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AL East Odds 2021: Tampa Bay Rays Favored To Win Division

Austin Meadows and the Tampa Bay Rays are favored in AL East odds betting.

The first division to have four teams with 30 or more wins, the AL East has become one of the closest divisional races in Major League Baseball

With great pitching, top MVP candidates and historic rivalries, the AL East should be full of drama and excitement as the season speeds toward its midpoint. Oddsmakers have taken note of the tight race and have adjusted AL East predictions accordingly. Taking a look at the AL East odds 2021, the Tampa Bay Rays are the current favorites.

Online sportsbook BetUS has updated AL East odds with the Rays favored at +125, followed by the New York Yankees at +200, Boston Red Sox at +275, Toronto Blue Jays at +600 and Baltimore Orioles at +125000 to round out the oddsboard.

The Rays’ +125 AL East odds mean that a $100 bet would get you a $125 profit if they win the division. Additionally, looking at the AL East odds, our sports betting calculator tells us that the Rays’ betting line represents an implied win probability of 44.44 percent.

AL East Odds 2021

AL East Odds 2021
TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Tampa Bay Rays+125+500
New York Yankees+200-170
Boston Red Sox +275+1600
Toronto Blue Jays+600+325
Baltimore Orioles+125000+10000

Odds as of June 9 at BetUS

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Tampa Bay Rays +125

Year in and year out, the Tampa Bay Rays are probably the most overlooked team not only in AL East odds but in the entire MLB. The Rays were in the World Series just last season and still opened the 2021 campaign at +500 to win the AL East, the third-best odds in the division.

All the Rays have done since is win baseball games. Rays left-fielder Austin Meadows is tied for the league lead in RBIs as of June 9 with 48, and is tied for sixth in MLB with 14 home runs.

At the top of the rotation, Tyler Glasnow has cemented himself as one of the league’s true aces. Glasnow is 5-2 on the season with a 0.93 WHIP (11th) and 2.57 ERA (17th). Veteran left-hander Rich Hill has been almost as good as Glasnow with a 0.98 WHIP and 3.05 ERA.

Looking at the rest of the batting lineup, there aren’t a ton of household names, but that is what Tampa Bay has done forever. Kevin Cash is the reigning manager of the year, like Joe Maddon three times previously with this club, which gets the most out of its players and is a competitive team yearly.

The Rays are a scrappy bunch all around, and although they aren’t the sexiest team, they deserve to be the favorites in AL East betting odds two months into the season.

New York Yankees +200

The Pinstripes signed 2019 AL ERA leader, strikeout leader and three-time all-star Gerrit Cole in 2020, and in 2021 they picked up two-time AL Cy Young winner Corey Kluber to further strengthen the front end of their rotation. 

While Cole has been exceptional and is the favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award, Kluber has been up and down this season as he is 4-3 with a 1.20 WHIP, but landed on the injured list on May 27 with the expectation that he would be shut down for four weeks.

Pitching has not been the problem for the Yankees, though, as runs have been hard to come by for a lineup filled with big-time sluggers. The Yankees are 25th in runs scored as of June 9, and 21st in OPS. 

AL MVP candidate Aaron Judge has held up his end with 14 homers, 34 RBIs and a .924 OPS that ranks him 14th in baseball, but the rest of the lineup has been mediocre or worse. Big-ticket free agent D.J. LeMahieu has three homers, 15 RBIs and a brutal .661 OPS despite leading the team in plate appearances. 

Oddsmakers are expecting the bats to come alive at some point, but if it doesn’t happen soon, the Yanks could be too far back in the division to make a legitimate run at the title as they sit 6.5 games back of the Rays on June 9.

Boston Red Sox +275

The Red Sox went from winning the World Series in 2018 to being in the basement of the AL East in 2020. I guess that’s what happens when you trade away the 2018 AL MVP, Mookie Betts. 

