NFL

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Minnesota
Vikings
5 - 3 - 1
Chicago
Bears
6 - 3
November 18, 2018, 8:20 PM EST
 | Soldier Field

Game Preview

Minnesota
Vikings
5 - 3 - 1
Chicago
Bears
6 - 3
November 18, 2018, 8:20 PM EST
 | Soldier Field
  • Many had the Bears penciled in as a sleeper candidate entering the season and through the halfway point of the season, they’ve met those expectations. They come into Sunday with a slim half-game lead in the NFC North and will look to distance themselves from the team breathing down their necks, the defending champion Minnesota Vikings. It just so has it they’ve had the Vikings’ number when the two play in Chicago, as they’ve won an impressive 14 of the last 17 matchups between the teams in the Windy City.

    The Bears opened the week at -3 and the total is set at 46.

    Shark Bites
    • The Vikings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road vs the Bears.
    • The total has gone OVER in five of the Bears’ last six games. Those games had an average combined score of 54.33. 
    • The Bears lead the league in net yards per play at home.

    Vikings vs Bears Game Center

    Spread Analysis

    This is the first time in four years that the Bears have been a favorite over the Vikings. The last time occurred in Chicago on November 16, 2004. The Bears won 21-13, covering -2.5 points. This time around, the Bears are showing promise of a future Super Bowl contender with the possibility of owning the NFC North for years to come. They’ve won three straight games, all by double digits, outscoring their opponents 99-41. This will mark their eighth game as a favorite this season after getting that distinction just three times last season.

    The Vikings are playing some good football too, winning four of their last five games before going on their bye in Week 10. Three of the wins were by double digits, as was their most recent victory over the Bears on December 31 of last season — a 23-10 win at home. Specific to their underdog status in this one, it’ll be their seventh time since the beginning of last season as an underdog. They went 3-3 SU and 3-2-1 ATS the six previous times.

    Looking at home/away splits, the Bears have been a much better team on their home field as they lead the NFL in net yards per play at home, which has paved the way to a 4-1 ATS record at Soldier Field. They’re scoring in bunches at home, averaging 34.25 points over their last four home games. Mitch Trubisky is also posting much better numbers in Chicago, where his QB rating is 24 points higher than it is on the road.

    As for the Vikings, they’re 2-1-1 SU and ATS on the road this season, but they’re allowing 6.4 additional points outside of Minnesota. Oddly enough, however, they’re scoring 9.8 more points on the road and Kirk Cousins has posted some elite numbers, throwing 10 touchdowns to just one interception with a 111.8 QB rating.

    What’s a Totals Bettor to do?

    If recent Bears results are any indication, then the OVER looks like a smart bet. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games with those games having an average combined score of 54.33. The Vikings, meanwhile, have been involved in some very high-scoring games on the road this season with their four road games having an average combined score of 56.25. Furthermore, combining the Bears’ home O/U record with the Vikings’ road O/U record equates to a mark of 6-3 O/U.

    There are two things holding me back from going all-in on an OVER, though. First is the Bears defense. They’re allowing the fourth-fewest points in the league (19.4) and are allowing just 13.7 points over their last three games. As for the Vikings, they’ve been elite in the red zone, holding opponents to a 39.39 touchdown scoring percentage that is the second-best in the league. Bettors will also be interested to know that the UNDER has been a big money bet in recent Sunday nighters, as it’s hit in seven of the last nine.

    I’ll be staying away from a totals bet, but if you have a gun to my head, threatening to murder me if I don’t make a pick, I’d go with the recent scoring trends and take the OVER.

    My best bet for Vikings vs Bears

    I’ve saved my best stat for last … the Bears have the top first-half point differential in the league at +9.78, whereas the Vikings are at -1.22. As a result of this and their elite-level play at home, I’ve got the Bears on the first-half spread at -1.5.

