NFL

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos

Cleveland
Browns
5 - 7 - 1
Denver
Broncos
6 - 7
December 15, 2018, 8:20 PM EST
 | Empower Field at Mile High

Game Preview

Cleveland
Browns
5 - 7 - 1
Denver
Broncos
6 - 7
December 15, 2018, 8:20 PM EST
 | Empower Field at Mile High
  • Winners of three of their last four games, the Cleveland Browns are in a rare position to win six or more games for only the second time since 2007 and can achieve that feat vs the Denver Broncos in Week 15. The Broncos are coming off an ugly road loss to the 49ers but can stay in the playoff hunt in the AFC with a victory on Sunday. They haven’t lost to this iteration of the Browns since Cleveland came back to the NFL in 2000.

    With the history in mind, the Broncos opened as 3-point faves with a total of 45.5.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Browns are 1-24 SU in their last 25 road games.
    • Denver ranks 26th in passing yards allowed per game (264.2).
    • The UNDER has hit in 10 of the Broncos’ 13 games this season.

    Browns vs Broncos Game Center

    Can the Browns Get Another Road Win This Season?

    1-24 SU in the last 25 road games. I’ll expand on this more but this may be the most glaring trend in any NFL matchup this season. The Browns have been a laughingstock for the better part of a decade but the giggling may be coming to a halt with the shift in their effort since they fired head coach Hue Jackson. Cleveland is 3-1 SU and ATS since ol’ Huey got shown the door and is averaging 25.5 points per game in that span.

    But back to that road trend. Two of the three wins since the coaching change were at the Dawg Pound and while Cleveland split the two road games, one was against the Bengals, which doesn’t seem so impressive now that Cincy has lost five straight. The other game was a loss to the Texans in which Baker Mayfield had his worst game as a professional, throwing three interceptions.

    Historically, it’s tough to win in Denver, especially in December. The Broncos are 32-10 SU in their last 42 home games in the final month of the season and in their home losses this year, they lost by 4, 3 and 2 points to teams with winning records (Rams, Chiefs, Texans). This is why I find it hard to convince myself to back the Browns in this matchup despite their improvement through the season. To be fair, I also picked against them before they beat the Bengals on the road but this has all the makings of a letdown for the Brownies.

    Pretty Cloudy Lately in the ‘No-Fly Zone’

    Going into their Week 14 matchup with the Niners, the Broncos had an excellent road map to a playoff berth and were in the driver’s seat to clinch a spot. Well, San Francisco had other plans and laid waste to Denver, which could only muster 14 points against a team that ranks in the bottom five in most defensive categories.

    The Broncos are a tough team to figure out but the one stat I think that explains their fortune (or misfortune) is margins. Only two of their six wins have been by more than seven points and among their seven losses, just two have been by more than seven points, which tells me that each and every game is a dogfight to the finish.

    The Denver defense has been the driving force and the Achilles heel depending on how you view the stats, because it ranks in the top 10 in points allowed per game but is giving up a ton of yards through the air (ranked 26th) and on the ground (ranked 19th). Teams are converting only 53 percent of their red-zone opportunities, which is likely why the Broncos are able to stay in games.

    I think if I’m betting on either side, I would likely side with the Broncos moneyline vs the spread because they don’t really blow out teams and their offense has been severely hampered with the loss of Emmanuel Sanders at wide receiver. The Browns are so frisky lately that it’s a lot to ask for the Broncos to win by more than a field goal.

    When Broncos Take the Field, The UNDER Seems to Follow

    The total opened at 45.5 and while the most-used word to describe Mile High Stadium is “altitude,” the scoring output hasn’t shared that description. The UNDER has hit in five of the Broncos’ six home games this season with an average combined score of 43.3 points per game. Denver has been rewarding UNDER bettors for most of the season as the final score has fallen short of the closing total in 10 of its 13 games this season, with an average combined score of 43.7. Razor-thin margin but I think the defenses come to play in this one.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the UNDER and Broncos moneyline on separate wagers. There is too much evidence in support of an UNDER pick in this game and while I think the Browns offense has improved, they still have a rookie quarterback and shaky offensive line. That could lead to Von Miller and Bradley Chubb having a field day trying to tee off on Baker Mayfield, which means he’ll need to make quick decisions in a hostile environment and should put him in a tough spot to score.

