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2025 Home Run Derby Odds: Buxton Is A Sweet Value Bet

The 2025 Home Run Derby odds are out with Seattle Mariners' Cal Raleigh favored with +300 at FanDuel when the event kicks off All-Star festivities tonight. While Raleigh leads the oddsboard, I'm betting on a Minnesota Twin who’s listed at +850 for my HR Derby pick.

Cash in on tonight's home run derby odds or tomorrow's All-Star Game with our best MLB betting sites.

2025 Home Run Derby Odds

Odds To Win the 2025 Home Run Derby
PlayerOdds To Win
Cal Raleigh (SEA)+300
Oneil Cruz (PIT)+310
James Wood (WSH)+370
Byron Buxton (MIN)+850
Junior Caminero (TB)+1000
Brent Rooker (ATH)+1000
Matt Olson (ATL)+1000
Jazz Chisholm (NYY)+1500

Odds as of July 14 at FanDuel

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2025 Home Run Derby Favorites

Cal Raleigh (+300)

Raleigh leads this group in regular-season home runs with 36, showcasing the raw power that’s made him a Mariners staple. As a catcher who’s shown he can handle a full 140+ game season, stamina isn’t a huge concern, but I do wonder how repeatable his power stroke is over several timed rounds. At +300, he’s just not quite the bet I want to make.

2025 Home Run Derby Pick: Byron Buxton (+850)

I’m riding with Byron Buxton at +950. Health has been his career-long hurdle, but when Buxton’s on the field, he launches homers at an incredible clip. The Derby demands a blend of stamina and effortless power, and Buxton checks both boxes. He’s one of the best athletes in baseball, so he won’t wear down like some bigger-bodied sluggers. At nearly 10-1, half a unit on Buxton is my favorite play for this year’s Derby.

Recent Home Run Derby Winners

Recent Home Run Derby Winners
YearWinner
2024Teoscar Hernandez (LAD)
2023Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR)
2022Juan Soto (WAS)
2021Pete Alonso (NYM)
2020Cancelled - COVID-19
2019Pete Alonso (NYM)
2018Bryce Harper (WAS)
2017Aaron Judge (NYY)
2016Giancarlo Stanton (MIA)
2015Todd Frazier (CIN)
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