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NFL Pro Bowl Betting Odds

Looking for a fun little sideshow to tide you over until Super Bowl 53? Have no fear: the NFL Pro Bowl will take place at Camping World Stadium in Orlando on January 27.

Once again, the Pro Bowl will consist of the AFC vs NFC format after the NFL decided to return to that layout two seasons ago, scrapping the playground team selection style after three years. Last year’s game was decided by one point, a 24-23 win by the AFC as that conference grabbed a 23-22 all-time advantage in the NFL’s version of the all-star game. 

Correctly predicting the winner of the game has been near impossible in the conferenced system, as the AFC and NFC alternated victories for six years before the AFC took two in a row in 2016 and 2017, becoming only the second back-to-back Pro Bowl winner since 2003 – the NFC took the exhibition game in 2007 and 2008.

The 2019 Pro Bowl opened with the NFC as a 2-point favorite but the game is now a pick’em at most books with the total set at 55. Let’s take a look at key positions to see which conference might have the advantage.

Quarterback

A quick look at the quarterback position shows a decided advantage for the AFC as Patrick Mahomes highlights the threesome from that conference, backed up by Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson. Mahomes and Luck were 1-2 in passing touchdowns during the 2018 season with a combined 89 touchdown passes. On the NFC side, Dak Prescott, Mitchell Trubisky and Russell Wilson were No. 21, No. 25 and No. 28 respectively in passing yards per game. 

Additionally, all three NFC QBs actually selected to the game will not be on the field in Orlando. Drew Brees, Jared Goff and Aaron Rodgers will all be absent from the NFC lineup. 

Advantage: AFC

Run Game

This is where the NFC should get the majority of its yardage. Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara provide the NFC with an amazing roster on paper. Much like the AFC’s quarterbacks, the NFC has the No. 1-2 rushers in its backfield. Elliott led the league with 1,434 yards while Barkley had 1,307 yards on the ground. Kamara split time with Mark Ingram, but is one of the most dangerous players in the NFL. All three can catch and run out of the backfield, too. 

The AFC has a ton of talent in James Connor, Melvin Gordon and Lamar Miller, however none of them broke the 1,000-yard rushing mark this season. It’s notable that all three missed some time with injuries but these guys do not stack up to the group on the other side of the field.

Advantage: NFC

Receiving

One look at the top 10 receiving stats shows a mixture of the players on both sides who have been selected originally or added as replacements. There’s not a whole lot to differentiate between the two groups, other than to say any quarterback would be drooling over the opportunity to throw the ball to any of these guys. I don’t see a big advantage for either side and will call this a draw. 

My Best Bet for This Game

Since 1999 we’ve only seen the total go UNDER 55 points on four occasions, however, the average combined score in the last two games is 40 points. Based on the offensive explosion we saw in the league this year and some of the huge game-breakers playing in this game, I think we’re going to get OVER 55 points and that’s my bet for the Pro Bowl. I don’t see how there’s a clear side to pick in a game that is very friendly and overall an exhibition.

I expect Patrick Mahomes to air out some deep balls to Tyreek Hill and you know JuJu is going to make some plays. Likewise, I think you’ll see the big, strong backs from the NFC break some huge runs as the defensive players won’t be going all out to get in the way of these guys. 

2019 Pro Bowl Rosters
PositionAFCNFC
QBPatrick Mahomes, Andrew Luck*, Deshaun Watson*Russell Wilson*, Mitchell Trubisky*, Dak Prescott*
RBJames Connor, Melvin Gordon, Lamar Miller*Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara*
FBAnthony ShermanKyle Juszczyk
WRTyreek Hill, Keenan Allen, JuJu Smith-Schuster*, Jarvis Landry*Davante Adams, Adam Thielen, Mike Evans*, Amari Cooper*
TEEric Ebron, Jared Cook*George Kittle, Austin Hooper*
OTTaylor Lewan, Alejandro Villanueva, Eric FisherLane Johnson*, Charles Leno Jr.*, Jake Matthews*
OGMarshal Yanda, Quenton Nelson, Joel Bitonio*Trai Turner, Larry Warford*, Andrus Peat*
CMaurkice Pouncey, Mike PounceyAlex Mack, Cody Whitehair*
DEMyles Garrett, Melvin Ingram, Calais Campbell*DeMarcus Lawrence, Cameron Jordan, Danielle Hunter
DTCameron Heyward, Kyle Williams*, Brandon Williams*Akiem Hicks, DeForest Buckner*, Kawann Short*
OLBVon Miller, Dee Ford, T.J. Watt*Ryan Kerrigan, Anthony Barr*, Olivier Vernon*
ILBCJ Mosley, Benardrick McKinneyBobby Wagner, Leighton Vander Esche*
CBXavien Howard, Jalen Ramsey, Denzel Ward, Chris Harris Jr.*Kyle Fuller, Patrick Peterson, Darius Slay, Byron Jones
SDerwin James, Eric Weddle, Jamal AdamsEddie Jackson, Harrison Smith, Malcolm Jenkins*
KJason MyersAldrick Rosas
PBrett KernMichael Dickson
ReturnerAndre RobertsTariq Cohen
Special TeamsAdrian PhillipsMichael Thomas*

*Replacement Player

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