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English Premier League Odds, Relegation and Top Goalscorer Predictions

At the halfway mark of the season, Manchester City are the favorites according to English Premier League odds.

With seven games to go and Manchester City 11 points away from securing the EPL title, it’s hardly surprising that the Premier League outright winner odds are not available on many sportsbooks. There are, however, plenty of betting opportunities still available, such as relegation and top-four odds. We break down some of those markets below.

On BetOnline, Manchester United is nearly confirmed for a top-four finish with odds of -10000. Next on the list in these EPL odds are defending champion Liverpool (-140), Leicester City (-135), Chelsea (-135) and West Ham United (+200).

For more information on how to wager on soccer, check out our How to Bet on Soccer page. You can also head to our dedicated EPL page for further details.

Who Will Finish in the Top Four in the EPL 2020-21 Season?

Odds to Place in the Top 4 in the English Premier League
TeamOdds
Manchester United-10000
Liverpool-140
Chelsea-135
Leicester City-135
West Ham United+200
Tottenham Hotspur+850
Everton+4000
Arsenal+5000
Aston Villa+30000

Odds as of April 14 via BetOnline

Check out the latest EPL standings of the top eight to give you a better frame of reference.

Now, Manchester United (-10000) is close to confirming its second spot in the EPL. Its implied probability to finish in the top four is 99 percent and will be 100 percent soon, leaving just two more spots open.

Liverpool (-140) is the next-favored team to sneak into the top four and understandably so considering it is the reigning champion of the league. Seven games to go throws up so many permutations that it provides the highly skilled teams a greater probability to win.

Leicester City (-135) had a fantastic chance to close out a spot in the top four but has lost its last two games, 3-2 to West Ham and 2-0 to Manchester City. The same can be said for Chelsea (-135), which lost against relegation contender West Brom 5-2 at Stamford Bridge despite taking the lead early. Both Leicester and Chelsea’s implied probability to finish in the top four is 57 percent.

Considering Chelsea has progressed to the semifinals of the Champions League, there might be a few distractions around workload management for manager Tomas Tuchel. The law of averages could also come into play considering Leicester City will likely return to winning ways soon. As a result, I’d back the two Manchester teams, defending champion Liverpool and Leicester City to make the top four, at this point of the season.

Left-Field Picks to Make the Top Four

West Ham (+200) is currently fourth in the Premier League but there are bigger teams with deeper pockets coming to secure positions in next season’s European competitions. It will require a miraculous effort from West Ham to maintain its current position because it can often be tricky to close out stellar campaigns with so much at stake.

Tottenham Hotspur (+850) is unlikely to make a splash for the top four despite a terrific start to the season under Jose Mourinho. Injuries haven’t helped Tottenham either. The odds are high but that’s also because it’s a fair indicator of how implausible the outcome is.

No other team is really in the reckoning. Everton (+4000) has a game in hand but there is just too much work to do.

Who Will be Relegated from the English Premier League?

Odds to be relegated from 2020-21 English Premier League
TeamOdds
West Bromwich Albion-3300
Fulham-450
Newcastle United+350
Burnley+1200
Brighton+3300
Crystal Palace+15000
Southampton+15000
Wolverhampton Wanderers+30000

Odds as of April 14 via BetOnline

With just 14 points in 31 games, Sheffield United is all but relegated from the English Premier League this season. West Brom (-3300) has significantly improved its chances of surviving in the top flight with two successive wins – a 3-0 victory against Southampton and a 5-2 drubbing of Chelsea in the preceding week.

Still, with just 24 points in 31 games, the probability favors a drop to the Championship. West Brom has one game in hand over Fulham but that doesn’t matter much because even a win will only push them to 18th on the EPL table.

A Risk on Newcastle United or a Safer Bet on Fulham?

Well, confidence would be an important attribute at this point of the season. Fulham (-450) has lost its last four games. Apart from Sheffield United, Fulham has scored the fewest goals this season with 24. Fulham is currently 18th on the table with 26 points.

