Matchups
NFL
Philadelphia
Eagles
10 - 5
Buffalo
Bills
11 - 4
December 28, 2025, 4:25 PM EST
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Philadelphia VS Buffalo
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
BUF
27.2 -117 Polymarket
Spread Pick
+1.5
-1.5
Total Pick
O 44
U 44
Best ATS
+1.5 -104 Polymarket
-1.5 -105 BetMGM
Best O/U
O 44 -110 BetMGM
U 44.5 -108 Polymarket
Eagles ML
+102

Josh Allen's foot injury, along with Dalton Kincaid's back injury has me looking towards the Eagles in Week 17. 

Philadelphia's defense has been far better by EPA of late. Plus, the Eagles have won five of their last six versus the Bills. According to our NFL database the Eagles have won four straight games as road underdogs. Give me the better defense and Philadelphia as short dogs in Week 17. 

Check out my Eagles vs Bills preview for more!

Expert Pick: Nick Holz
Spread Moneyline Total
PHI +1.5 -115
BUF -1.5 -105
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Projected Winnings
$
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Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Sunday, December 28 Sun Dec 28

Matchup
Opening Odds
Best Odds
Line History Matchup
4:25pm EST
Philadelphia PHI
VS /
Buffalo BUF
+1.5
-110
- -
PHI
+102
O 46.5
-110
- -
-1.5
-110
- -
BUF
-122
U 46.5
-110
- -
Best Odds
+1.5
-104
- -
POLYMARKET
PHI
+108
POLYMARKET
O 44
-110
- -
POLYMARKET
Best Odds
-1.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
BUF
-117
POLYMARKET
U 44.5
-108
- -
POLYMARKET
+1.5
-104
- -
POLYMARKET
PHI
+108
POLYMARKET
O 44.5
+100
- -
POLYMARKET
-1.5
-108
- -
POLYMARKET
BUF
-117
POLYMARKET
U 44.5
-108
- -
POLYMARKET
+1.5
-115
- -
BETMGM
PHI
+105
BETMGM
O 44
-110
- -
BETMGM
-1.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
BUF
-125
BETMGM
U 44
-110
- -
BETMGM

Edge Finder

Overall

PHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BUF Defense
23.2717Points Scored1522.93
197.8723Passing Yards2167.13
121.7315Rushing Yards29144.27
30:5011Time on Field227:20
59.6024Number of Plays256.67
5.3616Yards Per Play215.50

Scoring

PHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BUF Defense
23.2717Points Scored1522.93
6.403First Quarter225.00
6.3324Second Quarter288.87
4.6718Third Quarter22.87
5.8724Fourth Quarter116.20

Passing

PHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BUF Defense
197.8723Passing Yards2167.13
28.6728Pass Attempts327.67
18.9327Pass Completions116.87
2.0713Sacks192.27
11.9325Sack Yards1414.47
10.4516Yards Per Pass169.91

Rushing

PHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BUF Defense
121.7315Rushing Yards29144.27
28.877Rush Attempts1726.73
4.2222Yards Per Rush315.40

Turn Overs

PHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BUF Defense
0.404Interceptions70.87
1.0722Fumbles71.20
0.5324Fumbles Lost140.47
0.938Total Turnovers81.33
7.0024Penalties325.07
60.9328Penalty Yards2944.53

Drives & Special Teams

PHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BUF Defense
30:5011Time on Field227:20
59.6024Number of Plays256.67
5.3616Yards Per Play215.50
4.1326Punts103.73
49.824Punt Average2147.66
109.6728Return Yards27138.07

Overall

PHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BUF Offense
19.274Points Scored328.93
192.277Passing Yards18214.20
123.4721Rushing Yards1158.87
29:3910Time on Field232:39
62.9322Number of Plays1362.47
5.028Yards Per Play55.97

Scoring

PHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BUF Offense
19.274Points Scored328.93
4.2015First Quarter105.20
4.934Second Quarter127.40
3.405Third Quarter17.47
6.5315Fourth Quarter28.87

Passing

PHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BUF Offense
192.277Passing Yards18214.20
32.4718Pass Attempts2728.73
18.134Pass Completions1919.93
2.4714Sacks192.33
13.2711Sack Yards1116.47
10.6024Yards Per Pass1310.75

