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Odds to Win the 2018 AL and NL Cy Young Awards

The Cy Young Award has been relatively predictable the last several seasons and two months into the season plenty of the typical names find themselves in the mix. The likes of Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale and Jacob deGrom litter the odds to win the National League and American League Cy Young Awards.

However, with the MLB season being absurdly long, there is still plenty of value for bettors who want to take the favorites or find their favorite sleeper picks. Here is a look at both the NL and AL Cy Young Award races two months in the season.

2018 AL Cy Young Odds

If you could give the Cy Young to an entire rotation, then the Houston Astros would already have this award locked up. The trio of Justin Verlander (+200), Gerrit Cole (+600) and Charlie Morton (+1200) have all been pitching at an absurdly high level for the Astros.

All three of the Houston starters are sitting in the top 10 in the MLB in ERA and WHIP while Verlander and Cole are in the top four in strikeouts. The undisputed leader is Verlander, who has pitched arguably the best games of his career since joining the Astros and having the pitching coaches tweak his mechanics.

A lot of people will be hesitant to back the 35-year-old Verlander due to his age and the sheer length of the season – nobody can keep pitching as well as he has that long. But Verlander has only been on the DL once in his career, has started at least 30 games in 12 of his 13 seasons and is averaging fewer pitches per start this season than he did in his MVP campaign in 2011.

It may not be the deepest sleeper but Corey Kluber (+500) is putting up Cy Young-worthy numbers in Cleveland. The Indians ace is actually on pace to match or eclipse most of the numbers he posted last season when he won the AL Cy Young. Kluber is third in baseball in WAR for pitchers, seventh in ERA and second in innings pitched. If you are done fawning over the Astros starting rotation, look at getting in on Kluber now.

2018 AL CY Young Winner Odds
PlayerOdds
Justin Verlander (Astros)+200
Corey Kluber (Indians)+500
Chris Sale (Red Sox)+500
Gerrit Cole (Astros)+600
Luis Severino (Yankees)+1000
Charlie Morton (Astros)+1200
Carlos Carrasco (Indians)+2000
Trevor Bauer (Indians)+2000
James Paxton (Mariners)+2000
David Price (Red Sox)+2000
Dallas Keuchel (Astros)+2500
Masahiro Tanaka (Yankees)+3300
Chris Archer (Rays)+3300
Blake Snell (Rays)+3300
Sean Manaea (Athletics)+3300
Jake Odorizzi (Twins)+5000
Daniel Mengden (Athletics)+5000
Reynaldo Lopez (White Sox)+5000

Odds as of May 29 at BetOnline

2018 NL Cy Young Odds

To the shock of nobody, Max Scherzer (+200) sits in the top three in the NL in ERA, WHIP, WAR for pitchers, strikeouts and innings pitched. In fact, the Washington Nationals workhorse might actually be pitching better than he has the past two seasons – a feat considering he won the NL Cy Young both seasons.

If Scherzer can continue this pace, he is a shoo-in to join the incredibly illustrious group of pitchers to win three Cy Youngs in a row. The only other two pitchers to accomplish that feat were Greg Maddux and Randy Johnson. It’s hard to think of a reason for Scherzer to slow down either, with his reputation for consistently producing long, shutdown outings on the bump.

The top sleeper in the NL remains Patrick Corbin (+2500). The southpaw just is not getting the recognition he deserves this season despite being seventh in the NL in ERA, first in WHIP and second in strikeouts. Corbin has largely scrapped his ineffective changeup he forced last season and has started using a slow, winding curveball in its place. This change has quietly made Corbin the ace of the Arizona Diamondbacks staff.

2018 NL CY Young Winner Odds
PlayerOdds
Max Scherzer (Nationals)+200
Jacob deGrom (Mets)+400
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers)+1000
Aaron Nola (Phillies)+1000
Gio Gonzalez (Nationals)+1000
Madison Bumgarner (Giants)+1200
Stephen Strasburg (Nationals)+1400
Jake Arrieta (Phillies)+2000
Mike Foltynewicz (Braves)+2000
Kyle Hendricks (Cubs)+2000
Zack Greinke (Diamondbacks)+2000
Miles Mikolas (Cardinals)+2500
Jon Lester (Cubs)+2500
Patrick Corbin (Diamondbacks)+2500
Sean Newcomb (Braves)+2800
Michael Wacha (Cardinals)+2800
Noah Syndergaard (Mets)+2800
Julio Teheran (Braves)+4000
Alex Wood (Dodgers)+5000

Odds as of May 29 at BetOnline

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