NFL

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills

Chicago
Bears
4 - 3
Buffalo
Bills
2 - 6
November 04, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | Highmark Stadium

Game Preview

Chicago
Bears
4 - 3
Buffalo
Bills
2 - 6
November 04, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | Highmark Stadium
  • The Buffalo Bills are a bad football team. To give them credit, they held the Patriots in check for most of their Monday night game, but they ultimately faltered and dropped another contest to big brother Tom Brady. Since losing their rookie QB Josh Allen, they’ve been an abysmal team that’s hard to watch.

    Many expected the Chicago Bears to be right there with the Bills at the bottom of the league this season, but they’ve surprisingly been one of the better teams across the NFL. Trading for Khalil Mack before the start of the season has turned into a fantastic move, but he’s currently battling an ankle injury so his status is questionable for this week’s game in Buffalo.

    The Bears opened as 9-point favorites on the road, but the line has already moved to 10. The total is set at 37.5, which is the lowest of any game across the NFL this season.

    Shark Bites
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Bills’ last six games (avg. combined score: 31.0).
    • The Bills are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games as home underdogs.
    • The Bears haven’t been road favorites of more than 7 points since 2008.

    Bears vs Bills Game Center

    Don’t dare put money on the Bills, take Bears ATS

    It’s always hard to put money on a road team that’s favored by more than a touchdown, but when I look at this game I can’t find a single reason to justify betting on the Bills.

    The Bears are averaging 27.6 points per game, while the Bills are averaging only 10.9, so if those averages stay somewhat true in this matchup, Chicago should cover. The Bears are 4-3 ATS so far this season, while the Bills are only 3-5 ATS.

    The Bills are going to be tired heading into this game as they’re on a short week after playing Monday night against the Patriots, and they’ve yet to have their bye week. A team with a banged-up offense on a short week that hasn’t had any rest this season begs to be faded.

    The Bills offense is historically bad

    Buffalo’s offense wasn’t the best to begin with outside of that surprise beatdown of the Vikings in Week 3, but since Josh Allen went down with an injury, the Bills have been downright terrible. Last week they rolled with Derek Anderson, but after an injury late on Monday night, they may need to start Nathan Peterman, who has a 31.4 career QB rating with only three TDs and nine INTs.

    As I stated above, the Bills are averaging only 10.9 points per game at this point of the season. We’d have to go back to 2009 to find a team that finished with an average that low, when the Rams finished the year at that same mark. They finished 1-15 SU that season. It’s possible that the Bills should feel lucky that they already have two wins this season, because based on those offensive numbers they may be due for an even worse second half of the season.

    Buffalo also sits second-last in the league in yards per game, only managing 246.4 per outing, and if Nathan Peterman gets the start, there’s little to no chance the Bills will surpass that number. Furthermore, they sit second-last in first downs per game and third-down conversion percentage. All in all, they’re an absolute dumpster fire of a team and one of the worst products across the NFL right now.

    The total is set at the lowest of the year

    The total in this game is set at 37.5. The last time we saw a total set lower than this was November 19, 2017, when the Jags and Browns were set at 36.5 and the game finished UNDER with only 26 points being scored.

    Despite the extremely low total, I still think the UNDER is the play if you feel like betting on the total. I’m starting to run out of adjectives to describe the Bills offense, but I think by this point you know how I feel about them.

    For me to take the OVER in this one, I’d be expecting the Bears offense to cover it almost completely by themselves, and I don’t think they can do that. The Bills defense kept the Patriots offense at bay almost the entire game, and they’re surprisingly ranked sixth in the league in yards allowed per game, only allowing opposing teams 329.1 yards per contest. I expect something around a 20-6 type of game, so I’m leaning toward the UNDER.

Odds

Sunday, November 4 Sun Nov 4


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-8
-118
-425
o38
-105
+8
-102
+325
u38
-115
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-10
-110
-452
o38.5
-105
+10
-110
+377
u38.5
-115

Edge Finder

18.29
Total Score
29.79
188.65
Passing Yards
257.95
118.71
Rushing Yards
131.16
30:20
Time on Field
31:28
63.24
Number of Plays
66.26
4.86
Yards Per Play
5.87
18.29
Total Score
29.79
2.76
First Quarter
6.47
6.88
Second Quarter
7.53
3.35
Third Quarter
6.32
5.29
Fourth Quarter
9.47
188.65
Passing Yards
257.95
31.88
Pass Attempts
37.68
19.53
Pass Completions
24.37
3.41
Sacks
1.53
25.18
Sack Yards
9.79
9.66
Yards Per Pass
10.59
118.71
Rushing Yards
131.16
27.94
Rush Attempts
27.05
4.25
Yards Per Rush
4.85
1.18
Interceptions
0.84
1.41
Fumbles
1.32
0.53
Fumbles Lost
0.32
1.71
Total Turnovers
1.16
6.24
Penalties
6.26
53.76
Penalty Yards
54.84
30:20
Time on Field
31:28
63.24
Number of Plays
66.26
4.86
Yards Per Play
5.87
3.65
Punts
3.00
46.22
Punt Average
42.21
97.24
Return Yards
76.58

