EPL Best Bets. Chelsea unbeatable at Stamford Bridge.

English Premier League Picks: Stamford Bridge Stays A Fortress

We went 1-2 on our three Premier League bets from last weekend, again. Our record is sliding and is now at 25-29-1 (45%) on the year with a sad -4.96 units of "profit". Here's a recap of the three picks from last week.

  • MCI-SHE O3.5 (-125): Big win for Burnley. Not so big for us. 
  • Arsenal ML (-180): An Andre Gomes strike in the 82nd minute got us the 'dub'
  • Liverpool ML (-235): We only got two goals. More sad trombone noises.

This Week's English Premier League Best Bets

Pick 1: Chelsea ML (-170)
The Game: Chelsea vs Fulham, January 13, 7:30 AM ET

Fulham has been horrendous away from home with 0.60 points per match and a -14 goal differential. Recently, the Cottagers lost 2-1 to Liverpool in the League Cup semi-final. After scoring the opening goal they completely caved and allowed the Reds to grow into the game and eventually win with goals in the 68th and 71st minute.

Chelsea hasn't lost at Stamford Bridge since a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Aston Villa all the way back on September 24th. At -170 you could make $5.90 in profits on a $10 bet backing Poch's side to keep the Bridge a fortress. 

Pick 2: UNDER 3.5 (-195) 
The Game: Newcastle vs Manchester City, January 13, 12:30 PM ET

In this matchup, the total has gone UNDER 3.5 goals three times in the last three games. In fact, it's gone UNDER 2.5 goals in those last three games. But I'm taking a safer route this week. 

After a few weeks with a losing record my confidence is shot so I'm playing as safe as possible with odds at -195. That's only a profit of $5.13 instead of the $12.50 at U2.5 but again, I'm looking for the win. That's it.

Pick 3: Both Teams To Score (-270)
The Game: Manchester United vs Tottenham, January 14, 11:30 AM ET

Neither side is particularly good at keeping the ball out of the net. United have kept a clean sheet twice in their last 10 games. Most recently against Wigan, a team at the bottom of League One. Now I know United hasn't scored much this year, but they've got the ball in the net six times in their last three games.

For Tottenham, they've only kept a clean sheet twice in 12 games. That was against Nottingham Forest and Burnley. Two of the worst offensive teams in the league. 

At -270, oddsmakers agree that both of these teams should score. Again, I'm chasing 'dubs' even if it means lower profit margins. 

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