When looking at our primetime betting report, there are many NFL primetime betting trends that hold true.
Many of the NFL's players and coaches perform better under the bright lights of primetime Thursday, Monday, and Sunday Night Football games. Here are the best coaches and quarterbacks in primetime games, and key betting trends to know.
The current trends below are from the start of the 2019 season on:
General NFL Primetime Game Betting Trends
| Betting Market | Record | Percent | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Underdogs SU | 89-185 | 32.5 | -$1416.7 |
| Underdogs ATS | 142-127-5 | 52.8 | +$305.88 |
| Fav SU | 185-89 | 67.5 | -$760.97 |
| Fav ATS | 127-142-5 | 47.2 | -$2780.26 |
| Unders | 153-118-4 | 56.5 | +$2109.23 |
| Overs | 118-153-4 | 43.5 | -$4580.52 |
If you're looking for some blind bets for primetime games, you've got options. Underdogs against the spread have been a solid play in recent years, bringing in nearly 7 units of profit. But there's an even bigger fish to target on your TNF, MNF, and SNF wagers:
You Have To Bet Primetime UNDERs
The NFL's hottest betting trend the last few years has been primetime UNDERs. Going below the point total hit at an absurd 60.2% clip over the last six seasons and it hit in nearly 70% of Thursday, Sunday, and Monday Night games in 2023-24. Last season, UNDERs went 40-37, hitting in 51.9% of games.
It seems almost inexplicable how every team forgets how to score during these primetime affairs. Clearly, there are some scheduling reasons behind these low scores, especially in Thursday Night Football games.
Top NFL Coach In Primetime Games
| Name | Record | Percent | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt LaFleur | 23-9 | 71.9 | +$1212.75 |
| Frank Reich | 9-2-1 | 81.8 | +$624.03 |
| Brian Flores | 4-0 | 100.0 | +$356.06 |
| Antonio Pierce | 3-0-1 | 100.0 | +$272.73 |
| Doug Pederson | 16-12 | 57.1 | +$247.23 |
Matt LaFleur needs a new nickname. 'Big Game' Matt has been easily the NFL's best coach in primetime games over the last five seasons. The Packers under LaFleur have covered the spread in 23 primetime contests across those years, with bettors cashing out over 12 units of profit! Be aware of the Packers primetime contests this year, which begin at Dallas in Week 4.
Funnily enough, former Panthers coach Frank Reich was up there with these primetime savants before he was fired last season. In his time with Carolina and Indy, Reich went 8-1-1 against the spread in primetime affairs, for a +6.2 unit profit.
If he somehow finds a new gig, back Reich for the Thursday Night Football and Monday Night Football games.
Back Josh Allen Under The Bright Lights
| Name | Tds | Avg Yards | Completion Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 2.4 | 234.2 | 0.68 |
| Josh Allen | 2.2 | 246.0 | 0.68 |
| Kirk Cousins | 2.1 | 260.2 | 0.66 |
| Patrick Mahomes II | 2.0 | 280.8 | 0.66 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | 2.0 | 225.4 | 0.63 |
Josh Allen being near the top of the quarterback primetime performers is no surprise. The 2024 NFL MVP will need to continue his heroics in primetime this season as the Bills look to take the next step and finally win a Super Bowl title.
Also worth noting, Jared Goff is a bit of a primetime game king these days. During his time with both the Rams and Lions, Goff's teams are 14-6 against the spread in primetime affairs (+6 units of profit).
| Name | Record | Percent | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 16-6 | 0.73 | +$862.58 |
| Jared Goff | 14-6 | 0.7 | +$677.07 |
| Kenny Pickett | 6-0 | 100.0 | +$537.88 |
| Carson Wentz | 7-1 | 0.88 | +$528.79 |
| Kirk Cousins | 8-3-2 | 0.73 | +$409.68 |
Keep an eye on the Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers as the 2025 NFL season gets underway. Pittsburgh new quarterback is 16-6 ATS in primetime across the last five seasons, netting bettors over 8 units of profit. The Steelers appear in four primetime games in 2025.
