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MLB Cy Young Odds: Bieber and Bauer Are Huge Faves

Cy Young Betting Odds 2020 Shane Bieber Trevor Bauer

It may have been a quick MLB season with only 60 games played but some pitchers still made their mark in 2020. Major League Baseball has released its final candidates for the Cy Young Awards in each league and sportsbooks quickly updated their MLB Cy Young odds.

In the American League, Shane Bieber of the Cleveland Indians is the overwhelming betting favorite at -10000 in AL Cy Young odds. The other starting pitchers nominated in the American League are Toronto Blue Jays ace Hyun-Jin Ryu (+2500) and Kenta Maeda of the Minnesota Twins (+2500).

In the National League, the race is much closer, although Cincinnati Reds starter Trevor Bauer holds the NL Cy Young odds edge at -150. The two other hurlers in contention are Yu Darvish of the Chicago Cubs (+170) and Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets (+650).

The winners will be announced on November 11. MLB MVP award winners will be announced on November 12 while the AL and NL Rookies of the Year are expected to be revealed on November 9.

Who is the Favorite in MLB Cy Young Odds?

Odds to Win 2020 American League Cy Young
Shane Bieber-200
Hyun Jin-Ryu+2500
Kenta Maeda+2500

Odds as of November 6 at Bovada

Odds to Win 2020 National League Cy young
Trevor Bauer-150
Yu Darvish+170
Jacob deGrom+650

Odds as of November 6 at Bovada

Why Bieber and Bauer Are The Favorites in MLB Cy Young Odds

While Shane Bieber is all but a lock in AL Cy Young Award odds, the same can’t be said for Trevor Bauer in the National League according to the best baseball betting sites. Let’s discuss their candidacy below:

Shane Bieber

Coming into the 2020 MLB season, the Indians’ Shane Bieber was no stranger to baseball bettors. He ascended to ace status with Cleveland early in his young career and in 2020 he was nearly unhittable. Bieber finished with an 8-1 record, 1.63 ERA and 0.87 WHIP while adding a whopping 122 strikeouts. All those figures ranked first in the American League among starting pitchers.

At this stage, it’s not even worth talking about Ryu or Maeda because while they did their thing with their new teams, the reality is they didn’t have the stats or impact to compete with Bieber. If he wins, he’ll join other Cleveland pitchers to win this prestigious award like Corey Kluber (2014, 2017), Cliff Lee (2008) and CC Sabathia (2007). 

It is worth noting that you could’ve gotten Bieber as high as +550 in Cy Young odds before the abbreviated 2020 season started.

Trevor Bauer

In the National League, a newcomer has made his way to the top of the Cy Young oddsboard in Cincy’s Trevor Bauer. Bauer has been exactly what the Reds were looking for when they acquired him from the Indians (sensing a trend here?) as he finished 2020 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.76 WHIP while dealing 100 strikeouts to opposing batters.

While he is the odds-on favorite, Bauer may not be the best choice with the Reds failing to make the playoffs and two worthy contenders in Yu Darvish and Jacob deGrom. Darvish put together arguably his best campaign since he came into MLB in 2012, posting a 2.01 ERA and 0.96 WHIP and only really getting shelled in one start all season.

While Darvish has a strong case, deGrom may be the sneaky pick here because of his pedigree and dominance. DeGrom, the NL Cy Young winner in 2019 and 2018, was again lights-out in 2020 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.96 WHIP but was regularly saddled with having to dominate the opposition by himself with the Mets struggling offensively.

At this point, deGrom should be heavily considered because both Bauer and Darvish may not have done enough to usurp the Mets ace as the best pitcher in the National League.  With decent odds at +650, if you equate it to a championship fight in UFC or boxing, to be the champ, you gotta beat the champ and deGrom is still standing tall.

Making a Cy Young Futures Bet

Betting on an MLB Cy Young Award is a form of futures betting because you are making a pick based on an outcome determined at the end of the MLB regular season. The trophy is usually given out in mid-December and if you want to get a bigger payout, it’s best to lock in your bets sooner rather than later so you can take advantage of better odds. The closer it gets to the end of the season, the more the odds will change.

How to Read MLB Cy Young Odds

The above chart features the odds for each top player in the American League and National League. At your sportsbook of choice, the betting lines for the American League would look something like this:

Shane Bieber +200

Gerrit Cole +225

Lance Lynn +450

This means that Bieber is the favorite since he has the lowest odds and the highest chance of winning the prop, according to oddsmakers. If you were to bet $100 on Bieber and he won, you would get a payout of $300 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $200.

On the other hand, if you strongly believe that Lance Lynn is going to outdo himself in Texas, a winning $100 bet on him would yield $550 – your $100 comes back along with your prize of $450.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.