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Odds to Make the 2019-20 College Football Playoff

College Football Playoff Odds

College football conference championship games are just three weeks away and the push to be one of the four teams to get into the College Football Playoff is on. Last week, the top four teams in the rankings won, seemingly with ease, and remain the top four heading into Week 13. Sportsbooks have three of those four teams – LSU, Clemson and Ohio State – essentially as locks for the CFP, while that fourth seed still remains up in the air.

Online sportsbook BetOnline has LSU as the favorite to make the playoff at -1250 followed by Clemson and Ohio State at -1000, Georgia at +175, Alabama and Utah at +290 and Oregon and Oklahoma at +400 to round out the top teams on the oddsboard.

How Does Tua’s Injury Affect ’Bama’s Playoff Hopes?

The sports world was buzzing with the shocking news that Crimson Tide QB Tua Tagovailoa suffered a season-ending hip injury late in the first half against Mississippi State. It appeared Tagovailoa was going to come out of the game after Alabama grabbed a 35-7 lead, but coach Nick Saban sent him out for one more drive after perhaps some persuasion from the signal-caller, and Tagovailoa got landed on awkwardly as he was tackled from behind.

Tua’s football career looked to be in jeopardy but he underwent successful surgery on Monday and hopefully he’s going to be able to take the gridiron again in the future. For much of the season, he had been projected to go first overall in the 2020 NFL Draft, but there’s now a question on whether he’ll be drafted in the first round.

I think this severely hurts the Crimson Tide’s playoff chances, though their odds increased from +375 last week to +290 this week. I don’t think Alabama’s schedule has been favorable for a playoff appearance, with the team going 1-1 against just two ranked foes this season and a date at No. 15 Auburn in the Iron Bowl to close out the year. That’ll be a tough game and potentially a second loss, especially with no Tagovailoa and a banged-up Raekwon Davis as well.

What Team Will be the Fourth Seed?

Georgia, Oregon, Utah and Oklahoma … a solid argument could be made for any of these teams to get the chance to compete for the national title. Georgia is in the driver’s seat, currently holding the fourth seed, and a win over LSU in the SEC championship game gets the Bulldogs in. Of course, they had that ugly loss to South Carolina but have wins over three then-ranked teams: Notre Dame, Florida and Auburn. A win over LSU would confirm it.

Oklahoma helped its case with a massive come-from-behind victory over then-undefeated and then-No. 13 Baylor last week. The Sooners had that 48-41 loss at then-unranked Kansas State three weeks ago that appeared to douse their chances but if they can pick up a second win over Baylor in the Big 12 championship game in a more dominant fashion and Georgia loses, then Oklahoma may have a chance.

My pick for that fourth spot is the winner of the Pac-12 which will likely come down to Oregon and Utah. I like the Ducks over the Utes and there’s a worthy case for them. Outside of a fourth-quarter collapse in the opening week against then-No. 16 Auburn, Oregon is undefeated and has been terrific defensively. Only four teams have scored more than a touchdown against the Ducks this season and getting to see potential high draft pick QB Justin Herbert compete on the big stage is good for the game. At +400, I like the value on Oregon.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds on which teams will make the College Football Playoff:

Odds to make the 2019-20 College Football Playoff
TeamYesNoCFP Ranking
LSU Tigers-1250+8001
Ohio State Buckeyes-1000+7002
Clemson Tigers-1000+7003
Georgia Bulldogs+175-2104
Alabama Crimson Tide+290-3505
Utah Utes+290-3507
Oregon Ducks+400-5006
Oklahoma Sooners+400-5009

Odds as of November 20 at BetOnline


How to Read College Football Playoff Odds

At any sportsbook, you’ll see college football playoff (CFP) odds listed like so:

Clemson YES -150, NO +500

LSU YES -250, NO +230

Ohio State YES -300, NO +240

Oregon YES +180, NO -250

Each school has a chance of making the playoffs (YES), or not (NO). If you’re looking at LSU’s odds to make it to the post-season at -250 and decided to bet $100 on them, you’d get a payout of $140 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $40. On the other hand, if you don’t think the Tigers will make the playoffs at +230, that same $100 would get you $330 – you get your $100 back coupled with your prize of $230. Our Odds Calculator will tell you what you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What is a Futures Bet on NCAA Football

When you wager on a team’s post-season chances, it’s called a futures bet. This is a bet on events that will happen in time. It can be said that all sports betting is on events that have yet to occur; however, futures can be made weeks or months in advance instead of prior to game day. You could take Clemson to miss the CFP before college football season even starts. Oddsmakers will adjust the lines as more games are played and teams rise and fall in the standings. We suggest jumping on odds early, so you don’t miss out on great lines. If you wait until closer to bowl season, you could be stuck with odds that don’t have any value.