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2018 MLB Home Run Derby Betting Odds

MLB All-Star Game festivities are about to take hold in the U.S. capital at Nationals Park and no event garners more attention than the home run derby. With some fresh faces about to vie to be called the long-ball champ, Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper tops the oddsboard to win the 2018 Home Run Derby.

Online sportsbook Bovada has Harper as the +225 favorite followed by Cubs outfielder Kyle Schwarber at +350, Cubs second baseman Javier Baez at +500, Brewers slugger Jesus Aguilar at +500, Dodgers first baseman Max Muncy at +650, Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman at +750, Phillies outfielder Rhys Hoskins at +900 and the lone American League representative Alex Bregman at +1100 to round out the odds table.

This is Harper’s Time to Shine

2018 hasn’t been all sunshine and roses for the former MVP. Bryce Harper has 23 home runs this season and while that’s all well and good, he’s hitting an awful .214 at the plate with a modest 54 RBIs. So, is it “a clown question bro!” to ask why Harper is the favorite? Yes, it may be because Harper’s workout routine and hitting clinics are legendary even at the age of 25.

Competitions like these are made for workout warriors like Harper and with right field being a few feet shorter than left at Nationals Park, that should play into a huge advantage for the seventh-year basher. While the Vegas slugger may have only topped 40 home runs once in his career (2015), being able to smash dingers in your own ballpark with the hometown crowd should make bettors seriously consider backing Harper at the +225 price tag.

Why is Schwarber Getting So Much Love?

Quite simply, Schwarbie is a masher who is probably pound for pound the best power hitter in the competition. The third-year outfielder has 18 home runs this season and had 30 dingers in 2017. Since joining the Cubs in 2015, he’s been touted as a monster home run hitter with 500-foot power and in the 2015 postseason, he set the record of five home runs by a Cubs player in the postseason and became the youngest to hit five or more since Miguel Cabrera.

However, at +350, those odds aren’t very sexy when you consider that if he advances in his bracket past Alex Bregman, he has to potentially face Jesus Aguilar or Rhys Hoskins in the semifinal. Aguilar has been arguably the hottest power hitter in the majors and Hoskins has been known to get hot as evidenced by his 2017 campaign when he hit 18 home runs in his first 34 games in the bigs.

Also, the “big” knock on the Schwarb is that this event tends to lean to hitters with stamina which is something he’s not exactly known for. I think he advances out of the first round but loses in the semis.

Muncy is the Dark-horse Pick

Since blowing up onto the scene in 2018, Max Muncy has been another wunderkind of a hitter that the Dodgers managed to scoop up to carry the offensive load. In 71 games this season, Muncy has knocked out 22 home runs in only 221 at-bats. To put that in perspective, that’s a home run for every 10.22 at-bats, which tops MLB. The rookie has 15 home runs since the start of June, which is seven more than he hit in April and May combined.

He’ll get to face Javier Baez in the opening round and while Baez is a savant when it comes to stealing home plate, he’s not a conventional power hitter so I think Muncy takes this matchup easily. While the knock on Muncy is that he’s done most of his damage at home (14 home runs in 2018 at Dodger Stadium), you can’t argue with his value at +650.

Odds To Win 2018 MLB Home Run Derby

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Bryce Harper +225
  • Kyle Schwarber +350
  • Javier Baez +500
  • Jesus Aguilar +500
  • Max Muncy +650
  • Freddie Freeman +750
  • Rhys Hoskins +900
  • Alex Bregman +1000
2018 MLB Home Run Derby - Player To Reach Finals

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Bryce Harper +125
  • Javier Baez +255
  • Max Muncy +300
  • Freddie Freeman +350
2018 MLB Home Run Derby - Player To Reach Finals

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar +175
  • Kyle Schwarber +190
  • Rhys Hoskins +260
  • Alex Bregman +350
To Hit the Longest Home Run in Round 1

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Bryce Harper +300
  • Jesus Aguilar +350
  • Max Muncy +500
  • Freddie Freeman +600
  • Kyle Schwarber +600
  • Rhys Hoskins +600
  • Javier Baez +600
  • Alex Bregman +900
Home Run Derby - Exact Finals Matchup

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar vs Bryce Harper +550
  • Kyle Schwarber vs Bryce Harper +600
  • Rhys Hoskins vs Bryce Harper +750
  • Jesus Aguilar vs Javier Baez +900
  • Alex Bregman vs Bryce Harper +950
  • Kyle Schwarber vs Javier Baez +950
  • Jesus Aguilar vs Freddie Freeman +1100
  • Jesus Aguilar vs Max Muncy +1100
  • Kyle Schwarber vs Max Muncy +1100
  • Rhys Hoskins vs Javier Baez +1200
  • Kyle Schwarber vs Freddie Freeman +1200
  • Rhys Hoskins vs Max Muncy +1400
  • Alex Bregman vs Javier Baez +1500
  • Rhys Hoskins vs Freddie Freeman +1500
  • Alex Bregman vs Max Muncy +1800
  • Alex Bregman vs Freddie Freeman +2000
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Alex Bregman +125
  • Max Muncy -155
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Javier Baez +120
  • Max Muncy -150
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Javier Baez -200
  • Alex Bregman +160
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Bryce Harper -220
  • Alex Bregman +180
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Bryce Harper -190
  • Javier Baez +155
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Rhys Hoskins EVEN
  • Max Muncy -130
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Rhys Hoskins +120
  • Javier Baez -150
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Rhys Hoskins +160
  • Bryce Harper -200
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Kyle Schwarber +155
  • Bryce Harper -190
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Kyle Schwarber -115
  • Javier Baez -115
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Kyle Schwarber -160
  • Rhys Hoskins +130
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Freddie Freeman -140
  • Alex Bregman +110
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Freddie Freeman +120
  • Javier Baez -150
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Freddie Freeman +160
  • Bryce Harper -200
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Freddie Freeman -115
  • Rhys Hoskins -115
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Freddie Freeman +130
  • Kyle Schwarber -160
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar -130
  • Javier Baez EVEN
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar +120
  • Bryce Harper -150
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar -160
  • Freddie Freeman +130
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar -145
  • Rhys Hoskins +115
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar -125
  • Kyle Schwarber -105
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Freddie Freeman -105
  • Max Muncy -125
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Kyle Schwarber -135
  • Max Muncy +105
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Kyle Schwarber -150
  • Alex Bregman +120
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar -140
  • Max Muncy +110
Who Will Hit the Most Home Runs in the First Round

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar -200
  • Alex Bregman +160
2018 MLB Home Run Derby - Exact 2nd Round Matchup

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Jesus Aguilar vs Kyle Schwarber +185
  • Rhys Hoskins vs Kyle Schwarber +265  
  • Jesus Aguilar vs Alex Bregman +270
  • Rhys Hoskins vs Alex Bregman +375
2018 MLB Home Run Derby - Exact 2nd Round Matchup

Odds as of July 16 Bovada

  • Bryce Harper vs Max Muncy +150
  • Bryce Harper vs Javier Baez +230
  • Freddie Freeman vs Max Muncy +333
  • Freddie Freeman vs Javier Baez +475

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