    Other Betting Nuggets for Vikings at Bears:
    • The Bears are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games at home vs teams with winning records.
    • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Vikings’ last 10 games at night.
    • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Vikings’ last nine games vs the Bears (avg. combined score: 38.33).
    • The Vikings are 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight games after a bye.
    • The Vikings are 6-0-1 SU in their last seven games vs divisional opponents (avg. winning margin: 9.57).
    • The Vikings are 6-1 SU in their last seven games vs the Bears.
    • Mitch Trubisky has a 65.3 QB rating in two career games vs the Vikings.

Odds

Sunday, November 18 Sun Nov 18


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+3
-110
+140
o45.5
-110
-3
-110
-165
u45.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+2.5
-110
+120
o44
-110
-2.5
-110
-140
u44
-110

Edge Finder

25.00
Total Score
18.29
249.29
Passing Yards
188.65
113.53
Rushing Yards
118.71
29:37
Time on Field
30:20
63.71
Number of Plays
63.24
5.70
Yards Per Play
4.86
25.00
Total Score
18.29
5.06
First Quarter
2.76
6.76
Second Quarter
6.88
6.59
Third Quarter
3.35
6.24
Fourth Quarter
5.29
249.29
Passing Yards
188.65
35.53
Pass Attempts
31.88
23.41
Pass Completions
19.53
1.76
Sacks
3.41
12.47
Sack Yards
25.18
10.65
Yards Per Pass
9.66
113.53
Rushing Yards
118.71
26.41
Rush Attempts
27.94
4.30
Yards Per Rush
4.25
0.41
Interceptions
1.18
1.24
Fumbles
1.41
0.35
Fumbles Lost
0.53
0.76
Total Turnovers
1.71
6.53
Penalties
6.24
61.35
Penalty Yards
53.76
29:37
Time on Field
30:20
63.71
Number of Plays
63.24
5.70
Yards Per Play
4.86
4.65
Punts
3.65
45.87
Punt Average
46.22
77.12
Return Yards
97.24

Head To Head

MIN
Stat Type CHI
7-3
Record
3-7
5-5
ATS
5-5
3-7
O/U
3-7
23.10
Score
17.50
134.90
Rush Yds
117.60
30.60
Pass Attempts
33.70
65.03
Completion %
64.69
198.70
Passing Yds
224.60
333.6
Total Yds
342.2
0.80
Turnovers
1.60
MIN
Stat Type CHI
3-0
Record
0-3
1-2
ATS
2-1
1-2
O/U
1-2
27.00
Score
12.33
143.33
Rush Yds
109.33
31.67
Pass Attempts
27.67
71.58
Completion %
55.42
190.33
Passing Yds
156.67
333.67
Total Yds
266
0.33
Turnovers
2.33
Dec 31/17 (1 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
23
Score
10
-13.5
ATS
+13.5
38 o
O/U
38 u
147
Rush Yds
30
29
Pass Attempts
37
72.41
Completion %
54.05
180
Passing Yds
171
327
Total Yds
201
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 9/17 (2 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
20
Score
17
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
41 o
O/U
41 u
159
Rush Yds
115
32
Pass Attempts
26
68.75
Completion %
50.00
141
Passing Yds
159
300
Total Yds
274
0
Turnovers
2
Jan 1/17 (3 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
38
Score
10
-6
ATS
+6
44 o
O/U
44 u
124
Rush Yds
183
34
Pass Attempts
20
73.53
Completion %
65.00
250
Passing Yds
140
374
Total Yds
323
1
Turnovers
5
Oct 31/16 (4 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
10
Score
20
-5
ATS
+5
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
57
Rush Yds
158
37
Pass Attempts
31
62.16
Completion %
64.52
201
Passing Yds
245
258
Total Yds
403
0
Turnovers
0
Dec 20/15 (5 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
38
Score
17
-4
ATS
+4
44 o
O/U
44 u
129
Rush Yds
94
20
Pass Attempts
37
85.00
Completion %
70.27
221
Passing Yds
199
350
Total Yds
293
0
Turnovers
2
Nov 1/15 (6 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
23
Score
20
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
147
Rush Yds
97
30
Pass Attempts
33
56.67
Completion %
66.67
180
Passing Yds
208
327
Total Yds
305
1
Turnovers
0
Dec 28/14 (7 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
13
Score
9
-7
ATS
+7
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
121
Rush Yds
99
25
Pass Attempts
36
68.00
Completion %
63.89
190
Passing Yds
165
311
Total Yds
264
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 16/14 (8 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
13
Score
21
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
96
Rush Yds
138
28
Pass Attempts
43
64.29
Completion %
72.09
147
Passing Yds
330
243
Total Yds
468
1
Turnovers
2
Dec 1/13 (9 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
23
Score
20
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
246
Rush Yds
135
41
Pass Attempts
36
56.10
Completion %
63.89
250
Passing Yds
345
496
Total Yds
480
1
Turnovers
1
Sep 15/13 (10 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
30
Score
31
+6
ATS
-6
41 o
O/U
41 u
123
Rush Yds
127
30
Pass Attempts
38
53.33
Completion %
71.05
227
Passing Yds
284
350
Total Yds
411
3
Turnovers
4

