NFL

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

San Francisco
49ers
1 - 4
Green Bay
Packers
2 - 2 - 1
October 15, 2018, 8:15 PM EDT
 | Lambeau Field

Game Preview

San Francisco
49ers
1 - 4
Green Bay
Packers
2 - 2 - 1
October 15, 2018, 8:15 PM EDT
 | Lambeau Field
  • Week 6 will close with more of a whimper than a bang when the 1-4 San Francisco 49ers (+9.5) visit Lambeau Field for a matchup with the 2-2-1 Green Bay Packers (-9.5). The NFL had good intentions with this Monday nighter but the All-Handsome Bowl fell apart when Jimmy Garoppolo tore his ACL in Week 3 and we’ll now have to rely on C.J. Beathard and a crippled Aaron Rodgers to get our week started on the right foot (or ended, depending on your perspective).

    Crippled is a bit of an overstatement about Rodgers but he did suffer a setback against the Lions last week and it’s likely he’ll have to wear a heavy knee brace on Monday. Banged up at almost every other position, Green Bay’s odds to make the playoffs are slipping and this game is approaching must-win territory as the Packers head into their bye week.

    I’m coming off a loss last week but at 4-1 with my MNF picks so far, it was my first of the season. We can’t all be perfect but this week I’ll try to be a little better.

    SHARK BITES
    • The 49ers are 0-11 SU in their last 11 games as a double-digit underdog.
    • Both teams are 4-1 to the OVER this season.
    • The 49ers have given up the fourth-most points per game this season (29.2).

    49ers vs Packers Game Center

    Injuries a Massive Problem for Both Teams

    We’ve already established the Packers’ injury woes but the Niners are just as up against it, if not more so, in terms of health and that problem is most apparent in the offensive backfield. Down to their third-string running back, Alfred Morris will get the bulk of the workload on Monday and with Pierre Garcon and Marquise Goodwin both questionable for Week 6, I’m not sure who Beathard is going to throw the ball to.

    Look for San Fran to rely on Morris against the Packers’ relatively weak rush defense and if he’s effective, the Niners have a shot to cover this massive number.

    Mason Crosby is Getting Props

    Just not from his team. After Crosby’s poor kicking performance against the Lions that saw him miss five total kicks, bookmakers have piled onto his misery by setting props specific to the Packers placekicker.

    The most interesting one I dug up is whether or not he’ll miss a field goal or extra point this week with Yes sitting at +115 and the No option at -140 (available at Sportsbook). Honestly? Yes seems like good value. Speaking as a former placekicker, the yips are most definitely a real thing and I think Crosby has them.

    Green Bay will move the ball on Monday and they will get into scoring position. Crosby will have plenty of opportunities in prime time with the eyeballs of the nation upon him. With all week to think about how he cost the Packers a win against Detroit, I think he gets inside his own head and shanks at least one kick on MNF.

    Best Bet for SF vs GB: OVER 46.5

    The total for this game opened at 46.5 and it hasn’t moved but with both the Packers and 49ers coming into this game with 4-1 OVER/UNDER records this season, that seems odd. Green Bay also owns an 8-2 OU record in its last 10 games going into a bye week and while that seems like a silly trend, it’s developed for a reason.

    I’m also avoiding a side on this game because 9.5 seems like too many points for a banged-up Packers team but the Niners are not talented. San Fran could definitely sneak in the back door, though, and I don’t hate them on a teaser.

Odds

Monday, October 15 Mon Oct 15


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+7.5
-110
+325
o46.5
-105
-7.5
-110
-417
u46.5
-105
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+9
-119
+355
o46.5
-105
-9
-101
-425
u46.5
-115

Edge Finder

25.85
Total Score
21.76
223.10
Passing Yards
213.65
136.75
Rushing Yards
124.29
31:31
Time on Field
31:54
60.95
Number of Plays
61.82
5.90
Yards Per Play
5.47
25.85
Total Score
21.76
4.70
First Quarter
4.71
8.90
Second Quarter
6.94
5.25
Third Quarter
4.41
6.85
Fourth Quarter
5.35
223.10
Passing Yards
213.65
29.45
Pass Attempts
33.12
19.30
Pass Completions
21.41
1.85
Sacks
1.88
11.50
Sack Yards
15.18
11.56
Yards Per Pass
9.98
136.75
Rushing Yards
124.29
29.65
Rush Attempts
26.82
4.61
Yards Per Rush
4.63
0.45
Interceptions
0.71
0.95
Fumbles
1.47
0.60
Fumbles Lost
0.59
1.05
Total Turnovers
1.29
5.55
Penalties
5.24
43.45
Penalty Yards
43.94
31:31
Time on Field
31:54
60.95
Number of Plays
61.82
5.90
Yards Per Play
5.47
3.50
Punts
3.18
43.84
Punt Average
42.84
74.90
Return Yards
110.12

