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First-place Lions Host Fading Jaguars

Stafford Lions

The Detroit Lions will be looking to maintain a share of first place in the NFC North with a fourth straight home victory when they welcome the rapidly sinking Jacksonville Jaguars to town on Sunday for an NFL Week 11 matchup at Ford Field.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Lions' last 11 games at home.
  • The Lions are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games against the AFC South division.
  • The Jaguars are 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after losing as a favorite.

The 5-4 Lions have won four of five SU, including last week's 22-16 victory over Minnesota as 5-point road underdogs, which has lifted them alongside the Vikings atop the division standings. Detroit has also held opponents to 17.6 ppg in its past three. But the Lions have struggled to generate offense, mustering just 18.3 ppg and forcing the point total UNDER in each of those outings.

The 2-7 Jaguars are coming off a fourth straight SU loss, dropping a 24-21 decision to Houston as 2.5-point home chalk, and have also lost three of four SU on the road. Jacksonville is winless SU in 10 as road underdogs of six or more points, but has covered in four of its past five.

The favored team is 5-0 SU and ATS over the past five meetings between these clubs, with the total finishing OVER in their past four. Detroit posted a 31-14 win as 6-point road chalk in their last meeting four years ago, ending a three-game SU losing streak against the Jaguars.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Detroit Lions were listed as -6.5-point favorites at Bovada and other online Sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 47.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 29-18 result in favor of the Lions on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Jacksonville Jaguars have seen them go 2-7 and 5-4 ATS so far this season, while the Detroit Lions are at 5-4 and 5-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Lions are 4-5, while the Jaguars are 6-3. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Detroit vs Jacksonville injuries news.

The Detroit Lions sit at No. 21 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Jacksonville Jaguars are at No. 30 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Detroit's No. 18-ranked offense, averaging 22.78 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 26.56 PPG. The Lions aerial game is averaging 251 yards per game, more than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 203.67 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Jacksonville Jaguars own the league's No. 26-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 129.5 yards per game when on the road. Detroit, on the other hand, rates No. 20 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last gridiron battle, Allen Robinson did much of the damage, producing 107 receiving yards but Houston managed to defeat the Jaguars 24-21 at EverBank Field.

Matthew Stafford passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game in leading the Lions past Minnesota 22-16 on Sunday.

Betting Trends
  • Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Jacksonville is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games on the road
  • Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
  • Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Jacksonville at Buffalo, Sunday, November 27th
Detroit home to Minnesota, Thursday, November 24th