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Broncos Have Cashed Three Straight OVERs

No one was quite sure how the Trevor Siemian era was going to go, but the signal-caller has paced the Denver Broncos to a 3-0 record out of the gate. Siemian and the rest of the Broncos are preparing for a Week 4 road date with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2).

Shark Bites
  • The Buccaneers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games at home after a loss at home.
  • The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with losing records.
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Buccaneers' last 12 games in October.

When the Broncos and Bucs get together, UNDER bettors are laughing all the way to the bank. The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four clashes between Denver and Tampa Bay. Sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore opened the Broncos in the -3 ballpark with a total of 44.5.

For some reason, the OVER has been an extremely hot bet when the Bucs play in October of the last few years. The OVER has paid out in nine of Tampa Bay’s last 11 October games.

AFC opposition has been giving Jameis Winston and company headaches lately, as Tampa is 1-6 SU in its last seven matchups versus the conference. Sunday’s tilt marks the first time the Bucs will face an AFC team in the 2016 season.

Fresh off winning a Super Bowl thanks to its stingy defense, the Broncos’ defensive unit was unquestionably tabbed as the best in the league heading into the year. Despite its vaunted D, Denver is becoming a favorite for OVER bettors. The Broncos have gone above the total in each of their opening three games.

The Bucs were flying high after a solid 31-24 triumph over division rival Atlanta in Week 1, but it hasn’t exactly been smooth sailing since. Dirk Koetter’s crew was blown out against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2 by a score of 40-7, and then lost a 37-32 shootout to the Los Angeles Rams last weekend. It’s early, but the Buccaneers aren’t looking like a playoff-bound team yet.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Denver Broncos were listed as -3.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 43.

Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 23-22 win for the Buccaneers on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit at 1-2 (1-2 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Denver Broncos are currently 3-0 (3-0 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Tampa Bay is 2-1 OU, and Denver is 3-0 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Denver injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 23-rated Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the No. 6-rated Denver Broncos in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 16-ranked offense, averaging 23.33 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 8 this week at 19 PPG. The Buccaneers aerial game is averaging 297 yards per game, more than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 178.33 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Denver Broncos feature the league's No. 26-rated road run defense, allowing 143 yards per game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, meanwhile, ranks No. 24 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Broncos got 4 passing scores out of Trevor Siemian en route to a 29-17 win over the Bengals on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium.

Tampa Bay comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Jameis Winston in a losing cause against the Rams, a 37-32 final.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • Denver is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
  • Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Denver
  • Tampa Bay is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver home to Atlanta, Sunday, October 9th
Tampa Bay at Carolina, Monday, October 10th