Odds

Saturday, December 15 Sat Dec 15


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+4.5
-110
+149
o42.5
-110
-4.5
-110
-179
u42.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+1
+100
+105
o47.5
-105
-1
-120
-125
u47.5
-115

Edge Finder

21.24
Points Scored
16.88
202.59
Passing Yards
211.29
146.47
Rushing Yards
113.82
31:49
Time on Field
29:57
65.65
Number of Plays
63.41
5.32
Yards Per Play
5.13
21.24
Points Scored
16.88
4.00
First Quarter
3.24
5.71
Second Quarter
5.71
4.35
Third Quarter
2.53
6.82
Fourth Quarter
5.41
202.59
Passing Yards
211.29
31.76
Pass Attempts
33.59
19.71
Pass Completions
20.29
2.59
Sacks
3.71
15.65
Sack Yards
24.41
10.28
Yards Per Pass
10.41
146.47
Rushing Yards
113.82
31.29
Rush Attempts
26.12
4.68
Yards Per Rush
4.36
0.71
Interceptions
0.88
0.76
Fumbles
1.53
0.53
Fumbles Lost
0.53
1.24
Total Turnovers
1.41
6.00
Penalties
6.65
50.88
Penalty Yards
57.12
31:49
Time on Field
29:57
65.65
Number of Plays
63.41
5.32
Yards Per Play
5.13
3.59
Punts
5.65
48.51
Punt Average
46.57
76.35
Return Yards
48.06

Head To Head

CLE
Stat Type DEN
0-7
Record
7-0
1-5-1
ATS
5-1-1
5-2
O/U
5-2
15.43
Points Scored
29.29
84.00
Rush Yds
148.57
34.29
Pass Attempts
41.00
56.25
Completion %
56.79
180.00
Passing Yds
305.00
264
Total Yds
453.57
2.14
Turnovers
1.29
CLE
Stat Type DEN
0-3
Record
3-0
0-2-1
ATS
2-0-1
2-1
O/U
2-1
13.67
Points Scored
29.00
84.67
Rush Yds
152.00
35.33
Pass Attempts
42.67
55.66
Completion %
58.59
159.00
Passing Yds
297.33
243.67
Total Yds
449.33
2.33
Turnovers
1.67
Oct 18/15 (1 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Home
Away
23
Points Scored
26
+3
ATS
-3
41.5 o
O/U
41.5 u
109
Rush Yds
152
39
Pass Attempts
48
51.28
Completion %
54.17
189
Passing Yds
290
298
Total Yds
442
3
Turnovers
3
Dec 23/12 (2 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Away
Home
12
Points Scored
34
+10.5
ATS
-10.5
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
91
Rush Yds
118
36
Pass Attempts
43
58.33
Completion %
69.77
142
Passing Yds
339
233
Total Yds
457
1
Turnovers
1
Sep 20/09 (3 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Away
Home
6
Points Scored
27
+3
ATS
-3
38.5 o
O/U
38.5 u
54
Rush Yds
186
31
Pass Attempts
37
58.06
Completion %
51.35
146
Passing Yds
263
200
Total Yds
449
3
Turnovers
1
Nov 6/08 (4 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Home
Away
30
Points Scored
34
-3
ATS
+3
47 o
O/U
47 u
160
Rush Yds
123
35
Pass Attempts
42
65.71
Completion %
57.14
239
Passing Yds
441
399
Total Yds
564
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 22/06 (5 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Home
Away
7
Points Scored
17
+4.5
ATS
-4.5
31 o
O/U
31 u
34
Rush Yds
150
33
Pass Attempts
41
57.58
Completion %
48.78
131
Passing Yds
197
165
Total Yds
347
3
Turnovers
2
Dec 14/03 (6 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Away
Home
20
Points Scored
23
+11
ATS
-11
42 o
O/U
42 u
102
Rush Yds
165
21
Pass Attempts
36
38.10
Completion %
61.11
173
Passing Yds
252
275
Total Yds
417
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 15/00 (7 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Away
Home
10
Points Scored
44
+12.5
ATS
-12.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
38
Rush Yds
146
45
Pass Attempts
40
57.78
Completion %
55.00
240
Passing Yds
353
278
Total Yds
499
3
Turnovers
0
Nov 12/78 (8 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Home
Away
7
Points Scored
19
ATS
O/U
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
57.78
Completion %
57.78
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Sep 26/76 (9 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Away
Home
13
Points Scored
44
ATS
O/U
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
57.78
Completion %
57.78
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 19/75 (10 of 10)
CLE
Stat Type DEN
Away
Home
15
Points Scored
16
ATS
O/U
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
57.78
Completion %
57.78
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

