3.53
8.11
Second Quarter
6.59
5.63
Third Quarter
2.47
6.16
Fourth Quarter
5.35
257.95
Passing Yards
200.53
37.84
Pass Attempts
33.59
25.79
Pass Completions
21.41
2.84
Sacks
2.24
17.89
Sack Yards
14.82
10.00
Yards Per Pass
9.37
95.89
Rushing Yards
122.18
24.63
Rush Attempts
29.41
3.89
Yards Per Rush
4.15
0.74
Interceptions
0.82
0.68
Fumbles
0.94
0.37
Fumbles Lost
0.29
1.11
Total Turnovers
1.12
5.21
Penalties
5.53
39.21
Penalty Yards
41.82
31:49
Time on Field
31:31
65.32
Number of Plays
65.24
5.42
Yards Per Play
4.95
3.58
Punts
4.06
45.39
Punt Average
44.54
64.58
Return Yards
48.35

Head To Head

CIN
Stat Type PIT
1-9
Record
9-1
2-7-1
ATS
7-2-1
4-6
O/U
4-6
18.10
Score
25.80
82.00
Rush Yds
116.60
37.80
Pass Attempts
38.20
61.90
Completion %
62.30
232.60
Passing Yds
283.30
314.6
Total Yds
399.9
1.90
Turnovers
1.20
CIN
Stat Type PIT
0-3
Record
3-0
1-2
ATS
2-1
2-1
O/U
2-1
18.33
Score
26.67
87.67
Rush Yds
118.67
36.00
Pass Attempts
37.00
59.26
Completion %
63.96
181.33
Passing Yds
306.33
269
Total Yds
425
0.67
Turnovers
0.33
Oct 14/18 (1 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
21
Score
28
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
49.5 o
O/U
49.5 u
62
Rush Yds
112
42
Pass Attempts
46
61.90
Completion %
69.57
213
Passing Yds
369
275
Total Yds
481
0
Turnovers
0
Dec 4/17 (2 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
20
Score
23
+4.5
ATS
-4.5
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
130
Rush Yds
92
36
Pass Attempts
40
58.33
Completion %
60.00
223
Passing Yds
282
353
Total Yds
374
0
Turnovers
1
Oct 22/17 (3 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
14
Score
29
+4
ATS
-4
40 o
O/U
40 u
71
Rush Yds
152
30
Pass Attempts
25
56.67
Completion %
60.00
108
Passing Yds
268
179
Total Yds
420
2
Turnovers
0
Dec 18/16 (4 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
20
Score
24
+3
ATS
-3
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
76
Rush Yds
97
27
Pass Attempts
36
59.26
Completion %
58.33
146
Passing Yds
285
222
Total Yds
382
1
Turnovers
0
Sep 18/16 (5 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
16
Score
24
+3
ATS
-3
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
46
Rush Yds
124
54
Pass Attempts
37
57.41
Completion %
51.35
366
Passing Yds
250
412
Total Yds
374
2
Turnovers
2
Jan 9/16 (6 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
16
Score
18
+2
ATS
-2
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
91
Rush Yds
167
41
Pass Attempts
36
56.10
Completion %
55.56
188
Passing Yds
202
279
Total Yds
369
4
Turnovers
2
Dec 13/15 (7 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
20
Score
33
-1
ATS
+1
49 o
O/U
49 u
64
Rush Yds
84
37
Pass Attempts
39
67.57
Completion %
76.92
321
Passing Yds
270
385
Total Yds
354
3
Turnovers
1
Nov 1/15 (8 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
16
Score
10
+1
ATS
-1
49.5 o
O/U
49.5 u
78
Rush Yds
116
38
Pass Attempts
45
60.53
Completion %
62.22
218
Passing Yds
240
296
Total Yds
356
2
Turnovers
3
Dec 28/14 (9 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
17
Score
27
+3
ATS
-3
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
116
Rush Yds
29
38
Pass Attempts
39
71.05
Completion %
61.54
221
Passing Yds
317
337
Total Yds
346
3
Turnovers
3
Dec 7/14 (10 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
21
Score
42
-3
ATS
+3
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
86
Rush Yds
193
35
Pass Attempts
39
71.43
Completion %
64.10
322
Passing Yds
350
408
Total Yds
543
2
Turnovers
0

