NFL

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Los Angeles
Rams
8 - 0
New Orleans
Saints
6 - 1
November 04, 2018, 4:25 PM EST
 | Caesars Superdome

Game Preview

Los Angeles
Rams
8 - 0
New Orleans
Saints
6 - 1
November 04, 2018, 4:25 PM EST
 | Caesars Superdome
  • In what should be the marquee game of the NFL season thus far, the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints will go toe to toe in the Bayou in Week 9. The Rams are the only undefeated team left in the NFL while the Saints are riding a six-game win streak. Oddsmakers have tabbed the Saints as 1.5-point favorites with a total of 60.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Saints are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home.
    • The Rams are 11-1 SU in their last 12 road games (avg. win margin: 14.5 points).
    • The UNDER has hit in 4 of the Saints’ last 6 games.

    Rams vs Saints Game Center

    Rams have Slight Edge Despite Conflicting Stats

    When diving into the numbers to see which team has the advantage, it’s hard to find one. The Rams own the best rushing attack at 150 yards per game while the Saints have the best rush defense at 74.1 yards per game. The Rams are seventh in sacks this season and Drew Brees is the least-sacked quarterback in the NFL.

    But where the Rams may have the edge is in the passing attack as Los Angeles is averaging 291.8 yards through the air (ranked seventh) while New Orleans gives up an average of 300 yards per game (ranked 28th) and has only managed three interceptions (ranked 28th) this season.

    This is why the Rams have been so dominant this season. They’ve balanced the run and the pass so well that defenses are consistently on their heels trying to figure out what play Sean McVay will call next. Los Angeles has also been an excellent road team dating back to the start of last season at 11-1 SU away from the Rose Bowl with an average win margin of 14.5 points per game. When you factor in that the Rams took down the Saints 26-20 last season in LA, it’s clear the edge should go to the only undefeated team in the NFL.

    Saints Have Been Tough To Beat Lately at Superdome

    It’s been a bit of a renaissance in the Bayou with the Saints taking the two-headed rushing attack to a whole new level. Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram have combined for over 2,400 yards rushing since they’ve started sharing the backfield and their presence has opened the door for Drew Brees to operate in the pocket.

    Brees might be having the best season of his career as he leads the league in completion percentage (77.4) and has only thrown one interception, which is incredible considering he ranks 18th in pass attempts among all quarterbacks. With him playing at such a high level, the Saints offense has been methodical so it’s hard to pick against them as they’ve gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home. I’m leaning to the Rams in this game but bettors can’t be faulted at all if they went with the Saints at home as I see this game as a coin flip.

    Sky-High Total Makes the UNDER Enticing

    The total opened at 60 points in this NFC showdown and the reason why this number is historical is that a closing total hasn’t been this high since 2004. That total 14 years ago (60.5) was a Christmas Day game between the Chiefs and Raiders and while this shouldn’t factor into how you perceive this game, it’s worth noting the total went just OVER with 61 points.

    Both teams are scoring a ton of points this season but I’m predicting an UNDER in this game. In the Rams’ last 24 games (since the start of last season), the final score has only gone OVER 60 points in six of those games. As for the Saints, the final score has only gone OVER 60 points five times in their last 23 games and the UNDER has hit in four of their last six games with an average combined score of 54.8.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the Rams to cover and the UNDER on separate bets. Until the Rams lose, I can’t bet against them and the Saints defense can be exploited through the air if Todd Gurley can’t break them down. As for the UNDER, I’m mainly playing the percentages as 60 points is a lot in an NFL game, even though these are two of the most prolific offenses in the league.

Odds

Sunday, November 4 Sun Nov 4


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-2
-110
+106
o59
-110
+2
-110
-120
u59
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-2
-110
-130
o56.5
-115
+2
-110
+110
u56.5
-105

Edge Finder

18.06
Points Scored
19.41
182.82
Passing Yards
217.00
97.71
Rushing Yards
116.76
29:48
Time on Field
29:31
58.88
Number of Plays
59.71
4.76
Yards Per Play
5.59
18.06
Points Scored
19.41
4.47
First Quarter
3.82
6.35
Second Quarter
5.29
3.06
Third Quarter
4.59
4.18
Fourth Quarter
5.71
182.82
Passing Yards
217.00
31.24
Pass Attempts
30.12
20.41
Pass Completions
19.88
3.47
Sacks
2.24
23.41
Sack Yards
16.41
8.96
Yards Per Pass
10.91
97.71
Rushing Yards
116.76
24.18
Rush Attempts
27.35
4.04
Yards Per Rush
4.27
0.88
Interceptions
0.82
0.94
Fumbles
1.35
0.47
Fumbles Lost
0.65
1.35
Total Turnovers
1.47
4.47
Penalties
5.82
38.53
Penalty Yards
49.47
29:48
Time on Field
29:31
58.88
Number of Plays
59.71
4.76
Yards Per Play
5.59
4.29
Punts
4.53
47.07
Punt Average
46.39
63.88
Return Yards
55.76

