Premier League Title Odds 2023-24: Arsenal Pulling A Reverse Card On City

What was once a three-horse race for the 2023-24 Premier League Title has now been reduced to two teams with Liverpool pulling a Gerardian slip.

With two losses in three matches, Liverpool is out of it, leaving the title to Arsenal or City.

Who has the best odds of winning the Premier League Title?

Odds as of April 25

Premier League Title Odds: Liverpool

Liverpool has made a right bloody mess of it, haven't they? The Reds were in the driver's seat for the title. With losses to Crystal Palace and Everton who're in the relegation zone (and scoring 0 goals in both), Liverpool has effectively kissed their chances goodbye.

Klopp's men have been wildly wasteful in front of goals lately. In their last four, they've got five goals on 9.4 xG. A full 4.4 goals below expected. Before that, Liverpool was scoring comfortably above their xG with 70 goals on 67.2 xG.

Particularly wasteful have been Mo Salah at 1.0 xG in the losses to Palace and Everton and Darwin Nunez at 0.9.

Horrendous finishing from Liverpool's top offensive players. A poor performance that will certainly end Liverpool's title run in Klopp's final year. I am "le sad".

Premier League Title Odds: Arsenal

The Gunners have the best offense (82 GF), the best defense (26 GA), and the best xG differential per 90 at +1.28. And they've been destroying teams lately. They're 12-1-1 in their last 14 with a stupidly good +31 goal differential. 

A run that's put them at the top of the table. Which must be quite amusing for Arsenal who were on the other end of such a run last year.

In 22-23, they were titled favorites at the top of the table, but with three draws and three losses in their final 9 games combined with Manchester City going on a 12-1-1 run of their own handed the title to the Citizens. 

Mikel Arteta just pulled the Uno reverse card on City.

Premier League Title Odds: Manchester City

Remember when I said this wasn't going to be Man City's year? I look pretty stupid now, eh? Specifically, because my own club (Liverpool) went and slipped up (again).

Pep's boys might not be at the top of the table and currently have a four-point deficit to Arsenal, but they've got two games in hand on the Gunners. Games that, should they win, would place them two points clear at the top of the Premier League.

City is unbeaten since the start of December with a 13-4-0 record and a +25 goal differential. much has been made of Haaland, but the Norwegian has nine goals in his last league games. Last I checked having a goal-per-game player is how you win titles, no?

Last 10 Premier League Winners

Very few teams over the previous 10 years have won the Premier League title with odds below +300 right before the season began. Only Chelsea in 2016-17 and Leicester in 2015-16 did so.

No, that’s not a typo. Leicester City was a long shot to win the Premier League in 2015-16. It seemed impossible that the Foxes, who were in a relegation scrap the previous season, could win a title the next year.

Clubs With The Most Premier League Titles

Sir Alex Ferguson had a mission to knock Liverpool off its perch as the winningest club in English football. And he succeeded in dominating the game with Manchester United and pushing them to 29 titles. Neighbors City has a long way to go in matching Sir Alex's return, but they're making a dent.

Blackburn and Leicester are the only sides to win the Premier League and be relegated.

What Is A Premier League Futures Bet?

A futures bet is made in advance of an event. In this case, you’re looking at the odds to win the Premier League. It can be said that all bets are made on future events. Except, in this case, you can bet weeks or even months beforehand.

If you see EPL odds you like, jump on them quickly. The lines will shift as more games are played and injuries occur. To get more value on a winning bet, try to get a club at plus money (+). This isn’t to say you shouldn’t take a team at minus money (-), but you won’t get as big a payout as you would with a winning underdog.