Rushing

PHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BUF Offense
123.4721Rushing Yards1158.87
28.0024Rush Attempts131.40
4.4121Yards Per Rush25.06

Turn Overs

PHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BUF Offense
0.7315Interceptions140.67
1.0017Fumbles231.13
0.4716Fumbles Lost210.53
1.2018Total Turnovers171.20
5.5330Penalties126.27
49.2025Penalty Yards1752.00

Drives & Special Teams

PHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BUF Offense
29:3910Time on Field232:39
62.9322Number of Plays1362.47
5.028Yards Per Play55.97
3.7311Punts52.87
45.374Punt Average2644.82
127.4716Return Yards9134.53

Head To Head

PHI
 Stat Type BUF
5-3
 Record
3-5
4-4
 ATS
4-4
4-4
 O/U
4-4
21.50
 Points Scored
21.25
134.00
 Rush Yds
132.00
35.50
 Pass Attempts
34.00
62.32
 Completion %
58.46
224.25
 Passing Yds
206.62
358.25
 Total Yds
338.62
1.75
 Turnovers
1.00
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
3-0
 Record
0-3
3-0
 ATS
0-3
2-1
 O/U
2-1
30.33
 Points Scored
22.33
173.00
 Rush Yds
141.00
31.00
 Pass Attempts
40.33
62.37
 Completion %
52.89
192.67
 Passing Yds
249.00
365.67
 Total Yds
390
1.33
 Turnovers
1.33
Nov 26/23 (1 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
37
 Points Scored
34
-2.5
 ATS
+2.5
48.5 o
 O/U
48.5 u
185
 Rush Yds
173
31
 Pass Attempts
51
58.06
 Completion %
56.86
193
 Passing Yds
332
378
 Total Yds
505
2
 Turnovers
1
Oct 27/19 (2 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
31
 Points Scored
13
+1
 ATS
-1
39 o
 O/U
39 u
218
 Rush Yds
98
24
 Pass Attempts
34
70.83
 Completion %
47.06
153
 Passing Yds
155
371
 Total Yds
253
1
 Turnovers
1
Dec 13/15 (3 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
23
 Points Scored
20
-1
 ATS
+1
48 o
 O/U
48 u
116
 Rush Yds
152
38
 Pass Attempts
36
60.53
 Completion %
52.78
232
 Passing Yds
260
348
 Total Yds
412
1
 Turnovers
2
Oct 9/11 (4 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
24
 Points Scored
31
-3
 ATS
+3
52.5 o
 O/U
52.5 u
174
 Rush Yds
143
40
 Pass Attempts
27
65.00
 Completion %
77.78
315
 Passing Yds
188
489
 Total Yds
331
5
 Turnovers
1
Dec 30/07 (5 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
17
 Points Scored
9
-8.5
 ATS
+8.5
38.5 o
 O/U
38.5 u
69
 Rush Yds
138
41
 Pass Attempts
30
70.73
 Completion %
53.33
322
 Passing Yds
133
391
 Total Yds
271
2
 Turnovers
0
Sep 28/03 (6 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
23
 Points Scored
13
+3
 ATS
-3
39.5 o
 O/U
39.5 u
177
 Rush Yds
21
29
 Pass Attempts
43
62.07
 Completion %
62.79
158
 Passing Yds
287
335
 Total Yds
308
0
 Turnovers
1
Sep 26/99 (7 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
0
 Points Scored
26
+11.5
 ATS
-11.5
37 o
 O/U
37 u
22
 Rush Yds
191
37
 Pass Attempts
29
54.05
 Completion %
68.97
147
 Passing Yds
186
169
 Total Yds
377
2
 Turnovers
1
Nov 10/96 (8 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
17
 Points Scored
24
-3.5
 ATS
+3.5
39 o
 O/U
39 u
111
 Rush Yds
140
44
 Pass Attempts
22
59.09
 Completion %
50.00
274
 Passing Yds
112
385
 Total Yds
252
1
 Turnovers
1
Dec 12/93 (9 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
7
 Points Scored
10
+2.5
 ATS
-2.5
 O/U
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
50.00
 Completion %
50.00
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0
Dec 2/90 (10 of 10)
PHI
 Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
23
 Points Scored
30
+3
 ATS
-3
40 o
 O/U
40 u
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
50.00
 Completion %
50.00
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0