Head To Head

LAR
Stat Type NO
6-4
Record
4-6
7-3
ATS
3-7
5-4-1
O/U
5-4-1
26.50
Points Scored
26.00
113.70
Rush Yds
116.00
34.90
Pass Attempts
39.10
65.04
Completion %
64.71
238.60
Passing Yds
262.40
352.3
Total Yds
378.4
1.20
Turnovers
1.80
LAR
Stat Type NO
2-1
Record
1-2
2-1
ATS
1-2
1-2
O/U
1-2
24.67
Points Scored
28.33
100.33
Rush Yds
131.00
32.00
Pass Attempts
41.67
64.58
Completion %
72.00
221.00
Passing Yds
313.33
321.33
Total Yds
444.33
1.00
Turnovers
1.33
Nov 26/17 (1 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Home
Away
26
Points Scored
20
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
54 o
O/U
54 u
88
Rush Yds
123
44
Pass Attempts
32
63.64
Completion %
68.75
327
Passing Yds
223
415
Total Yds
346
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 27/16 (2 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Away
Home
21
Points Scored
49
+7.5
ATS
-7.5
45 o
O/U
45 u
69
Rush Yds
209
32
Pass Attempts
37
62.50
Completion %
78.38
178
Passing Yds
346
247
Total Yds
555
2
Turnovers
1
Dec 15/13 (3 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Home
Away
27
Points Scored
16
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
144
Rush Yds
61
20
Pass Attempts
56
70.00
Completion %
69.64
158
Passing Yds
371
302
Total Yds
432
0
Turnovers
3
Oct 30/11 (4 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Home
Away
31
Points Scored
21
+13.5
ATS
-13.5
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
183
Rush Yds
56
37
Pass Attempts
44
54.05
Completion %
68.18
140
Passing Yds
227
323
Total Yds
283
1
Turnovers
2
Dec 12/10 (5 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Away
Home
13
Points Scored
31
+9.5
ATS
-9.5
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
136
Rush Yds
132
32
Pass Attempts
40
56.25
Completion %
62.50
191
Passing Yds
213
327
Total Yds
345
3
Turnovers
3
Nov 15/09 (6 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Home
Away
23
Points Scored
28
+14
ATS
-14
51 o
O/U
51 u
141
Rush Yds
203
40
Pass Attempts
26
65.00
Completion %
69.23
293
Passing Yds
217
434
Total Yds
420
1
Turnovers
3
Nov 11/07 (7 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Away
Home
37
Points Scored
29
+10.5
ATS
-10.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
133
Rush Yds
43
34
Pass Attempts
36
82.35
Completion %
69.44
276
Passing Yds
256
409
Total Yds
299
0
Turnovers
2
Oct 23/05 (8 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Home
Away
28
Points Scored
17
-3
ATS
+3
46 o
O/U
46 u
109
Rush Yds
119
29
Pass Attempts
39
62.07
Completion %
46.15
189
Passing Yds
213
298
Total Yds
332
1
Turnovers
2
Sep 26/04 (9 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Home
Away
25
Points Scored
28
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
49 o
O/U
49 u
78
Rush Yds
146
49
Pass Attempts
41
65.31
Completion %
58.54
325
Passing Yds
316
403
Total Yds
462
1
Turnovers
0
Dec 17/01 (10 of 10)
LAR
Stat Type NO
Away
Home
34
Points Scored
21
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
51 o
O/U
51 u
56
Rush Yds
68
32
Pass Attempts
40
71.88
Completion %
57.50
309
Passing Yds
242
365
Total Yds
310
2
Turnovers
2

Team Records

LAR
Record NO
8-0
All
6-1
4-0
Home
2-1
4-0
Away
4-0
4-3-1
ATS
5-2
2-1-1
ATS Home
1-2
2-2
ATS Away
4-0
3-5
O/U
3-4
2-2
O/U Home
2-1
1-3
O/U Away
1-3
LAR
Record NO
5-0
All
4-1
3-0
Home
1-1
2-0
Away
3-0
2-2-1
ATS
4-1
1-1-1
ATS Home
1-1
1-1
ATS Away
3-0
2-3
O/U
3-2
1-2
O/U Home
2-0
1-1
O/U Away
1-2
LAR
Record NO
3-0
All
1-1
1-0
Home
0-1
2-0
Away
1-0
2-1
ATS
1-1
1-0
ATS Home
0-1
1-1
ATS Away
1-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
LAR
Record NO
8-0
All
6-1
4-0
Home
2-1
4-0
Away
4-0
4-3-1
ATS
5-2
2-1-1
ATS Home
1-2
2-2
ATS Away
4-0
3-5
O/U
3-4
2-2
O/U Home
2-1
1-3
O/U Away
1-3

Gametime Weather

Weather
3:00 pm EST Overcast
24ºC / 75ºF
73% Humidity
15% Precipitation
91% Cloud Cover
Stadium Type Indoor
Field Image

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 28, 2018GB29-27W-7.5/57L/U135281416106253359-1
Oct 21, 2018SF39-10W-9/52W/U146185331107121228-4
Oct 14, 2018DEN23-20W-7/50L/U270174444602973570
Oct 7, 2018SEA33-31W-7.5/50.5L/O1553134681901833732
Sep 27, 2018MIN38-31W-7/49P/O10045655654392446-1
Sep 23, 2018LAC35-23W-7/49W/O1713505211412153560
Sep 16, 2018ARI34-0W-11/43W/U9034243254831370
Sep 10, 2018OAK33-13W-6/47.5W/U14022536595300395-3
Jan 6, 2018ATL13-26L-6/48L/U1152463611241983222
Dec 31, 2017SF13-34L+6.5/44L/O102149251171292463-1
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 28, 2018MIN30-20W-2.5/54W/U10616427085338423-1
Oct 21, 2018BAL24-23W+2.5/49.5W/U134205339772743511
Oct 8, 2018WAS43-19W-5.5/51.5W/O9834944739244283-1
Sep 30, 2018NYG33-18W-3/52W/U17021938965234299-2
Sep 23, 2018ATL43-37W+1.5/54W/O143391534483594070
Sep 16, 2018CLE21-18W-9.5/51L/U62213275932343271
Sep 9, 2018TB40-48L-10/49.5L/O434324751124175292
Jan 14, 2018MIN24-29L+5.5/46.5W/O80278358953084031
Jan 7, 2018CAR31-26W-6.5/47.5L/O413694101073064131
Dec 31, 2017TB24-31L-6/50L/O92231323110345455-2
View Game Logs
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