The red-hot Denver Broncos welcome the surging Green Bay Packers in a colossal NFL Week 15 contest. Denver will be aiming to keep pace with the New England Patriots atop the AFC standings, while the Packers are looking to increase their lead atop the NFC North.
Lock in my Packers vs Broncos picks for this monumental showdown.
Packers vs Broncos Odds
Matchup Page: Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos, December 14th, 4:25 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | -2.5 (-110) | -135 | Over 43.5 (-105) |
| Denver Broncos | +2.5 (-110) | +114 | Under 43.5 (-115) |
Odds as of December 10th at [DraftKings]
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Packers vs Broncos Picks - Week 15
Pick: Broncos ML (+114)
The top-seeded Denver Broncos are the NFL's hottest team. Sean Payton's squad have won 10 straight games and are 5-5 ATS in that span. Denver's also won 11 straight home games, outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per contest.
One score wins have become a trend for the Broncos as the last five Denver contests have all finished within seven points. Denver is 3-3 ATS at Mile High Field this season, but are 6-0 SU.
Meanwhile, the Packers enter this one after three straight wins over divisional opponents. Most importantly, Green Bay covered the spread in each of those NFC North battles and have won four straight road games.
Packers vs Broncos is a fairly even matchup between two scorching hot offenses. "Toyotathon" Jordan Love continues to ball out, lifting the Packers to first in offensive EPA per play by a wide margin over the past four weeks. Not to be forgotten, Bo Nix and the Broncos rank fourth in EPA per play in that timeframe. Crucially, Denver's offensive line leads the league in PFF's pass-blocking grade, and are sixth in ESPN's pass-blocking win rate. So, the Broncos hogs up front win with regularity, and are capable of containing even the great Micah Parsons.
On the other side of the football, the Broncos defense leads the NFL in sacks, and are top-five in pressure rate and DVOA, while sitting seventh in EPA per play on the season. Vance Joseph's unit has shut down many of the top offenses in the league this season, and with Patrick Surtain back in the lineup, have the talent and depth in the secondary to bottle up Green Bay's weapons.
Another intriguing betting nugget, according to our NFL database, Green Bay is 0-2 both SU and ATS as road favorites in Denver since 1999. In fact, the football Gods haven't been favorable to the Packers at Mile High, where Green Bay is just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS since 1984. Few teams adjust well to the altitude in Denver, and even the great Patrick Mahomes left with a loss in a crucial contest just a few weeks ago. Back the Broncos as underdogs in Week 15.
Packers vs Broncos Props - Week 15
Jordan Love UNDER 223.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Love has failed to exceed 223.5 passing yards in five straight games versus top-10 defenses for passing yards allowed, averaging 181 yards per game. Both Cleveland and Minnesota held Love to under 200 passing yards this season. Denver's havoc creating defensive line and top-tier secondary make Mile High the place where passing attacks go to die. Jordan very well may throw a few more touchdowns on Sunday, but I'd fading his passing yards against the Broncos.
Packers vs Broncos Betting Trends - Week 15
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games
- Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Green Bay
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
- Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Denver