Team Records

CIN
Record PIT
6-9
All
8-6-1
4-4
Home
4-3
2-5
Away
4-3-1
8-7
ATS
8-6-1
3-5
ATS Home
4-3
5-2
ATS Away
4-3-1
9-5-1
O/U
8-7
5-3
O/U Home
5-2
4-2-1
O/U Away
3-5
CIN
Record PIT
4-7
All
5-5-1
3-3
Home
2-3
1-4
Away
3-2-1
7-4
ATS
4-6-1
3-3
ATS Home
2-3
4-1
ATS Away
2-3-1
5-5-1
O/U
4-7
3-3
O/U Home
3-2
2-2-1
O/U Away
1-5
CIN
Record PIT
1-4
All
3-1-1
1-2
Home
1-1
0-2
Away
2-0-1
3-2
ATS
3-2
1-2
ATS Home
1-1
2-0
ATS Away
2-1
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
CIN
Record PIT
2-8
All
6-4
2-4
Home
3-1
0-4
Away
3-3
4-6
ATS
6-3-1
1-5
ATS Home
3-1
3-1
ATS Away
3-2-1
5-4-1
O/U
4-6
4-2
O/U Home
3-1
1-2-1
O/U Away
1-5

Gametime Weather

Weather
4:00 pm EST Clear
6ºC / 42ºF
58% Humidity
2% Precipitation
11% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 7
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Joe BurrowQBIR; is out for season, Wrist
D'Ante SmithTIs "?" Sunday vs Indianapolis, Knee
Jay TufeleDTIs "?" Sunday vs Indianapolis, Illness
Cam Taylor-BrittCBIs "?" Sunday vs Indianapolis, Ankle
Tycen AndersonSIR; is out for season, Knee
Name Position Inj Desc
Kwon AlexanderLBIs out for season, Achilles
Keanu NealSIR, Ribs
Isaac SeumaloGLeft last game, is "?" Thursday vs New England, Shoulder
Mitchell TrubiskyQBIs expected to start Thursday vs New England, None
Montravius AdamsDTIs "?" Thursday vs New England, Ankle
Cole HolcombLBIR, Knee
Elijah RileySIR, Ankle
Kenny PickettQBIs out indefinitely, Ankle

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 23, 2018CLE18-26L+10/44W/P1021072091463474930
Dec 16, 2018OAK30-16W-3/45.5W/O17112329468229297-1
Dec 9, 2018LAC21-26L+16.5/48.5W/U144151295852032880
Dec 2, 2018DEN10-24L+4/45L/U1112003112181433612
Nov 25, 2018CLE20-35LEv/46.5L/O129243372842583422
Nov 18, 2018BAL21-24L+6.5/44W/O48207255265138403-1
Nov 11, 2018NO14-51L+6/53.5L/O1101742842442655092
Oct 28, 2018TB37-34W-3.5/55L/O138264402126450576-4
Oct 21, 2018KC10-45L+6.5/56.5L/U651742391983535510
Oct 14, 2018PIT21-28L-1.5/49.5L/U622132751123694810
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 23, 2018NO28-31L+6.5/53.5W/O65364429573133701
Dec 16, 2018NE17-10W+2.5/55.5W/U158218376962723681
Dec 9, 2018OAK21-24L-10/51L/U40300340552993540
Dec 2, 2018LAC30-33L-3/53.5L/O65271336852863711
Nov 25, 2018DEN17-24L-3/47.5L/U754525271241843084
Nov 18, 2018JAC20-16W-4/47P/U26297323179642432
Nov 8, 2018CAR52-21W-3.5/51W/O13831945795147242-2
Nov 4, 2018BAL23-16W+1.5/47W/U113282395612072680
Oct 28, 2018CLE33-18W-8.5/47.5W/O168253421741632371
Oct 14, 2018CIN28-21W+1.5/49.5W/U112369481622132750
View Game Logs
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