CLE
Record DEN
5-7-1
All
6-7
4-2-1
Home
3-3
1-5
Away
3-4
8-5
ATS
6-6-1
5-2
ATS Home
2-3-1
3-3
ATS Away
4-3
6-7
O/U
3-10
3-4
O/U Home
1-5
3-3
O/U Away
2-5
CLE
Record DEN
3-5-1
All
4-5
2-2-1
Home
2-2
1-3
Away
2-3
4-5
ATS
4-5
3-2
ATS Home
1-3
1-3
ATS Away
3-2
6-3
O/U
1-8
3-2
O/U Home
0-4
3-1
O/U Away
1-4
CLE
Record DEN
2-1-1
All
2-2
1-0-1
Home
1-1
1-1
Away
1-1
3-1
ATS
2-2
2-0
ATS Home
0-2
1-1
ATS Away
2-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
CLE
Record DEN
4-6
All
4-6
3-2
Home
1-3
1-4
Away
3-3
5-5
ATS
6-4
3-2
ATS Home
2-2
2-3
ATS Away
4-2
5-5
O/U
2-8
2-3
O/U Home
0-4
3-2
O/U Away
2-4

Gametime Weather

Weather
6:00 pm EST Clear
8ºC / 47ºF
25% Humidity
0% Precipitation
1% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 9, 2018CAR26-20W+1/48W/U116232348962973931
Dec 2, 2018HOU13-29L+5.5/47.5L/U313974281871973844
Nov 25, 2018CIN35-20WEv/46.5W/O84258342129243372-2
Nov 11, 2018ATL28-16W+5.5/49.5W/U21121642771311382-1
Nov 4, 2018KC21-37L+8/51.5L/O1022863881393604990
Oct 28, 2018PIT18-33L+8.5/47.5L/O74163237168253421-1
Oct 21, 2018TB23-26L+3.5/52.5W/U119186305114342456-3
Oct 14, 2018LAC14-38L-1/47L/O1032143172462034491
Oct 7, 2018BAL12-9W+3/44.5W/U112304416116294410-1
Sep 30, 2018OAK42-45L+2.5/44.5L/O2082794871394265652
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 9, 2018SF14-20L-3/45.5L/U10317127484305389-1
Dec 2, 2018CIN24-10W-4/45W/U218143361111200311-2
Nov 25, 2018PIT24-17W+3/47.5W/U12418430875452527-4
Nov 18, 2018LAC23-22W+7/47W/U10821732595384479-2
Nov 4, 2018HOU17-19L-1/46.5L/U75273348981922901
Oct 28, 2018KC23-30L+9/53.5W/U189222411492913401
Oct 18, 2018ARI45-10W-1/42W/O13117830969154223-4
Oct 14, 2018LAR20-23L+7/50W/U602973572701744440
Oct 7, 2018NYJ16-34L-1/42.5L/O92344436323189512-1
Oct 1, 2018KC23-27L+3.5/53.5L/U1592263851423044461
View Game Logs
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