With just about two-thirds of the MLB season in the books, the division odds are starting to get set with favorites well ahead of the rest of their opponents. It’s no exception when looking at the AL West odds. According to sportsbook Bodog, the Houston Astros are well ahead of their division rivals with -20000 odds to win.
The Seattle Mariners have the next-best odds to win the AL West with a +5500 line. The other teams – the Angels, Athletics and Rangers – hold +100000 odds to win the division.
2022 AL West Odds
|Team||Current Odds||Opening Odds|
|Los Angeles Angels||+100000||+330|
Odds as of August 2 at Bodog
Why The AL West Is Houston’s Division To Lose
Being 12 games up on the Seattle Mariners in the division is a huge reason why this is Houston’s to lose. That’s a massive hole for the Mariners to climb out of.
And just like every other top team at the trade deadline, the Astros are bringing in quality players to give them what they’re missing to push for a pennant.
The Astros hold the third-best World Series odds at +550.
On August 1, the Astros acquired Christian Vazquez from the Boston Red Sox and Trey Mancini from the Baltimore Orioles.
The Astros also have one of the easier remaining schedules in all of baseball. According to Tankathon, their strength of schedule rates 25th among the 30 teams in baseball. The Astros aren’t likely to slow down from here to the end of the season, it seems.
It’s clear it’s Houston’s division to lose with about 60 games to play on the season. At -20000, you’d have to put $20,000 down to win $100 – not an enticing wager to make. So is there more value to be had in this division for bettors?
Can The Mariners Cause An Upset?
Seattle holds the next-best AL West odds at +5500. Those are some long odds for the Mariners, who have a massive 12-game hill to climb, but they’ve also got a pretty easy schedule through the rest of the season.
In fact, according to Tankathon, the Mariners have the easiest remaining schedule in all of baseball. That could play in their favor as they try to chase down the Astros for the division lead.
And just like the Astros, the Mariners used the trade deadline to strengthen their squad. They sent four prospects to the Reds for right-hander Luis Castillo. The addition of Castillo (4-4 2.86 ERA) makes Seattle’s starting rotation, which already included reigning AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray, much stronger.
After missing the postseason for two decades, the Mariners are desperate to end that streak this year. Getting in through the wild card is certainly a road they could take, but Seattle will hope to avoid that by simply winning the division outright.
The Mariners have done it before. Back in 1995, the Mariners won the division after digging themselves out of an 11-game deficit to the Angels in August.
More recently, the Athletics came back from a 13-game deficit to the Rangers on June 13, 2012. So a late-season comeback is doable, specifically in this division. Can the Mariners do it? They’re certainly trying.
At +5500, a $100 bet on Seattle to upset the Astros in the AL West would return a nice $5,500 profit if they can pull it off.
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.