NFL

Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams

Minnesota
Vikings
1 - 1 - 1
Los Angeles
Rams
3 - 0
September 27, 2018, 8:20 PM EDT
 | Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Game Preview

Minnesota
Vikings
1 - 1 - 1
Los Angeles
Rams
3 - 0
September 27, 2018, 8:20 PM EDT
 | Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
  • The Los Angeles Rams won’t have much time to celebrate their throttling of the Chargers as they welcome the Minnesota Vikings for Thursday Night Football. The Rams look to be the cream of the crop in the NFL as they’re fourth in the league in scoring and have outscored opponents 102-36 through three games. They’ll look to move to 4-0 by facing a Vikings squad that is coming off the biggest regular-season loss as a spread favorite since 1992.

    Los Angeles opened as a 6.5-point fave to stake its claim as the best team in the NFL.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Rams are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
    • The Vikings are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
    • The OVER has hit in 6 of the Vikings’ last 8 games on the road.

    Vikings vs Rams Game Center

    Rams Are the Best Team in the NFL

    All apologies to the Chiefs and Dolphins (the other two undefeated teams in the NFL) but the Rams are on another level. Los Angeles’s defense may have given up 23 points to a high-powered Chargers squad but held Philip Rivers to only 215 passing yards and never really looked in danger of allowing them back in the game. There are some doubts about All-Pro cornerback Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib being able to play in this game after they both suffered injuries vs the Chargers but this defense (12.6 points per game allowed) may not need them when you consider how scary the Rams offense looks after three weeks.

    And that offense is humming as Jared Goff continues to develop into one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL. Goff picked apart a Chargers secondary for 354 yards and three touchdowns and it just goes to show that defenses can’t focus on just Todd Gurley and Brandin Cooks, because their third and fourth options in Robert Woods (104 yards, two TD) and Cooper Kupp (71 yards, one TD) would be starting WRs on any other team in the league.

    With this type of weaponry and brilliant coaching from Sean McVay and Wade Phillips, it shouldn’t shock bettors to know they’re 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and going back to last season are 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games in that spot. When they’re faves of 7 points or more, they’re 4-0 ATS in the last four games with an average win margin of 22 points. As long as the spread hovers in this range, I’m all-in on the Rams, regardless of the opponent.

    Vikings Defense Might be Overhyped

    Projecting how the Rams will fare on short rest against the Vikings defense is tricky as Minnesota has blue-chip players at every position but for a squad that has Super Bowl aspirations, the defense has not looked championship-caliber after three games. The Vikings are allowing 24 points per game this season, which is over eight points more than their season average last year (15.8). I looked at the Vikings’ defensive performances going back to the start of the postseason last year and Mike Zimmer’s unit has been subpar:

    • Divisional playoff vs Saints – 24 points allowed, 294 yards passing, 80 yards rushing
    • NFC title game vs Eagles – 38 points allowed, 352 yards passing, 110 yards rushing
    • Week 1 vs 49ers – 16 points allowed, 261 yards passing, 90 yards rushing
    • Week 2 vs Packers – 29 points allowed, 281 yards passing, 98 yards rushing
    • Week 3 vs Bills – 27 points allowed, 196 yards passing, 128 yards rushing

    That averages out to 26.8 points, 276.8 passing yards and 101 rushing yards. Outside of the 49ers game, it makes you pause to think that maybe, just maybe, the Vikings defense isn’t as good as we thought.

    As a 6.5-point underdog, Minnesota does not inspire a lot of confidence for bettors as it’s 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS in the last 10 games in that position and when the Vikings were in this spot last season, they got pummeled 26-9 in Pittsburgh.

    If Vikings backers are looking for any semblance of hope after taking the worst loss as a favorite in the NFL since 1992, it’s worth reminiscing about last season when they hosted the high-powered Rams and slammed the door on Los Angeles to the tune of 24-7. I expect this to be a close game as each team finds its footing, with the Rams eventually winning by 10 points or more.

    Should You Bet on the OVER?

    The total opened at 49 and based on everything we’ve seen from the Rams offense and the Vikings defense, this game should easily surpass 50 points. This past week showed that while the Rams defense can be formidable, they also can be scored on when facing a team that has offensive weapons like the Chargers or Vikings.