Team Records

MIN
Record CHI
5-3-1
All
6-3
3-2
Home
4-1
2-1-1
Away
2-2
4-3-2
ATS
6-3
2-2-1
ATS Home
4-1
2-1-1
ATS Away
2-2
4-5
O/U
6-3
1-4
O/U Home
3-2
3-1
O/U Away
3-1
MIN
Record CHI
4-2-1
All
4-1
3-1
Home
3-0
1-1-1
Away
1-1
3-2-2
ATS
4-1
2-1-1
ATS Home
3-0
1-1-1
ATS Away
1-1
3-4
O/U
3-2
1-3
O/U Home
2-1
2-1
O/U Away
1-1
MIN
Record CHI
1-0-1
All
1-1
1-0
Home
1-0
0-0-1
Away
0-1
1-1
ATS
2-0
1-0
ATS Home
1-0
0-1
ATS Away
1-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
MIN
Record CHI
5-3-1
All
6-3
3-2
Home
4-1
2-1-1
Away
2-2
4-3-2
ATS
6-3
2-2-1
ATS Home
4-1
2-1-1
ATS Away
2-2
4-5
O/U
6-3
1-4
O/U Home
3-2
3-1
O/U Away
3-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00pm Clear
-2ºC / 29ºF
71% Humidity
4% Precipitation
0% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 4, 2018DET24-9W-5/47W/U128155283661432091
Oct 28, 2018NO20-30L+2.5/54L/U853384231061642701
Oct 21, 2018NYJ37-17W-3.5/45W/O8822831671192263-4
Oct 14, 2018ARI27-17W-10/43.5P/O195216411612082690
Oct 7, 2018PHI23-21W+3.5/48.5W/U7729837581283364-1
Sep 27, 2018LAR31-38L+7/49P/O543924461004565561
Sep 23, 2018BUF6-27L-16.5/41L/U142782921281642923
Sep 16, 2018GB29-29T-1.5/45L/O68412480982533511
Sep 9, 2018SF24-16W-6/46.5W/U11622734390237327-3
Jan 21, 2018PHI7-38L-3/39L/O702633331103464563
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 11, 2018DET34-22W-7/44.5W/O5434840276229305-3
Nov 4, 2018BUF41-9W-10/38W/O6412619097167264-3
Oct 28, 2018NYJ24-10W-8.5/42W/U179216395571502070
Oct 21, 2018NE31-38L+2/49L/O134319453108273381-1
Oct 14, 2018MIA28-31L-7/40.5L/O1643034671613805410
Sep 30, 2018TB48-10W-3/46W/O13934448360251311-3
Sep 23, 2018ARI16-14W-5.5/39L/U12219431653168221-2
Sep 17, 2018SEA24-17W-4.5/42.5W/U86185271742022760
Sep 9, 2018GB23-24L+7/45W/O13915529469301370-1
Dec 31, 2017MIN10-23L+13.5/38W/U301712011471803270
View Game Logs