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Premier League Best Bets: Picks And Predictions

Christiano Ronaldo & Man United lead our Premier League best bets for December 3rd-5th.

Two points separate Chelsea, the leaders on the EPL points table, and Liverpool, third on the table. How will this battle pan out on the 15th matchday of the EPL season? Odds Shark takes a look at the Premier League best bets for this weekend.

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For more information on how to wager on soccer, check out our How to Bet on Soccer page. You can also take a look at our dedicated EPL page for more updates.


Premier League Best Bets Pick 1: Total Corners: OVER 9.5 (-154)

The Game: West Ham United vs Chelsea, December 4, 2021

Chelsea have managed the third-most corners this season after Manchester City and Liverpool. West Ham United are fifth in the same charts. This season so far, Chelsea have managed 88 corners while West Ham have aggregated 80 corners.

Together, that equates to a total of 168 corners in 28 matches combined. That is exactly six corners apiece combined. If both teams perform to par from a statistical standpoint, they would aggregate 12 corners. Considering the handicap you should probably target is 9.5 corners, you have an additional margin of error of about 20 percent even if both teams don’t perform to par for this season.

Both teams have proper offensive talent in the final third of the soccer pitch. Chelsea now have the return of Timo Werner and Romelu Lukaku in their corner while West Ham have displayed a propensity to stay relevant offensively right through this season.

What was said?

“I think these are the games you have to win if you want to be pushing up to win the league and we know we didn’t start good enough,” Mason Mount said after a win against Watford. “We know that as individuals, as a team and we had to regroup and go out there and really affect the game like we normally do.”

Premier League Best Bets Pick 2: Total goals: UNDER 2.5 (+120)

The Game: Wolves vs Liverpool, December 4, 2021

Liverpool have the best offensive team this season. They piled on with four more goals in the Merseyside derby against Everton. Altogether, Liverpool have managed 43 goals, comfortably the most this season.

However, Wolves are a very different team. They have always had a preference for slow-moving soccer, with the ball transitioning at a controlled, concerted pace. That is also why the team has managed just 12 goals this season. Both teams, incidentally, have conceded 12 goals.

Liverpool will be desperate to stay solid defensively and then transition slowly from there. I don’t foresee Wolves scoring against the depth of this Liverpool defense, which will likely keep the total goals to under three.

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What was said?

“It was important we kept that message and important that we went out and tried to play our football and not get involved in anything. Just try to quieten down the crowd – we knew they were going to be noisy to start,” Andre Robertson said after the Merseyside victory against Everton.

Premier League Best Bets Pick 3: Handicap 3-way: Manchester City -1 (-188)

The Game: Watford vs Manchester City, December 4, 2021

This season is now heating up. A rule of thumb in the Premier League for bettors is to seriously consider the leaders of the league at Christmas for your outright betting slip because this is the time that teams have found their chemistry. That rule can be thrown out the window for this season.

Manchester City are now one point behind Chelsea at the top of the league. Matches like these, against decent teams like Watford, often dictate how a season pans out. No one would want to tell Manchester City that.

Now with Kevin De Bruyne back, Manchester City will be buoyed and desperate to ensure that they keep the pressure on Chelsea as this season enters a busy, festive period. As a result, backing Manchester City to score early and then score again to protect that lead is not a bad bet at all.  

What was said?

“On Wednesday, the team showed that we are a team in every sense of the word,” Ruben Dias said after the win against Aston Villa. “It is a very important win, especially with the way we played. Obviously, it is also a mission for the teams to have everyone available every time. Whenever that doesn’t happen, it is a moment in which we need to be extra focused and extra ready.”

Premier League Best Bets Pick 4: Manchester United -175

The Game: Manchester United vs Crystal Palace, December 5, 2021

Manchester United registered a memorable win against Arsenal in the midweek matchday of fixtures. Not only for the three points but interim manager Michael Carrick handed over the reins to new manager Ralf Rangnick in spectacular fashion while Cristiano Ronaldo reached 800 goals, another milestone in a spectacular career.

These are vital factors because it indicates a change in trend, a change in outlook. Manchester United have some confidence now, advancing to seventh on the EPL points table with 21 points in 14 matches.

At home, Manchester United should have a bit too much for this Crystal Palace team. As a result, they make our Premier League best bets for this weekend.

What was said?

“I mean, in football it’s all about control,” new manager Rangnick said. “If you want to win games, you have to have control no matter if the other team has got the ball or you are in possession of the ball yourself. This is probably one of the major targets in the next couple of weeks, to help the team to have control on the game.”

Place Your Best Premier League Bets Now

Odds Shark will return in a week for another update to the Premier League best bets ahead of next weekend’s matchday of fixtures. Till then, stay tuned to the rest of Odds Shark’s comprehensive soccer coverage.