    I’m not ready to use that Bills game as an indictment of Kirk Cousins and Minnesota’s offense as the OVER has hit in six of the Vikings’ last eight road games. The OVER has also hit in the last two weeks of Thursday Night Football so betting against these offenses is not something I’m willing to endorse.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the Rams to cover the spread. I think the Rams are the best team in the NFL and head coach Sean McVay will be rewatching the tape from their game last year to figure out the best way to exploit this Vikings defense. I still expect the Vikings to put up points too so if wagering on spreads isn’t your thing, the OVER may be a decent alternative.

Odds

Thursday, September 27 Thu Sep 27


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+7
-110
+197
o47
-110
-7
-110
-238
u47
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
--
- -
--
--
- -
--

Edge Finder

24.89
Points Scored
18.06
264.17
Passing Yards
182.82
95.67
Rushing Yards
97.71
29:48
Time on Field
29:48
65.50
Number of Plays
58.88
5.49
Yards Per Play
4.76
24.89
Points Scored
18.06
4.72
First Quarter
4.47
6.50
Second Quarter
6.35
3.78
Third Quarter
3.06
9.56
Fourth Quarter
4.18
264.17
Passing Yards
182.82
39.56
Pass Attempts
31.24
26.67
Pass Completions
20.41
2.61
Sacks
3.47
18.56
Sack Yards
23.41
9.91
Yards Per Pass
8.96
95.67
Rushing Yards
97.71
23.33
Rush Attempts
24.18
4.10
Yards Per Rush
4.04
0.83
Interceptions
0.88
1.06
Fumbles
0.94
0.44
Fumbles Lost
0.47
1.28
Total Turnovers
1.35
5.06
Penalties
4.47
38.94
Penalty Yards
38.53
29:48
Time on Field
29:48
65.50
Number of Plays
58.88
5.49
Yards Per Play
4.76
4.28
Punts
4.29
47.04
Punt Average
47.07
72.06
Return Yards
63.88

Head To Head

MIN
Stat Type LAR
6-4
Record
4-6
6-4
ATS
4-6
6-4
O/U
6-4
28.40
Points Scored
25.40
137.80
Rush Yds
109.60
33.20
Pass Attempts
36.10
65.36
Completion %
67.04
221.40
Passing Yds
269.00
359.2
Total Yds
378.6
1.20
Turnovers
1.90
MIN
Stat Type LAR
3-0
Record
0-3
3-0
ATS
0-3
0-3
O/U
0-3
26.33
Points Scored
10.33
167.00
Rush Yds
92.33
30.00
Pass Attempts
35.33
65.56
Completion %
61.32
196.00
Passing Yds
205.00
363
Total Yds
297.33
0.33
Turnovers
1.00
Nov 19/17 (1 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Home
Away
24
Points Scored
7
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
46 o
O/U
46 u
171
Rush Yds
45
38
Pass Attempts
37
71.05
Completion %
62.16
280
Passing Yds
209
451
Total Yds
254
0
Turnovers
1
Nov 8/15 (2 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Home
Away
21
Points Scored
18
-2
ATS
+2
40 o
O/U
40 u
145
Rush Yds
160
27
Pass Attempts
33
55.56
Completion %
54.55
148
Passing Yds
160
293
Total Yds
320
1
Turnovers
0
Sep 7/14 (3 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Away
Home
34
Points Scored
6
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
185
Rush Yds
72
25
Pass Attempts
36
68.00
Completion %
66.67
160
Passing Yds
246
345
Total Yds
318
0
Turnovers
2
Dec 16/12 (4 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Away
Home
36
Points Scored
22
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
213
Rush Yds
87
24
Pass Attempts
55
70.83
Completion %
63.64
109
Passing Yds
345
322
Total Yds
432
0
Turnovers
2
Oct 11/09 (5 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Away
Home
38
Points Scored
10
-10
ATS
+10
41 o
O/U
41 u
89
Rush Yds
122
27
Pass Attempts
38
77.78
Completion %
71.05
288
Passing Yds
278
377
Total Yds
400
1
Turnovers
4
Dec 31/06 (6 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Home
Away
21
Points Scored
41
+2
ATS
-2
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
82
Rush Yds
168
35
Pass Attempts
31
60.00
Completion %
61.29
211
Passing Yds
248
293
Total Yds
416
2
Turnovers
0
Dec 11/05 (7 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Home
Away
27
Points Scored
13
-7
ATS
+7
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
113
Rush Yds
108
25
Pass Attempts
45
64.00
Completion %
57.78
146
Passing Yds
229
259
Total Yds
337
2
Turnovers
6
Nov 30/03 (8 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Away
Home
17
Points Scored
48
+6
ATS
-6
51.5 o
O/U
51.5 u
189
Rush Yds
141
48
Pass Attempts
21
68.75
Completion %
76.19
276
Passing Yds
255
465
Total Yds
396
3
Turnovers
1
Dec 10/00 (9 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Away
Home
29
Points Scored
40
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
58.5 o
O/U
58.5 u
104
Rush Yds
162
33
Pass Attempts
32
63.64
Completion %
84.38
208
Passing Yds
346
312
Total Yds
508
0
Turnovers
0
Jan 16/00 (10 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type LAR
Away
Home
37
Points Scored
49
+7
ATS
-7
53.5 o
O/U
53.5 u
87
Rush Yds
31
50
Pass Attempts
33
58.00
Completion %
81.82
388
Passing Yds
374
475
Total Yds
405
3
Turnovers
3

