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With Tua back at QB for the Dolphins, this is an easy OVER for me. The Bills are averaging 28.75 points per game this year and Miami put up 27 last week, with Tua back.
In the first game between Miami and Buffalo this season, the teams were on pace for 68 total points at half, before Tagovailoa got concussed. These teams almost always play in shootouts. In the last five meetings between Miami and Buffalo, the point total has average 54 points. They've gone OVER this 48.5 point mark in the last three meetings at Buffalo, too.
Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman are playing so well that Amari Cooper hasn't really been a big part of Buffalo's offense. In two games with the Bills, Cooper has just five catches on seven targets for 69 yards.
Now, Cooper faces a Dolphins defense that's allowed the fourth-fewest receiving yards to WRs this year, allowing just 121 total per game.
Sunday, November 3 Sun Nov 3
Player Props
Player Props
- Tua Tagovailoa(MIA) POS: QBPropCompletionsProjection20.5
- Josh Allen(BUF) POS: QBPropCompletionsProjection19.7
Edge Finder
11.67 | Points Scored | 28.43 |
---|---|---|
179.50 | Passing Yards | 204.71 |
128.67 | Rushing Yards | 116.29 |
31:26 | Time on Field | 28:20 |
65.50 | Number of Plays | 56.14 |
4.70 | Yards Per Play | 5.72 |
Head To Head
MIA | Stat Type | BUF |
---|---|---|
1-9 | Record | 9-1 |
4-5-1 | ATS | 5-4-1 |
5-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
19.00 | Points Scored | 33.30 |
96.80 | Rush Yds | 114.60 |
38.50 | Pass Attempts | 37.30 |
59.22 | Completion % | 66.49 |
224.10 | Passing Yds | 299.80 |
320.9 | Total Yds | 414.4 |
1.80 | Turnovers | 1.30 |
Team Records
MIA | Record | BUF |
---|---|---|
2-5 | All | 6-2 |
1-3 | Home | 3-0 |
1-2 | Away | 3-2 |
1-6 | ATS | 5-3 |
0-4 | ATS Home | 2-1 |
1-2 | ATS Away | 3-2 |
2-5 | O/U | 4-4 |
2-2 | O/U Home | 3-0 |
0-3 | O/U Away | 1-4 |
Gametime Weather
mph
Trends
- Miami are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games.
- Miami are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
- Miami are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Buffalo.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road.
- Miami are 0-8 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo.
- Miami are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
- Miami are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games played in November.
Injuries
Name | Position | Inj Desc |
---|---|---|
River Cracraft | WR | Is upgraded to "?" Sunday vs Buffalo, Upper Body |
Zach Sieler | DT | Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo, Eye |
Alec Ingold | RB | Is "?" Sunday vs Buffalo, Calf |
Tyler Huntley | QB | IR, Shoulder |
Jaelan Phillips | LB | IR; is out for season, Knee |
Jevon Holland | S | Is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs Buffalo, Knee |
Anthony Schwartz | WR | IR, Knee |
Kader Kohou | CB | Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo, Neck |
Grant DuBose | WR | IR, Shoulder |
Julian Hill | TE | Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo, Shoulder |
Patrick McMorris | S | IR, Foot |
Storm Duck | CB | Is "?" Sunday vs Buffalo, Ankle |
Grayson Murphy | LB | IR, Knee |
Last 10 Games
Date | Opp | Score | SU | Line/Total | ATS | OFF. RUSH | OFF. PASS | OFF. TOTAL | DEF. RUSH | DEF. PASS | DEF. TOTAL | TO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 27, 2024 | ARI | 27-28 | L | -4.5/46.5 | L/O | 150 | 227 | 377 | 82 | 307 | 389 | 0 |
Oct 20, 2024 | IND | 10-16 | L | +3/44 | L/U | 188 | 149 | 337 | 155 | 129 | 284 | 1 |
Oct 6, 2024 | NE | 15-10 | W | -2/37 | W/U | 193 | 179 | 372 | 151 | 148 | 299 | 2 |
Sep 30, 2024 | TEN | 12-31 | L | -2.5/37.5 | L/O | 106 | 78 | 184 | 142 | 102 | 244 | 0 |
Sep 22, 2024 | SEA | 3-24 | L | +4/41.5 | L/U | 65 | 140 | 205 | 100 | 270 | 370 | -2 |
Sep 12, 2024 | BUF | 10-31 | L | -2.5/48.5 | L/U | 139 | 212 | 351 | 108 | 139 | 247 | 3 |
Sep 8, 2024 | JAC | 20-17 | W | -3.5/49.5 | L/U | 81 | 319 | 400 | 128 | 139 | 267 | -1 |
Jan 13, 2024 | KC | 7-26 | L | +4.5/43.5 | L/U | 76 | 188 | 264 | 147 | 262 | 409 | 0 |
Jan 7, 2024 | BUF | 14-21 | L | +2.5/48 | L/U | 108 | 167 | 275 | 128 | 345 | 473 | -1 |
Dec 31, 2023 | BAL | 19-56 | L | +3/47 | L/O | 154 | 221 | 375 | 160 | 331 | 491 | 2 |