A fan holds a sign for Tua Tagovailoa (1) of the Miami Dolphins during an NFL game against the Los Angeles Rams on November 1, 2020, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

Tua Going For First Road Win as Dolphins Visit Cardinals as Solid Underdogs

The Miami Dolphins (4-3) and Arizona Cardinals (5-2) will both be going for four-game winning streaks when they clash on Sunday. The Dolphins have gone 2-1 on the road so far but will be underdogs as they try for their first victory away from home with rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa under center against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, who are 2-1 at home this season.

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals
  • Date/Time: November 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: State Farm Stadium
  • TV Coverage: CBS
  • Sportsbook Odds: Cardinals -5.5 | O/U 47.5 (Line History)
  • Dolphins vs Cardinals Matchup Report

Sportsbook Odds Analysis

Early money has come in on Tua and the Dolphins, moving the point spread down to -4.5 in favor of the Cardinals. Whether the line will continue to drop remains to be seen, as bettors weigh whether Tagovailoa really is ready for his first road start against a quality opponent. His first start was solid but unspectacular, with his teammates doing most of the heavy lifting, especially on the defensive side of the ball. But Arizona is also coming off a bye week and was able to study its opponent very well during that time.

Miami News & Notes

Let’s be perfectly honest here and avoid following the media’s Tua love fest. More than likely, Miami would have beaten the Rams just the same with him or Ryan Fitzpatrick as the starting quarterback, and do not forget that Los Angeles took an early 7-0 lead after the rookie fumbled on his very first possession as an NFL starter.

The truth is, the Dolphins played outstanding defensively and made Rams quarterback Jared Goff look terrible, which was really the story of the game. Tagovailoa completed 12 of 22 passes for 93 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions, which may have been his best stat of the day. Can he keep up with Murray in a potential shootout if needed, though? That is the real question and one bettors will be anxious to see answered on Sunday.

Arizona News & Notes

The Cardinals are coming off the bye after a thrilling 37-34 overtime victory against the Seattle Seahawks in the Week 8 Sunday Night Football matchup. They covered the number as 3.5-point home underdogs too but have gone just 1-4 straight up and against the spread in their last five games as home favorites, which is a little concerning.

Arizona is 1-2 SU and ATS in that situation under head coach Kliff Kingsbury, who has righted the ship for the most part in his second season there.

Kingsbury did note that two players tested positive for COVID-19 over the weekend, with all tests then coming back negative on Sunday. This is definitely worth monitoring as the only real potential distraction right now for a team that is otherwise rolling along.

Betting Pick: UNDER 48

The total is trending up slightly, so it may pay to wait until you can get the best number possible later in the week. While the OVER has cashed in the past four meetings between these teams, the average combined score in those games was 45.5 points, and this one figures to move even closer toward 50 by kickoff. Another key trend to consider is the fact that the UNDER has cashed in the last four games for the Cardinals following a bye. Put that with other strong UNDER trends and this pick becomes even stronger.

Shark Bites
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 games.
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in Arizona’s last 7 games.
  • The Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games.
The UNDER is 4-1 in MIA’s last 5 games.away The UNDER is 5-2 in ARI’s last 7 games.home MIA is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.away
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