Head To Head

CHI
Stat Type BUF
3-3
Record
3-3
2-3-1
ATS
3-2-1
2-4
O/U
2-4
22.00
Score
17.50
103.00
Rush Yds
93.33
35.67
Pass Attempts
32.83
62.15
Completion %
60.91
218.17
Passing Yds
192.33
321.17
Total Yds
285.67
1.83
Turnovers
2.00
CHI
Stat Type BUF
2-1
Record
1-2
1-1-1
ATS
1-1-1
1-2
O/U
1-2
27.33
Score
16.33
115.67
Rush Yds
99.00
36.67
Pass Attempts
33.33
63.64
Completion %
61.00
238.00
Passing Yds
182.67
353.67
Total Yds
281.67
1.67
Turnovers
3.00
Sep 7/14 (1 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
20
Score
23
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
86
Rush Yds
193
49
Pass Attempts
22
69.39
Completion %
72.73
341
Passing Yds
167
427
Total Yds
360
3
Turnovers
1
Nov 7/10 (2 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
22
Score
19
-3
ATS
+3
42 o
O/U
42 u
105
Rush Yds
46
30
Pass Attempts
51
56.67
Completion %
60.78
178
Passing Yds
294
283
Total Yds
340
1
Turnovers
3
Oct 8/06 (3 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
40
Score
7
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
34.5 o
O/U
34.5 u
156
Rush Yds
58
31
Pass Attempts
27
61.29
Completion %
51.85
195
Passing Yds
87
351
Total Yds
145
1
Turnovers
5
Sep 29/02 (4 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
27
Score
33
+3
ATS
-3
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
52
Rush Yds
103
31
Pass Attempts
36
61.29
Completion %
77.78
188
Passing Yds
307
240
Total Yds
410
0
Turnovers
1
Nov 12/00 (5 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
3
Score
20
+7
ATS
-7
40 o
O/U
40 u
99
Rush Yds
105
37
Pass Attempts
29
54.05
Completion %
62.07
135
Passing Yds
194
234
Total Yds
299
4
Turnovers
1
Dec 7/97 (6 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
20
Score
3
+1
ATS
-1
37 o
O/U
37 u
120
Rush Yds
55
36
Pass Attempts
32
66.67
Completion %
40.63
272
Passing Yds
105
392
Total Yds
160
2
Turnovers
1
Oct 2/94 (7 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
20
Score
13
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
39 o
O/U
39 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
40.63
Completion %
40.63
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Sep 29/91 (8 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
20
Score
35
+8.5
ATS
-8.5
42 o
O/U
42 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
40.63
Completion %
40.63
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 2/88 (9 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Home
Away
24
Score
3
-4
ATS
+4
37.5 o
O/U
37.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
40.63
Completion %
40.63
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 7/79 (10 of 10)
CHI
Stat Type BUF
Away
Home
7
Score
0
ATS
O/U
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
40.63
Completion %
40.63
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

CHI
Record BUF
4-3
All
2-6
3-1
Home
1-2
1-2
Away
1-4
4-3
ATS
3-5
3-1
ATS Home
1-2
1-2
ATS Away
2-3
4-3
O/U
2-6
2-2
O/U Home
1-2
2-1
O/U Away
1-4
CHI
Record BUF
3-1
All
1-5
2-0
Home
1-2
1-1
Away
0-3
3-1
ATS
2-4
2-0
ATS Home
1-2
1-1
ATS Away
1-2
2-2
O/U
2-4
1-1
O/U Home
1-2
1-1
O/U Away
1-2
CHI
Record BUF
0-1
All
0-1
0-0
Home
0-1
0-1
Away
0-0
1-0
ATS
0-1
0-0
ATS Home
0-1
1-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
CHI
Record BUF
4-3
All
2-6
3-1
Home
1-2
1-2
Away
1-4
4-3
ATS
3-5
3-1
ATS Home
1-2
1-2
ATS Away
2-3
4-3
O/U
2-6
2-2
O/U Home
1-2
2-1
O/U Away
1-4

Gametime Weather

Weather
12:00pm Partly Cloudy
7ºC / 45ºF
61% Humidity
0% Precipitation
37% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 9
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Oct 28, 2018NYJ24-10W-8.5/42W/U179216395571502070
Oct 21, 2018NE31-38L+2/49L/O134319453108273381-1
Oct 14, 2018MIA28-31L-7/40.5L/O1643034671613805410
Sep 30, 2018TB48-10W-3/46W/O13934448360251311-3
Sep 23, 2018ARI16-14W-5.5/39L/U12219431653168221-2
Sep 17, 2018SEA24-17W-4.5/42.5W/U86185271742022760
Sep 9, 2018GB23-24L+7/45W/O13915529469301370-1
Dec 31, 2017MIN10-23L+13.5/38W/U301712011471803270
Dec 24, 2017CLE20-3W-5.5/37W/U9716125875178253-3
Dec 16, 2017DET10-20L+4.5/43.5L/U43306349912022932
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Oct 29, 2018NE6-25L+13.5/44L/U46287333763113872
Oct 21, 2018IND5-37L+7/43.5L/U1351683032201563765
Oct 14, 2018HOU13-20L+10/40.5W/U100129229741422160
Oct 7, 2018TEN13-12W+6/38.5W/U14479223100121221-2
Sep 30, 2018GB0-22L+9/44L/U58871451412824231
Sep 23, 2018MIN27-6W+16.5/41W/U12816429214278292-3
Sep 16, 2018LAC20-31L+7.5/41.5L/O842092931092403492
Sep 9, 2018BAL3-47L+7.5/38.5L/O83701531172523691
Jan 7, 2018JAC3-10L+8.5/40W/U130133263155752302
Dec 31, 2017MIA22-16W-2/41W/U12618631293263356-1
View Game Logs