Newcastle United (+350), on the other hand, will come into this next gameweek on the back of a crucial 2-1 win against Burnley over the weekend. The nature of that come-from-behind victory will further boost the team’s morale in its bid to stay above the relegation zone. Additionally, Newcastle has lost just one in its last five games. To sum up, confidence and momentum is definitely with Newcastle United.

There are other factors at play too, such as roster balance and probability. Allan Saint-Maximin’s return from injury has spurred Newcastle United on. He was responsible for the equalizing goal against Burnley and has brought some precision and creativity in the final third for Newcastle.

Fulham manager Scott Parker possesses a team that can transition through the three stages of a soccer pitch rapidly but that also leaves it vulnerable defensively. That’s one of the major reasons Fulham has conceded 42 goals despite not scoring close to that tally. Apart from this frailty, Fulham has to make up six points on Newcastle. From a mathematical standpoint, that’s extremely unlikely because there are just seven games to go. Crucially, Fulham has played an extra game too.

I would pick Fulham to drop down despite the lower odds. It’s so likely that Odds Shark’s implied probability to send them to the Championship is close to 82 percent.

Who Will Finish as the Top Goalscorer in this EPL Season?

Harry Kane (+100) and Mohamed Salah (+120) are the obvious choices because they are jointly at the top of the goal-scoring charts this season, with 19 goals apiece.

Kane’s contribution to direct goals this season is 32 (19 goals and 13 assists) while Salah’s is 22 (19 goals and 3 assists). This is important because it throws some light on how much closer Kane is to goals than Salah.

Another important point of consideration is penalties. With VAR becoming universal across the league, there will be several referees overturning their decisions to award more penalties. In such a scenario, Kane has a slight advantage because he is one of the best players from the spot in England.

If you’d rather not have such a high-risk profile in your portfolio, you can always divide your investment between these two players in a predetermined manner to hedge your bets.

Apart from these two, Bruno Fernandes (+1100) is the next most likely player to be top goalscorer. He has scored 16 goals this season and is also Manchester United’s designated penalty-taker, which could come in handy toward the end of the season. However, he would not be my choice because manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will pay more attention to Europa League glory, which will result in Fernandes spending fewer minutes on the pitch in the English Premier League.

Odds to be 2020-21 English Premier League Top Goalscorer
PlayerOdds
Harry Kane+100
Mo Salah+120
Bruno Fernandes+1100
Dominic Calvert-Lewin+4000
Patrick Bamford+4000
Son Heung-Min+5000
Jamie Vardy+8000
Ilkay Gundogan+10000
Marcus Rashford+10000

Odds as of April 14 via BetOnline

The outlook of the season might change drastically over the next fortnight. We’ll be back toward the end of the month to update this page and provide you with an update on the odds as well as markets you could consider for your outright EPL bets.


How to Read English Premier League Odds

Check out any soccer betting site and you’ll see the odds to win Premier League play displayed like this:

Manchester City +100

Liverpool +175

For a typical straight-up bet, the favorite would be denoted by the minus sign (-). Similar to a moneyline bet with a clear front-runner, the club with the lowest odds is the fave, the rest are underdogs.

Let’s say you believe that Liverpool is going to dominate the other teams on the pitch once again and win another EPL title. If you were to lay down $100 on them, you’d get a payout of $275 – your original money comes back, coupled with your prize of $175.

Use our Odds Calculator to find out what you’d win based on the amount bet and odds offered.

What is a Premier League Futures Bet?

A futures bet is made in advance of an event. In this case you’re looking at the odds to win the Premier League. It can be said that all bets are made on future events. Except in this case, you can bet weeks or even months beforehand.

If you see EPL odds you like, jump on them quickly. The lines will shift as more games are played and injuries occur. To get more value on a winning bet, try to get a club at plus money (+). This isn’t to say you shouldn’t take a team at minus money (-), but you won’t get as big a payout as you would with a winning underdog.