Team Records

MIN
Record LAR
1-1-1
All
3-0
1-1
Home
2-0
0-0-1
Away
1-0
1-2
ATS
3-0
1-1
ATS Home
2-0
0-1
ATS Away
1-0
1-2
O/U
1-2
0-2
O/U Home
1-1
1-0
O/U Away
0-1
MIN
Record LAR
1-0-1
All
1-0
1-0
Home
1-0
0-0-1
Away
0-0
1-1
ATS
1-0
1-0
ATS Home
1-0
0-1
ATS Away
0-0
1-1
O/U
0-1
0-1
O/U Home
0-1
1-0
O/U Away
0-0
MIN
Record LAR
0-0-1
All
1-0
0-0
Home
1-0
0-0-1
Away
0-0
0-1
ATS
1-0
0-0
ATS Home
1-0
0-1
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
MIN
Record LAR
1-1-1
All
3-0
1-1
Home
2-0
0-0-1
Away
1-0
1-2
ATS
3-0
1-1
ATS Home
2-0
0-1
ATS Away
1-0
1-2
O/U
1-2
0-2
O/U Home
1-1
1-0
O/U Away
0-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
5:00 pm EDT Clear
24ºC / 76ºF
61% Humidity
0% Precipitation
22% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Sep 23, 2018BUF6-27L-16.5/41L/U142782921281642923
Sep 16, 2018GB29-29T-1.5/45L/O68412480982533511
Sep 9, 2018SF24-16W-6/46.5W/U11622734390237327-3
Jan 21, 2018PHI7-38L-3/39L/O702633331103464563
Jan 14, 2018NO29-24W-5.5/46.5L/O9530840380278358-1
Dec 31, 2017CHI23-10W-13.5/38L/U147180327301712010
Dec 23, 2017GB16-0W-8.5/40.5W/U112124236113126239-2
Dec 17, 2017CIN34-7W-12.5/42W/U12422234646115161-1
Dec 10, 2017CAR24-31L-2.5/40.5L/O1002563562161293452
Dec 3, 2017ATL14-9W+2/48.5W/U1052073121021732750
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Sep 23, 2018LAC35-23W-7/49W/O1713505211412153560
Sep 16, 2018ARI34-0W-11/43W/U9034243254831370
Sep 10, 2018OAK33-13W-6/47.5W/U14022536595300395-3
Jan 6, 2018ATL13-26L-6/48L/U1152463611241983222
Dec 31, 2017SF13-34L+6.5/44L/O102149251171292463-1
Dec 24, 2017TEN27-23W-5.5/46L/O116286402972693660
Dec 17, 2017SEA42-7W+1/47.5W/O24410835278142149-1
Dec 10, 2017PHI35-43L+1/47L/O1091983071393164551
Dec 3, 2017ARI32-16W-7/43W/O90213303118194312-1
Nov 26, 2017NO26-20W-2.5/54W/U883274151232233461
View Game Logs
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