The Baltimore Ravens have underachieved in the NFL Playoffs since Lamar Jackson was drafted in 2018, including losing 17-10 as 4.5-point favorites to the Kansas City Chiefs in last season’s AFC Championship Game, but this year’s team looks different.
The Ravens dispatched the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend 28-14 and now head on the road to take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Baltimore opened as a 1.5-point underdog at sportsbooks for Sunday’s matchup in Buffalo. However, the line has quickly shifted and now the Ravens are a consensus 1-point favorite.
Public bettors are betting the spread on this game more than the other three Divisional Round games because it’s very clearly the smallest spread – and everyone has an opinion on what should be a fantastic game.
“This is the most heavily bet game of the weekend by far,” Thomas Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata in Atlantic City, told Vimoro. “A little more money on the Bills right now, but not much. Pretty evenly bet game thus far.”
Why is the Bills vs Ravens line movement notable?
Well, despite that fact that the Ravens have only been an underdog once all season (+2.5 in Week 1 at the Kansas City Chiefs), if Baltimore closed as a favorite it would mark the first time since the Buffalo Bills were an NFL franchise in 1970 that the Bills were home underdogs in the postseason.
In other words, it would be unprecedented for a proud Bills franchise and mark the first time in a span of more than 50 years and 18 total games that Buffalo was the underdog at home in the playoffs.
Remember, the Ravens crushed the Bills 35-10 back in Week 4 and held Buffalo to a season-low 236 yards of offense. It will mark a matchup of the presumptive top two candidates for MVP in Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. It should be a classic.
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