Head To Head

SF
Stat Type GB
4-6
Record
6-4
3-5-2
ATS
5-3-2
6-4
O/U
6-4
21.80
Score
25.20
133.50
Rush Yds
127.80
30.20
Pass Attempts
33.50
54.30
Completion %
67.46
204.00
Passing Yds
242.10
337.5
Total Yds
369.9
1.00
Turnovers
0.80
SF
Stat Type GB
2-1
Record
1-2
1-1-1
ATS
1-1-1
1-2
O/U
1-2
20.00
Score
21.67
111.33
Rush Yds
116.33
31.33
Pass Attempts
31.67
59.57
Completion %
63.16
245.67
Passing Yds
226.33
357
Total Yds
342.67
0.67
Turnovers
0.67
Oct 4/15 (1 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Home
Away
3
Score
17
+7.5
ATS
-7.5
48 o
O/U
48 u
77
Rush Yds
162
25
Pass Attempts
32
52.00
Completion %
68.75
119
Passing Yds
200
196
Total Yds
362
1
Turnovers
0
Jan 5/14 (2 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Away
Home
23
Score
20
-3
ATS
+3
46 o
O/U
46 u
167
Rush Yds
124
30
Pass Attempts
26
53.33
Completion %
65.38
214
Passing Yds
157
381
Total Yds
281
1
Turnovers
0
Sep 8/13 (3 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Home
Away
34
Score
28
-5
ATS
+5
47 o
O/U
47 u
90
Rush Yds
63
39
Pass Attempts
37
69.23
Completion %
56.76
404
Passing Yds
322
494
Total Yds
385
0
Turnovers
2
Jan 12/13 (4 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Home
Away
45
Score
31
-3
ATS
+3
45 o
O/U
45 u
323
Rush Yds
104
31
Pass Attempts
39
54.84
Completion %
66.67
256
Passing Yds
248
579
Total Yds
352
1
Turnovers
2
Sep 9/12 (5 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Away
Home
30
Score
22
+6
ATS
-6
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
186
Rush Yds
45
26
Pass Attempts
44
76.92
Completion %
68.18
191
Passing Yds
279
377
Total Yds
324
0
Turnovers
1
Dec 5/10 (6 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Away
Home
16
Score
34
+9
ATS
-9
41 o
O/U
41 u
97
Rush Yds
136
25
Pass Attempts
30
40.00
Completion %
70.00
172
Passing Yds
274
269
Total Yds
410
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 22/09 (7 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Away
Home
24
Score
30
+6
ATS
-6
42 o
O/U
42 u
69
Rush Yds
158
33
Pass Attempts
45
48.48
Completion %
71.11
215
Passing Yds
326
284
Total Yds
484
1
Turnovers
0
Dec 10/06 (8 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Home
Away
19
Score
30
-4
ATS
+4
44 o
O/U
44 u
146
Rush Yds
139
29
Pass Attempts
34
41.38
Completion %
64.71
194
Passing Yds
281
340
Total Yds
420
3
Turnovers
0
Nov 23/03 (9 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Away
Home
10
Score
20
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
40.5 o
O/U
40.5 u
73
Rush Yds
243
30
Pass Attempts
15
46.67
Completion %
66.67
119
Passing Yds
136
192
Total Yds
379
1
Turnovers
3
Dec 15/02 (10 of 10)
SF
Stat Type GB
Home
Away
14
Score
20
-3
ATS
+3
43 o
O/U
43 u
107
Rush Yds
104
34
Pass Attempts
33
55.88
Completion %
75.76
156
Passing Yds
198
263
Total Yds
302
1
Turnovers
0

Team Records

SF
Record GB
1-4
All
2-2-1
1-1
Home
2-0-1
0-3
Away
0-2
1-4
ATS
2-3
0-2
ATS Home
2-1
1-2
ATS Away
0-2
4-1
O/U
4-1
2-0
O/U Home
2-1
2-1
O/U Away
2-0
SF
Record GB
1-2
All
1-2-1
1-1
Home
1-0-1
0-1
Away
0-2
0-3
ATS
1-3
0-2
ATS Home
1-1
0-1
ATS Away
0-2
2-1
O/U
4-0
2-0
O/U Home
2-0
0-1
O/U Away
2-0
SF
Record GB
0-1
All
1-1-1
0-1
Home
1-0-1
0-0
Away
0-1
0-1
ATS
1-2
0-1
ATS Home
1-1
0-0
ATS Away
0-1
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
SF
Record GB
1-4
All
2-2-1
1-1
Home
2-0-1
0-3
Away
0-2
1-4
ATS
2-3
0-2
ATS Home
2-1
1-2
ATS Away
0-2
4-1
O/U
4-1
2-0
O/U Home
2-1
2-1
O/U Away
2-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00pm Clear
2ºC / 36ºF
64% Humidity
2% Precipitation
14% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 10
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Name Position Inj Desc

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 7, 2018ARI18-28L-3/40.5L/O147300447561642205
Sep 30, 2018LAC27-29L+10/46.5W/O762883641262423681
Sep 23, 2018KC27-38L+6/53.5L/O178228406773073840
Sep 16, 2018DET30-27W-6/48L/O19015634698329427-1
Sep 9, 2018MIN16-24L+6/46.5L/U902373271162273433
Dec 31, 2017LAR34-13W-6.5/44W/O1712924631021492511
Dec 24, 2017JAC44-33W+4/43W/O13123836992380472-2
Dec 17, 2017TEN25-23W-2.5/44L/O5136341490238328-1
Dec 10, 2017HOU26-16W+1.5/45.5W/U102314416902213110
Dec 3, 2017CHI15-14W+2.5/42.5W/U11027838862851471
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 7, 2018DET23-31L+1/50L/O98423521941702643
Sep 30, 2018BUF22-0W-9/44W/U1412824235887145-1
Sep 23, 2018WAS17-31L-2.5/46L/O1002403401662203860
Sep 16, 2018MIN29-29T+1.5/45W/O9825335168412480-1
Sep 9, 2018CHI24-23W-7/45L/O693013701391552941
Dec 31, 2017DET11-35L+7.5/44.5L/O103153256513053564
Dec 23, 2017MIN0-16L+8.5/40.5L/U1131262391121242362
Dec 17, 2017CAR24-31L+2.5/46.5L/O1202643841512363874
Dec 10, 2017CLE27-21W-2.5/38.5W/O85256341136209345-2
Dec 3, 2017TB26-20W-3/45.5W/O199772761652303950
View Game Logs