Vegas Golden Knights featured in our 2023 NHL exact matchup picks and odds

2023 Stanley Cup Final Exact Matchup Odds: Canes & Knights More Likely

The grind of an 82-game NHL regular season is over and now four teams battle it out in the conference finals.

With that, we're looking to the Stanley Cup Final, where many questions are still left unanswered.

Which two sides will meet to fight for the Cup? What exact matchup are we likely looking at in the championship final? And who should you bet on to make the finals?

2023 Stanley Cup Exact Matchup Odds

Odds on Which Teams Will Meet in the Stanley Cup Final
Matchup Odds
Carolina Hurricanes vs Dallas Stars +285
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights +200
Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars +360
Florida Panthers vs Vegas Golden Knights +260

Odds as of May 12

Stanley Cup Exact Matchup Odds: The bruins are out!

At the start, oddsmakers thought the Stanley Cup final would be between the defending Stanley Cup champion Colorado Avalanche and the historic 2022-23 Boston Bruins at +700. But the Bruins fell victim to the Presidents’ Trophy curse, and both teams were eliminated in the opening round.

Now, our previous value pick has become one of the favorite:

Stanley Cup Exact Matchup Odds: The Favorite

I’m looking at the field here as I try to make a futures bet on the Stanley Cup Final matchup. Going back over every Cup final after a full 82-game NHL season since 2000-01, the representative from the East was most often the No. 2 seed (six times) while the West sent the No. 1 seed to the finals the most times (five).

This year, that’s Carolina and Vegas, who are offering +200 (previously +3500) to go head-to-head in the finals. The Canes advanced to the conference finals over the Devils. Meanwhile, Vegas took down Connor McDavid's Oilers in a 4-2 series duel.

Stanley Cup Exact Matchup Odds: Hurricanes vs Golden Knights (+200)

Once the 82-game slate wrapped up, the No. 2 seed in the East was Carolina with 113 points. When you look under the hood, the Canes don’t have great individual numbers. They don’t have a single point-per-game player and their goalie numbers are just above average.

But the Canes get production from everywhere in the lineup. They’ve got 11 players with six or more points through 11 playoff games, including eight with three or more goals. If any one player goes cold, they’ve got layers to their offense to fill the gap. That’s ideal for the playoffs when space is limited and star players are usually matched up closely.

The Canes have the best odds to win the East at -130. The second round was pretty smooth sailing, with Carolina winning by four or more goals in three games of the series over the Devils. Frederik Andersen stood tall between the pipes, now recording 1.80 GAA. 

Vegas is in a similar position to the Canes with layers of offense. Jack Eichel is the only point-per-game player, earning 80 points in 78 games through the regular and postseason. The Knights have 10 players with a whopping five or more points throughout the playoffs, including Eichel who leads with 14. 

Cap geeks out there will be rightfully suspicious of this development for Vegas. But in terms of exact Stanley Cup matchups, getting the two-way powerhouse back is an incredible boost for a team looking to atone in a big way for missing the postseason last year.

Anyways, all that to say the Carolina vs Vegas matchup is where I’d put my money. At +200, you’re still getting decent value on a matchup between two top teams that history says should happen.