2026 NFL Draft odds are live, with Texas quarterback Arch Manning favored to be the first overall pick. LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier (+380), South Carolina dynamo LaNorris Sellers (+380), Clemson starter Cade Klubnik (+600), and Penn State gunslinger Drew Allar (+600) round out the top-five in what promises to be a strong quarterback class.
Let's take a look at all the 2026 NFL Draft and markets available.
2026 NFL Draft Odds: First Overall Pick
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| QB Arch Manning | +270 |
| QB Garrett Nussmeier | +380 |
| QB LaNorris Sellers | +380 |
| QB Cade Klubnik | +600 |
| QB Drew Allar | +600 |
| QB Sam Leavitt | +2000 |
| QB Fernando Mendoza | +2000 |
| DL Keldric Faulk | +2500 |
| DL T.J. Parker | +2500 |
| T Spencer Fano | +5500 |
| QB John Mateer | +6000 |
| S Caleb Towns | +7500 |
| T Francis Mauigoa | +7500 |
Odds as of July 17th at Sportsbook
Arch Manning Leads the 2026 NFL Draft Odds
The next Manning officially takes over as the starting quarterback at Texas this season. Arch will get to put his shiny Howitzer of a right arm on full display for the football world in the SEC. Despite limited snaps, Manning has already established himself as a blue-chip NFL draft prospect.
Unlike his uncles, Arch is a threat to scramble or keep the ball on zone reads and designed runs. He's a 6'4, 225-pound gazelle, with the toughness to bowl over linebackers on fourth down. As you'd expect, Manning combines that rushing effort with clean footwork and a howitzer of an arm.
Keep a close eye on Longhorns games this season. We may be watching the next big thing at quarterback. A signal-caller with the insane football IQ and anticipation skills of Peyton and Eli, and the athleticism to make defenses pay. Arch Manning has the traits necessary to wreck NFL defenses for decades to come.
However, he's not a lock to enter the 2026 NFL Draft. In fact, many believe the Manning family will want Arch to play his senior season at Texas and develop further before entering the league. As such, the 2026 NFL Draft betting value lies further down the board.
Fernando Mendoza A Value Pick to Go First Overall in the 2026 NFL Draft
Fernando Mendoza will suit up for Indiana this season after transferring from Cal. Mendoza is the type of progressive read passer who will make NFL scouts salivate. The 6'5, 225-pound pivot has the innate ability to always put his wide receivers in position to succeed. He displays outstanding touch, timing and ball placement, with the arm necessary to drive downfield passes to his targets.
Hoosiers head coach Curt Cignetti excels at developing quarterbacks, and Mendoza is set to thrive in his system. A rebuilt offensive line and the presence of wideout Elijah Sarrett will give the gunslinger the type of help he didn't have at Cal, and allow him to dominate the 2025 college football season. Mendoza has the talent, traits, and ecosystem necessary to put on a show and propel himself up draft boards.
Previous NFL First Overall NFL Draft Picks
Since 2001, 19 of the 25 players drafted first were quarterbacks. WR Keyshawn Johnson (1996) was the last player drafted No. 1 overall who wasn't either a QB or a lineman.
In the past 10 drafts, there were eight QBs, and two DL selected first overall.
| Year | Position | Players | School | NFL Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB | Cam Ward | Miami | Tennessee Titans |
| 2024 | QB | Caleb Williams | USC | Chicago Bears |
| 2023 | QB | Bryce Young | Alabama | Carolina Panthers |
| 2022 | DE | Travon Walker | Georgia | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 2021 | QB | Trevor Lawrence | Clemson | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 2020 | QB | Joe Burrow | LSU | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2019 | QB | Kyler Murray | Oklahoma | Arizona Cardinals |
| 2018 | QB | Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | Cleveland Browns |
| 2017 | DE | Myles Garrett | Texas A&M | Cleveland Browns |
| 2016 | QB | Jared Goff | Cal | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2015 | QB | Jameis Winston | Florida State | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 2014 | DE | Jadeveon Clowney | South Carolina | Houston Texans |