Team Records

PHI
 Record BUF
10-5
 All
11-4
5-2
 Home
6-1
5-3
 Away
5-3
9-6
 ATS
7-8
4-3
 ATS Home
3-4
5-3
 ATS Away
4-4
6-9
 O/U
8-7
2-5
 O/U Home
5-2
4-4
 O/U Away
3-5
PHI
 Record BUF
8-3
 All
8-3
4-1
 Home
4-1
4-2
 Away
4-2
7-4
 ATS
5-6
3-2
 ATS Home
2-3
4-2
 ATS Away
3-3
6-5
 O/U
5-6
2-3
 O/U Home
3-2
4-2
 O/U Away
2-4
PHI
 Record BUF
3-2
 All
3-2
2-0
 Home
1-1
1-2
 Away
2-1
2-3
 ATS
2-3
1-1
 ATS Home
0-2
1-2
 ATS Away
2-1
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
PHI
 Record BUF
6-4
 All
7-3
3-1
 Home
3-0
3-3
 Away
4-3
6-4
 ATS
5-5
3-1
 ATS Home
2-1
3-3
 ATS Away
3-4
4-6
 O/U
5-5
1-3
 O/U Home
2-1
3-3
 O/U Away
3-4

Gametime Weather

3:25 pm EST Showers
5ºC / 41ºF
86% Humidity
45% Precipitation
100% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 7
 mph

Trends

  • Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
  • Philadelphia is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
  • Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
  • Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
  • Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road.
  • Philadelphia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
  • Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games played in December.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games played in week 17.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
  • Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
  • Buffalo is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games played in December.
  • Buffalo is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing as the favourite.
  • Buffalo is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games played on a Sunday when playing at home.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Ogbonnia OkoronkwoLBIR, torn triceps
Azeez OjulariLBIR, hamstring
Grant CalcaterraTEOut, oblique
Ben VanSumerenLBIR, knee
Johnny WilsonWRIR, knee, ankle surgery
Andrew MukubaSIR, broken ankle
Myles HintonTIR, undisclosed
Cameron WilliamsTInjured-Reserve (DFR), shoulder
Willie LampkinGIR, knee
Name Position Inj Desc
Curtis SamuelWRIR, elbow, neck
Ed OliverDTIR, torn biceps
Taylor RappSIR, knee
Tyler BassKIR, left hip, groin
Michael HoechtDTIR, torn right Achilles
Damar HamlinSIR, pectoral
DeWayne CarterDTIR, torn Achilles
Landon JacksonDEIR, torn MCL, PCL
Chase LundtTIR, knee
Dorian StrongCBIR, neck
Wande OwensSIR, undisclosed

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 20, 2025WAS29-18W-7/43.5W/O207178385901302200
Dec 14, 2025LV31-0W-12.5/37W/U183204387462975-1
Dec 8, 2025LAC19-22L-1/42L/U1342313651691062752
Nov 28, 2025CHI15-24L-7/43.5L/U872303172811444251
Nov 23, 2025DAL21-24L-3/48L/U632763391253484730
Nov 16, 2025DET16-9W-2.5/45.5W/U14812427274243317-1
Nov 10, 2025GB10-7W+1/44.5W/U111183294104157261-1
Oct 26, 2025NYG38-20W-7/43.5W/O276151427681782460
Oct 19, 2025MIN28-22W-2.5/43.5W/O4531636189298387-2
Oct 9, 2025NYG17-34L-7.5/40.5L/O732663391721943662
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 21, 2025CLE23-20W-10.5/41.5L/O16495259160134294-2
Dec 14, 2025NE35-31W-2.5/49.5W/O168181349246139385-1
Dec 7, 2025CIN39-34W-6/54.5L/O18323341662276338-1
Nov 30, 2025PIT26-7W-3/44.5W/U249123372581081660
Nov 20, 2025HOU19-23L-4.5/44.5L/U1431833261081532613
Nov 16, 2025TB44-32W-6.5/45.5W/O973174142021653671
Nov 9, 2025MIA13-30L-8/50L/U872893761971733701
Nov 2, 2025KC28-21W+2.5/53W/U14126340479226305-1
Oct 26, 2025CAR40-9W-7/47.5W/O245165410114130244-3
Oct 13, 2025ATL14-24L-3.5/49.5L/U1341572912102334432
View Game Logs
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