But losing Betts has not slowed down the Red Sox lineup this season as Boston’s offense has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball. Boston ranks fifth in the majors in team OPS and third in batting average and has scored the fourth-most runs in baseball.

The pitching has not been great, giving up the seventh-most hits and ranking 22nd in team WHIP. A big part of that is the play of erstwhile ace Eduardo Rodriguez, who had an abysmal month of May, going 1-5 in six starts with a 7.28 ERA. Chris Sale has also been missing all season due to injury.

The Red Sox need to pitch better to have a chance at the division title. Oddsmakers expect the Sox to fall back to the pack a bit, but they remain just 1.5 games behind Tampa Bay as of June 9.

Toronto Blue Jays +600

When the Blue Jays signed 2017 World Series MVP George Springer to a giant contract in the offseason, it was clear they had the makings of one of the league’s most feared lineups. That idea has come to fruition, but Springer has not had much to do with it. Springer has appeared in just four games for the Blue Jays while dealing with multiple injuries, and the rest of the talent on the roster has picked up the slack and then some. 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has blossomed into one of the best hitters in baseball. A legitimate MVP and Triple Crown candidate, he leads the majors with a 1.101 OPS, is tied for first in home runs with 18 and is second in RBIs with 47. 

As a team, the Jays are second in OPS, second in batting average and third in hits. 

The pitching depth has been an issue at times and we should expect an addition or two at the trade deadline, but the Jays do have a couple of legitimate starters they can hang their hats on in Hyun Jin Ryu and Robbie Ray.

Similar to the Red Sox, the Jays can challenge for the division if they figure out their pitching. The stellar batting even has some room to grow with Springer set to return within the month of June.

Baltimore Orioles +125000

MLB could have further expanded the playoffs in 2020 and the Orioles still wouldn’t have played October baseball. The O’s did finish one game above the Red Sox last season, but this team is in the midst of a rebuild and not nearly ready to contend for a division title.

Two months into the season, the Orioles are 16 games back of the Rays, though there are some signs of life, including a 13th-ranked team OPS and eighth-ranked batting average.

First baseman Trey Mancini is leading the way for the young O’s with 45 RBIs and 11 homers as of June 9 and center-fielder Cedric Mullins is 10th in baseball with a .935 OPS. 

The problem with the O’s is pitching. Only three teams have a worse team ERA. 

They won’t challenge for the AL East crown this season, but there is hope for the future in Baltimore. 

Best Bet: Toronto Blue Jays

At +600, the implied probability for the Jays’ AL East odds 2021 is 14.29 percent. These odds are great bang for your buck as the Blue Jays sport the best offense in the division and are set to get back their star free agent any day. 

The pitching is an issue, and they don’t have the arms to compete with the Rays, but the rotation could look completely different after the trade deadline, and we want a piece of the Jays before a big trade improves their odds. 

The Rays are also a solid bet as their combination of arms and bats sets them apart from the other three contenders, who all have question marks. But you aren’t getting much value at +125. 

What is a Futures Bet on AL East Odds?

When you decide to bet on the American League East odds for Major League Baseball, you’ll see an option to bet on which team will win the division. Since you’re betting on events that will happen in the near future, this is called a futures bet.

At your sportsbook, you would see AL East odds listed like this:

  • New York Yankees -270
  • Tampa Bay Rays +280
  • Boston Red Sox +1200
  • Toronto Blue Jays +2800
  • Baltimore Orioles +25000

Similar to a moneyline bet, the clear favorite is indicated by the minus odds symbol (-) and the rest of the teams listed are considered underdogs.

If you were to bet $100 on the Rays at the beginning of the season and they win the AL East Division, you’d get a payout of $380 – your original $100 is returned, along with your winnings of $280. On the other hand, the same bet amount on the Blue Jays would give you a payout of $2,900 – you get your $100 back, plus your profit of $2,800.

Our Odds Calculator can help you determine how much you’d pocket depending on the odds and the amount bet.