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MLB Playoff Picture: Are Blue Jays A Lock For 90+ Wins?

The MLB season is just two months away, and the 2026 regular season win totals are already posted. At this point in the year, there's early value to be found across both leagues.

Here's a look at the latest 2026 MLB season win totals — plus MLB playoff odds — and where some of the most intriguing value lies in January:

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2026 MLB Season Win Totals

2026 MLB Season Win Totals
TeamWin TotalOverUnder
Arizona Diamondbacks79.5-115-105
Atlanta Braves88.5-115-105
Baltimore Orioles85.5-115-105
Boston Red Sox87.5-115-105
Chicago Cubs88.5+100-130
Chicago White Sox66.5-110-110
Cincinnati Reds82.5-110-110
Cleveland Guardians80.5-110-110
Colorado Rockies51.5-115-105
Detroit Tigers83.5-115-105
Houston Astros86.5-110-110
Kansas City Royals81.5-115-105
Los Angeles Angels69.5-110-110
Los Angeles Dodgers103.5-115-105
Miami Marlins72.5-130+100
Milwaukee Brewers86.5-105-115
Minnesota Twins73.5-110-110
New York Mets88.5-115-105
New York Yankees91.5-115-105
Oakland Athletics75.5-115-105
Philadelphia Phillies91.5-105-115
Pittsburgh Pirates74.5-130+100
San Diego Padres85.5-115-105
San Francisco Giants80.5-115-105
Seattle Mariners89.5-115-105
St. Louis Cardinals71.5-110-110
Tampa Bay Rays76.5-110-110
Texas Rangers82.5-105-115
Toronto Blue Jays89.5-110-110
Washington Nationals66.5-110-110

Odds as of January 29 at bet365

Toronto Blue Jays Over 89.5 Wins (-110)

The Blue Jays lost Game 7 of the 2025 World Series but immediately retooled with Dylan Cease (7 years, $210 million) anchoring the rotation and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. locked up long-term on a $500 million extension. Toronto just missed on Kyle Tucker, but the club should get an offensive boost with a fully healthy Anthony Santander, plus the support of Japanese stud Kazuma Okamoto. With a motivated core returning and pitching stability added, Toronto should comfortably clear 90 wins in a competitive but beatable AL East.

Detroit Tigers Over 83.5 Wins (-115)

Detroit's late-season collapse in 2025 shouldn't overshadow its young talent and upward trajectory. The Tigers have one of baseball's best farm systems producing impact players, and their pitching staff showed flashes of dominance. At 83.5 wins, the number undersells a team that's built for sustained success rather than a flash-in-the-pan season. Expect regression to the mean after that brutal finish.

Cleveland Guardians Under 80.5 Wins (-110)

Cleveland shocked the baseball world by winning the AL Central in 2025, but this total feels inflated given their lack of offensive firepower and quiet offseason. The Guardians rely heavily on pitching and defense, which can be volatile year to year. With Detroit, Kansas City, and even the White Sox (if healthy) improving, Cleveland's path to 81 wins becomes significantly tougher in a more competitive division.

2026 MLB Playoff Odds

2026 MLB Playoff Odds
TeamOdds
Los Angeles Dodgers-10000
New York Yankees-400
Philadelphia Phillies-360
Toronto Blue Jays-290
Seattle Mariners-280
Chicago Cubs-260
New York Mets-260
Atlanta Braves-250
Boston Red Sox-200
Milwaukee Brewers-200
Houston Astros-190
Detroit Tigers-170
San Diego Padres-160
Baltimore Orioles+100
Texas Rangers+115
Cincinnati Reds+155
Kansas City Royals+160
Cleveland Guardians+182
San Francisco Giants+210
Arizona Diamondbacks+260
Tampa Bay Rays+300
Pittsburgh Pirates+450
Oakland Athletics+475
Minnesota Twins+500
Miami Marlins+500
St. Louis Cardinals+550
Los Angeles Angels+750
Washington Nationals+1500
Chicago White Sox+1600
Colorado Rockies+2800

Odds as of January 29 at bet365

Baltimore Orioles to Make Playoffs (+100)

The Orioles' plus-money playoff odds present exceptional value after their aggressive offseason retool. Baltimore acquired Taylor Ward and Pete Alonso to address offensive deficiencies while adding Shane Baz, Ryan Helsley, and Andrew Kittredge to bolster the pitching staff. The 2025 fire sale freed up financial flexibility and prospect capital, positioning the franchise for a serious 2026 push. At 85.5 wins, Baltimore should comfortably exceed that total and claim a Wild Card spot in a wide-open AL playoff race.

Cincinnati Reds to Make Playoffs (+155)

Cincinnati sneaked into the 2025 playoffs at 83-79 and returns virtually the same core for 2026. With Elly De La Cruz, Hunter Greene, and Nick Lodolo anchoring the roster and Terry Francona entering his second season, the Reds should show improvement from their baseline. The additions of JJ Bleday and Dane Myers provide depth without requiring major roster overhauls. At +135, the Reds offer solid value in a National League where the sixth playoff spot remains within reach for teams with a win total of 85-88.

Who is playing in the AL wild card series?

The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Seattle Mariners in the 2022 AL wild-card series. Toronto is hosting all three games.

The Cleveland Guardians will also play the Tampa Bay Rays for the AL wild card. Cleveland is hosting all three games.

Who is playing in the NL wild card series?

The Philadelphia Phillies will play the St. Louis Cardinals in the 2022 NL wild-card series. St. Louis is hosting all three games.

The New York Mets will also play the San Diego Padres for the NL wild card. New York is hosting all three games.

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